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dendrite

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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. dendrite
    There’s always surprises come go-time.
  2. dendrite
    Nah. You and I will just be closer to spring.
  3. dendrite
    ICON with the IVT and then slings the sfc low back to BVY.
  4. dendrite
    An arm of fronto will probably swing through for a bit. It’s a close call up here for something bigger so I’m keeping a casual eye on it.
  5. dendrite
    Me looking for a C NH crush job on the models this morning.
  6. dendrite
    Disaster
  7. dendrite
    Accums can be variable this time of year too. Where the sun is hitting this time of year there’s a little bit of “stored” heat in the ground versus the shade. So even if you’re pounding at 32-33° there can be a little melt compaction at the bottom. Then you have the varying surface albedos which can come into effect early on if the sun can “see through” light accums to the sfc or if the rates lessen or clouds thin.
  8. dendrite
    idk if that’s a good example. Best lift below the DGZ and midday snowfall with 33° temps.
  9. dendrite
    I mean it’s almost like he’s trolling.
  10. dendrite
    Nada for Tolland!
  11. dendrite
    They punish your ratios for 33-34° snowfall.
  12. dendrite
    I enjoy the tiny window of opportunity that he has each day to interact with DIT.
  13. dendrite
    Beer?
  14. dendrite
    We’ve come to that portion of the program where I’m only cheering on the NAM
  15. dendrite
    Relatively meh dynamically out east after the Ronnie Coleman IVT for the Catskills and WNE. I had more hope for up here given the track just north of PVC, but no dice.
  16. dendrite
    30 years ago Mon-Tue something else happened.
  17. dendrite
    But that first low at 12z helped back the flow a bit and keep 925 from torching too much. It doesn’t matter with a track like this…there’s enough forcing and dynamics to overcome it. Just don’t let it get too far east.
  18. dendrite
    it had a more potent sfc low going into CT and then redevelopment well east of the cape that backed in. This kept the prolonged inv trough look. But yeah, obviously it wasn’t as far east as the gfs.
  19. dendrite
    That’s a move toward the 18z trend.
  20. dendrite
    I’d pay good money for that to verify. A few inches here and at Tolland. Scoot-south with 2’+. Ray melts with “only” 15”.
  21. dendrite
  22. dendrite
    Not in mid March. lol But the clowns give me more than BDL anyway
  23. dendrite
    All 3” of it this run?
  24. dendrite
    Maybe it can whiff me. lol
  25. dendrite
    The longer you keep the inv trof look the more waa you’re advecting into the region…gotta start backing those winds sooner.
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