dendrite

MAV/MET even had 51/49 respectively at LCI today. Currently 52.

This shallow inversion is fraudulent with sun and mixing.

Min 30.9° Already up to 43°

Wavelengths are still long into March

NYC/NJ people declaring winter over in NNE

Yeah…I’m on the other side of the river across from Hannaford.

Never saw it, but I was in CON

Jesus christ you were like 2 minutes from me. Lol

Tbh both sides are kinda annoying at times. lol I think the persistence people are mostly just checked out of winter and have the spring itch so it’s more wishcasting than anything. Not everyone…just most. And the LR disco is great and I enjoy the SSW/MJO/indice talk, but let’s be real…the science of it and the model verification are 2 different things. But obviously this is a weather forum and I defer to the side of actual scientific discussion and not the emotional winter cancel arguments. Trust me, I’d love to end winter right now, but it’s still mid Feb and there’s plenty of winter climo left for everyone. It’s like predicting no more dews for anyone on Aug 15. We know better than that.

Max 51° Already back to 43° with the sun behind the woods.

A little ditty about Ray and Kevin?

Yup...we look doomed here. CAA overnight tonight too behind that s/w passing just to our north may keep us sub 50F here tomorrow. Then a bit of a wedge Friday before the cold fropa.

Sunday is the day to go more aggressive. Late return flow Saturday with moist ground, low dews, and mid Feb sun doesn’t scream 4pm big mixing to me. Maybe in late April or May.

My call is under 50 lol

Who is arguing 33? We’re arguing 50. lol

Will DAW even hit 40F? You crapped all over the NWS 33F at PSM the other day and it was pretty much spot on and way under your low 40s call.

Good luck KDAW GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 2/14/2023 0000 UTC FHR 24| 36 48| 60 72| 84 96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192 TUE 14| WED 15| THU 16| FRI 17| SAT 18| SUN 19| MON 20| TUE 21 CLIMO X/N 41| 26 54| 37 56| 39 48| 13 33| 18 43| 29 45| 32 46 16 37 TMP 34| 29 48| 40 49| 41 36| 16 25| 22 36| 32 40| 35 37 DPT 22| 23 36| 34 35| 37 19| 3 6| 13 22| 26 28| 27 20 CLD CL| PC PC| PC PC| OV OV| CL CL| CL CL| PC PC| PC PC WND 9| 2 6| 7 6| 4 15| 16 6| 4 7| 3 5| 4 10 P12 4| 0 6| 3 7| 52 70| 9 3| 9 12| 19 22| 24 21999999 P24 | 6| 8| 87| 13| 18| 27| 32 999 Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 1| 0 0| 0 0| 0 | Q24 | 0| 0| 2| 0| 0| | T12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 3 1| 0 0| 1 0| 0 0| 0 0 T24 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 PZP 0| 8 9| 0 0| 1 2| 5 5| 10 10| 10 8| 5 3 PSN 49| 45 0| 2 2| 0 13| 90 90| 68 33| 13 21| 11 41 PRS 32| 0 3| 1 0| 0 9| 3 3| 10 24| 19 15| 8 14 TYP RS| S R| R R| R R| S S| S RS| R R| R RS SNW | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| |

lol it's not hitting 50F on Saturday

I hope the cold and snow fails.

It's just high cloudiness

Saturday???

We just had our extreme swing. 2 months of well above normal followed by 2 days of extreme cold followed by 2 weeks of torch.

BDL has had 2 BN days since 12/27 and those came with the brutal cold shot. Looks like more AN for the next week or so too. Pretty remarkable.

H5-H85 is pretty dry. It's mostly just high cloud potential...like a BKN250 where you barely know there's clouds until you see the halo around the sun.

That's prior to being extinguished? Looks like someone did their best to start one and all they got were some smoldering leaves.