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dendrite

Administrator / Meteorologist
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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. You haven’t even had a brutal cold day up there yet.
  2. Euro and GFS are like 36hrs of dews SoP. I would love that.
  3. I like it. Let’s get some juicy systems out of the SW and slam them into some cold.
  4. Wife has been sick and coughing since Xmas eve…not sure how I avoided it.
  5. I’m just spoofing the sensible weather more than pattern. It’s not like we’re dumping -30C 850s into the Plains. We’ve been in a consistent nook of cold with systems that don’t have a lot of chance to amplify in time for us. So yeah…sensibly kinda like the 80s so far without any true brutal airmasses yet.
  6. Apr 82 was a biggun for many ”Region wide” usually becomes subjective though. Your Feb 83 was barely warning criteria up here. We had more from the event a few days prior. Mar 84 had a couple of biggies…one that pounded up here and a late month one that crushed ORH. Apr 87 was good for many. We had a couple of good ones up here in early 88 as well.
  7. Past 2 decades here: “80s winters sucked. Cold and not much snow” This year: “this winter has been great. Plenty of cold and frequent light fluffers”
  8. It’s like the gfs gets confused and goes back and forth between strengthening the primary and the secondary. But regardless that’s a chilly solution up here in CAD land. We just can’t seem to ever buy a 40° day here in the heart of winter.
  9. RGEM too…nice little front ender up here on Wed. That would be a messy commute Wed AM for many NoP.
  10. Wait...I thought you said this morning that you didn't like that look
  11. Not my first rodeo. "leaning below" I know I've ranted on these maps before, but I just always find them funny. I know what they're trying to imply, but they separate the probs into 3 categories (BN, N, AN) and slap a probability on each one and shade with whichever one is the highest. So they shade us in 40-50% probability of BN which translates to 50-60% (higher) chance of not BN.
  12. Has anyone EVER seen them issue those maps with any of the grey shading for an increased probability of "near normal"? I can't recall ever seeing it. Instead we get that boring 33/33/33% of equal chances.
  13. I tossed the December cold because it came from Canada. What a cheap way to pull off negative anomalies.
  14. The warm stretch isn’t even here and people are spiking footballs when we still really don’t know.
  15. Yup. Like you’ve always said…our snowfall in deep winter correlates better to QPF than temps (at least inland).
  16. GEFS, EPS, GEPS all start having that +TNH look toward d15…SE ridge, ridge off west coast, lower heights SW US and up toward Hudson Bay. We’d play with fire with that, but I’d roll with my chances in the interior for a higher QPF SWFE.
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