Jump to content

dendrite

Administrator / Meteorologist
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    71,767

  • Joined

 Content Type 

Everything posted by dendrite

  1. dendrite
    Yeah NNE has been fooled by a zonked 12k run late in the game many a time. Looks like the rgem is a tick east.
  2. dendrite
    I mean it’s not like you’d be missing much from either event.
  3. dendrite
    3k not as enthused
  4. dendrite
    Lol
  5. dendrite
    I think there’s too much spacing to really have much effect.
  6. dendrite
    Yeah that late little amplification of the vortmax gives E MA a little boost before it slides east.
  7. dendrite
    My post was true
  8. dendrite
    It’s curling the southern end of the vortmin pretty good as it approaches SNE. We’ll have to see if that suite trends that way.
  9. dendrite
    NAM was the flattest at H5…looks more in line now to me
  10. dendrite
    They’re learning that it’s fun to troll weather weenies
  11. dendrite
    Heh…I remember seeing this story before
  12. dendrite
  13. dendrite
    I’d rather compare the upper levels rather than QPF. It seems like they throw QPF further back than you would expect from the shortwave, but sometimes as you get close the shortwaves trend more amplified. So are the AIs sometimes right for the wrong reasons?
  14. dendrite
    He may need a blue pill
  15. dendrite
    It was either Mike Bono or Dave Schwartz that was on air that morning and made a comment like “that’s nothing to be embarrassed about”
  16. dendrite
    -45° We can always go lower
  17. dendrite
  18. dendrite
    That’s one way to bring down the temperature in Minneapolis
  19. dendrite
  20. dendrite
    I think we’re slowly narrowing the goalposts. NAM is flattest, AIGFS most amped
  21. dendrite
    I will say the H5 orientation and amplitude of the shortwave/vortmax of the EC AI looks like the 12z gfs op.
  22. dendrite
    It does, but the ens means do as well.
  23. dendrite
    Yeah…like you’re painting the maps with a small paint brush instead of a fine tipped marker. Like when the MRF would slap .01-0.10” in NW flow over all of New England when you knew it was just sensing the mountains and that we’d be dry while upslope areas dumped.
  24. dendrite
    The resolution is what always puts me off with the AIs. There’s no fine details like the deterministic ops. Everything is more coarse and “fuzzy”. I feel like that would provide more consistency in the mid or long range, but would result in being over generous in the short range. That’s why I always treat them like ens means.
  25. dendrite
    We reach climo min temps in another few days to a week depending on proximity to water. December felt long to me, but I will say that I blinked and it’s now the 2nd half of Jan. Tomorrow’s 12z GFS at 384hr will be the first Phil prog.
×
×
  • Create New...