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dendrite

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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. dendrite
    They’re learning that it’s fun to troll weather weenies
  2. dendrite
    Heh…I remember seeing this story before
  3. dendrite
  4. dendrite
    I’d rather compare the upper levels rather than QPF. It seems like they throw QPF further back than you would expect from the shortwave, but sometimes as you get close the shortwaves trend more amplified. So are the AIs sometimes right for the wrong reasons?
  5. dendrite
    He may need a blue pill
  6. dendrite
    It was either Mike Bono or Dave Schwartz that was on air that morning and made a comment like “that’s nothing to be embarrassed about”
  7. dendrite
    -45° We can always go lower
  8. dendrite
  9. dendrite
    That’s one way to bring down the temperature in Minneapolis
  10. dendrite
  11. dendrite
    I think we’re slowly narrowing the goalposts. NAM is flattest, AIGFS most amped
  12. dendrite
    I will say the H5 orientation and amplitude of the shortwave/vortmax of the EC AI looks like the 12z gfs op.
  13. dendrite
    It does, but the ens means do as well.
  14. dendrite
    Yeah…like you’re painting the maps with a small paint brush instead of a fine tipped marker. Like when the MRF would slap .01-0.10” in NW flow over all of New England when you knew it was just sensing the mountains and that we’d be dry while upslope areas dumped.
  15. dendrite
    The resolution is what always puts me off with the AIs. There’s no fine details like the deterministic ops. Everything is more coarse and “fuzzy”. I feel like that would provide more consistency in the mid or long range, but would result in being over generous in the short range. That’s why I always treat them like ens means.
  16. dendrite
    We reach climo min temps in another few days to a week depending on proximity to water. December felt long to me, but I will say that I blinked and it’s now the 2nd half of Jan. Tomorrow’s 12z GFS at 384hr will be the first Phil prog.
  17. dendrite
  18. dendrite
    We just got ice-in declared on Lake Winni Tuesday. Earliest since 2018.
  19. dendrite
    Should be a NW CT/Berks/ORH hills/Monads “jack”
  20. dendrite
    @ineedsnowHow did the srefs look?
  21. dendrite
    Sorry but I have dinosaur bones under the ground here. EXPLAIN THAT
  22. dendrite
    Another edition of Fossil Fuel Fridays
  23. dendrite
    Watch the euro come in zonked now
  24. dendrite
    I just knew that little gph kink in Utah was going to f it up
  25. dendrite
    Idk how you could determine if it’s going to be better until about 36hr in. By then it was pretty clear it was going to be flatter.
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