dendrite

If you’re using an iphone just choose a smaller size when you upload…either large or medium instead of full.

Look at that shitstreak dry air trying to put up a fight

Not many clouds but nice sunrise here glistening the snow in the trees.

Yeah I’d probably just include it in with the system

Yup…although 2 days ago we were putting this storm in its grave.

It’s just going to finally be more in line with other models.

Another cave east from the SREFs. AWT

11° clear and caked in snow Getting an ob in while I can

It would be pretty funny if I got 0” out of this.

Still can’t believe how high these maps are with S+

The banding rots over CON toward the end.

That’s the best run here all week

Slicing and dicing up here in NH. I may be able to sweep this.

Scoots east quicker after blasting the cruiser.

It’s too bad no one will be affected by that sting jet over the Atlantic.

The winds are going to be high enough that there’s going to be weenie drifts measured. All of the snow that should’ve been on a roof will fill in on the ground. Numbers will be all over the place.

End of week is definitely looking more NNE centric snow wise.

How much for Whilly?

Sleep right through the storm?

He misses the 00z and 12z runs to sleep but wakes up for 6z to post all by himself. I don’t understand it.

I really like the 3k NAM…so much that I really don’t even look at the 12k much anymore except for mid/upper charts that aren’t as readily available with the 3k. I don’t view the SREFs much anymore…ineedsnow forces me to see it. But when they transitioned away from the ETA and RSM members for the NMM and ARW we still kept watchful eyes on it. You would know better than me what the verification stats are, but sensible wx wise I feel like the NMM members performed better. Even with this storm, the SREFs have had some members tracking the sfc low into LI or SE MA. No other operational models are doing that. They’re still pretty far NW at 21z, but every run they keep ticking SE toward the globals But I appreciate all of the work that goes into these models and in trying to further the science and improve the verification and resolution.

There’s heavy precipitation, but the reflectivity is bright banding. The model simulates it. View the ptype loop. The really deep blue shading that’s like 40dBZ is where the model tries to indicate wet snow.

Bright banding/wet snow

And I’m not trying to pigpile on the hires stuff. I think they have a purpose and are good in some areas. But too often they seem to start getting synoptically off when you start getting past 12hr.

More like anything past 0hr. I’m not the only one here that feels that way too. I know Will goes on SREFs rants because they pulled the spectral RSMs out for the ARWs.