A lot of those random foreign 18z models were further north like older runs…here through ME…GGEM, ARPEGE, UKIE, ICON, KMA
Looks like the 18z euro is pretty far NE. Similar to 12z.
I just keep watching it and laughing. I love that last sheep just turning around and lining him up for one more killshot. Honestly I think the dog orchestrated the whole thing…watches from afar and when the final deathblow comes it just turns and runs.
models tend to have more error in the summer versus winter with the shorter wavelengths and less baroclinicity. Add in convection offshore, a bit of a tropical influence on some models, and how small scale the system is and there's going to be a lot of jumping around. I have no expectations for this...just hoping for a decent drink.