dendrite

I see 49° on your Davis so it must be climbing quickly. Shabbs 63°!

Sarcasm?

Think of it as an ensemble. Multiple CFS runs over a 10 day period and then a monthly forecast is computed from the mean.

Euro poppin 65-70 south of the Pike tomorrow. Really jelly that we're getting wedged up here.

Yeah...I mean BDL had 2.8" through 2/15 in 1980 and still finished in double digits. Like Will said, I'm sure the stars of suck aligned at one point for a sub 10" season, but it's tough to do today.

Sheet freezing drizzle in CON right now...a little glaze on the truck, but not too bad.

RGEM 65

GFS is 60F now

Research this. Don’t be a moron. I’m well aware of the small amout of myocarditis cases. Last night was not heart inflammation nor a defect. It’s most likely a blow to the heart at the wrong time. Bigger point is I don’t want this conspiracy shit on our subforum. Reminds me a little of the Pronger incident where he took a puck to the heart and collapsed.

lol stfu

Alright time to keep it to weather and drop the conspiracy insinuations.

GFS finally caved for later this week.

sounds like you're describing commotio cordis

Eh. Some threats before then. We don't need a perfect pattern up here. Just get it down to only a little above normal and not +10C at 850.

Glazed donuts up here.

I don’t think most here are whining or even upset. I think we’re all just bored. We like to talk and there isn’t a lot to talk about so it’s mostly goofing off.

Most of the GEFS are meh

All kidding and trolling aside, there's nothing big on the near horizon so hope for scraps this week and then we'll see how it goes next week. There doesn't seem to be much potent cold in the long range for most of the CONUS, but ens have been cold enough for snow in our region. So hope for the best. Maybe toward mid month we can get into something a little more favorable.

We all struggle with you

press 5 to hear Ray's winter forecast press 6 to hear Ray melt about the pattern and stress over his forecast press 7 to hear Ray reassure himself that this is all going according to plan

Man it really is an April pattern

Today will be my warmest of the week.

He’s stressed about his ski trip, yet there’s going to be multiple chances for the ski areas coming up.

Well the divergent regions of jetstreaks are in the left front and right rear quadrants. That was the common terminology when I was growing up although in college I had a professor that chose to use equatorward entrance and poleward exit region…and that may be easier for someone to imagine and recall while looking at upper level maps. But my point was there’s a lot of spread with that many members that far out. These regions of extra upper level divergence/convergence within jetstreaks are at a relatively small scale compared to the global and synoptic flow so it’s kind of a moot point. It’s like seeing isobars hanging back on an SLP mean at d15 and reading it as inverted trough potential whereas it’s just spread amongst the differing members. Also, the base of the trough axes tend to have relatively lower wind speeds so you wouldn’t expect to see a jetstreak like that in that position of the trough anyway. Usually in coastals we have the trough axis to our west and we’re looking for that jetstreak on the east side of the trough and the left front quad somewhere around or inside the benchmark. The classic dual jet setups have another jet to our E/NE and the right rear quadrant paired with the left front one along the coast.

Euro with the wedge up here Tue and Wed. Throw in some tuck action ZR for Thu. My warm week went kaput.