dendrite

I’m scared K1P1 GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 7/09/2022 0000 UTC FHR 24| 36 48| 60 72| 84 96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192 SAT 09| SUN 10| MON 11| TUE 12| WED 13| THU 14| FRI 15| SAT 16 CLIMO X/N 78| 45 81| 49 85| 58 84| 63 80| 58 77| 55 80| 57 84 54 79 TMP 66| 53 71| 56 75| 64 76| 68 72| 63 68| 61 71| 63 74 DPT 50| 47 54| 53 59| 62 67| 64 64| 59 58| 57 59| 59 65 CLD CL| CL CL| PC CL| OV OV| OV OV| PC PC| PC PC| PC PC WND 9| 1 5| 1 6| 3 6| 2 8| 6 6| 1 7| 1 4 P12 0| 0 2| 3 3| 8 36| 53 36| 25 19| 16 11| 13 14999999 P24 | 2| 3| 38| 69| 33| 19| 30 999 Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 2 1| 0 0| 0 | Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 3| 0| | T12 3| 1 2| 0 6| 5 26| 26 23| 6 12| 6 13| 5 16 T24 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 52 | 23 | 14 | 13

I mean CON was BN in July of 1934 and 1936 while a place like Grand Isle was ripping off a +10F for a summer month. Pretty insane.

This feels like one of those 1930s dustbowl patterns where there’s widespread exotic heat in the Plains and Midwest, yet you look at the New England data and you’re like “meh”.

Goofus has snow in E QB at the end of the 6z run…lol. Glad we don’t live with Nick.

Screwing around and saw this gem of an ob from Thermal in 1995. 125/68 with dust devils. TRM 1995-07-28 21:00 KTRM 282100Z 34007KT 25SM CLR 52/20 A2966 RMK CU OV MTNS W-N DUST DEVILS/ 58020 SLP044 T05160200

1954 cane analog? Congrats St. Louis.

Only 6am has never been 90+

Did he have an overly clean truck?

Congrats SD.

Would like the Kp higher…Bz has been south for awhile, but it’s close to flipping. There’s a chance?

Looks dewier for sure going into the heart of summer. It’s almost like expecting deep winter as we go into Jan and Feb. Shocking. My bananas and pawpaws will appreciate the humidity. I’m scared. Hold me.

Looks averaged near climo.

I get your point though. I'm expecting more of the same except with a continued climo bump to it. Maybe trending toward longer warmups and weaker cold fronts? That ridge in the central US doesn't seem to want to go anywhere so that tends to favor the weakness and troughiness in SE Can. We need to get the ridge centered more into the TN/OH valley....or retrograde it into the west coast.

The gefs didn't agree with the 108F?

we ensembles

Over a half inch that night (7/5). Probably should just be abnormally dry here.

BOS: no PVD: 7/1977 ORH: no BDL: multiple but brief

Probably only briefly like when the sun comes out after a rain shower on a hot/humid day.

Too cold for you running in the morning in 60/60?

Yeah the GFS did that a few years ago with overmixing. I think it was that hot early July stretch a few years ago. IT had low dews and temps in the 110s. Reality was mid/upper 90s and oppressive dews.

Pretty sure they all lurk here and troll DIT from many miles away

69.5/64 Doing my best to survive the oppressiveness.

0.64”…that may be about it.

Gray needs to cut that tree.

About to hit a 1/2”. Needed this badly.