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dendrite

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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. dendrite
    Like I said, there’s plenty of lift closer to 800-850 with tops cold enough, but just throwing that caveat out there.
  2. dendrite
  3. dendrite
    May have to watch the dryslot in E MA at some point…cloud tops still near -10C though.
  4. dendrite
    Word
  5. dendrite
    Getting NNE more involved this run.
  6. dendrite
    Definite move toward the gfs/ec/hrrr
  7. dendrite
    That’s how I’d lean right now. Let the DPVA rule the day.
  8. dendrite
    These runs are choking off (occluding) the developing mid level low approaching CT pretty quickly so the best dynamics shift to the triple point well east. Nammy keeps the conveyors going
  9. dendrite
    There’s always surprises come go-time.
  10. dendrite
    Nah. You and I will just be closer to spring.
  11. dendrite
    ICON with the IVT and then slings the sfc low back to BVY.
  12. dendrite
    An arm of fronto will probably swing through for a bit. It’s a close call up here for something bigger so I’m keeping a casual eye on it.
  13. dendrite
    Me looking for a C NH crush job on the models this morning.
  14. dendrite
    Disaster
  15. dendrite
    Accums can be variable this time of year too. Where the sun is hitting this time of year there’s a little bit of “stored” heat in the ground versus the shade. So even if you’re pounding at 32-33° there can be a little melt compaction at the bottom. Then you have the varying surface albedos which can come into effect early on if the sun can “see through” light accums to the sfc or if the rates lessen or clouds thin.
  16. dendrite
    idk if that’s a good example. Best lift below the DGZ and midday snowfall with 33° temps.
  17. dendrite
    I mean it’s almost like he’s trolling.
  18. dendrite
    Nada for Tolland!
  19. dendrite
    They punish your ratios for 33-34° snowfall.
  20. dendrite
    I enjoy the tiny window of opportunity that he has each day to interact with DIT.
  21. dendrite
    Beer?
  22. dendrite
    We’ve come to that portion of the program where I’m only cheering on the NAM
  23. dendrite
    Relatively meh dynamically out east after the Ronnie Coleman IVT for the Catskills and WNE. I had more hope for up here given the track just north of PVC, but no dice.
  24. dendrite
    30 years ago Mon-Tue something else happened.
  25. dendrite
    But that first low at 12z helped back the flow a bit and keep 925 from torching too much. It doesn’t matter with a track like this…there’s enough forcing and dynamics to overcome it. Just don’t let it get too far east.
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