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dendrite

Administrator / Meteorologist
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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. Ukie has the biggest shitstreak…it’s the most south. GFS clear it east and gets that more potent trailing s/w to dive enough south to fuji kick the system north a bit too. So my take is keep improving SE Canada and try to give it all more of a boot north. But the odds aren’t very good of anything substantial up here.
  2. Idk..I think without a trailing s/w to boot this north there’s enough of a rotting block remaining to limit the northward extent of this before it’s mostly LBSW. It’s just curling up at too far south of a latitude otherwise.
  3. Wait…are we looking for ways to snow or a way to boot it OTS?
  4. Why? It’s the only model giving SNE a big event. We need to kick the system more north.
  5. Sometimes there’s model wide failures in depicting features. There’s still time for that given the mess out west. But yeah, every 6hrs of near status quo won’t get us there.
  6. Idk…Cape seems kinda 50/50 on guidance right now. Need another good trend NW at 12z.
  7. 00z ukie and 6z icon were misses. But yeah I don’t think anyone is hedging toward the euro op?
  8. Was it elliptical day for him at the gym or did he get bicep curls in too?
  9. RGEM finally started caving. Herpes is pushing warning criteria too.
  10. Goofus has a potent little s/w dive in late to help give the system another bump north toward SNE. The euro doesn’t have much of a trailing s/w and it just scoots E-ENE.
  11. Yeah SNE did relatively well with S flow snowfall this year. Clippers tracking north are usually more liquid. Inv troughs picked up with all of the H5 lows/lobes swinging through. But the winter grade right now is heavily dependent on the big overrunner…seasonal total and snow depth day wise. It’s been kind of an average winter up here. A couple of good events, consistent cold and pack, and not much liquid. But there’s been no statement cold here. Just sustained slight to moderately BN.
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