Some of that is anecdotal and/or outdated. But if you find a tendency that works for you then that’s great. I’m just always hesitant of prolonged biases with how frequently they tinker with these models now.
My girl Alicia B is handling the global modeling verification for NCEP now. It’s been awhile since I talked to her, but I could pick her brain on this. Maybe she has some unreleased precip data too.
I don’t have the precip data though and obviously accuracy surrounding cyclones doesn’t necessarily correlate with accuracy around the NHEM in fair conditions.