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dendrite

Administrator / Meteorologist
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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. “Tries” That’s probably 2-4”/3-5” with ratios.
  2. A norlun band offshore merges in over the cape at the end.
  3. These are the manual created maps. The others are generated by text probabilities.
  4. Calculated some Cobb snow estimates from the 12z gfs and nam (respectively) CON 0.0/0.1 PWM 0.1/0.4 BOS 0.9/1.1 ORH 0.7/0.5 PSF 1.9/0.7 EWB 3.5/3.7 HYA 0.8/3.7 BDL 0.7/0.3 HFD 3.2/1.0 HVN 1.3/2.5 GON 1.3/3.4 PVD 2.1/2.9
  5. I think it’s the low probability of a little weenie norlun I mentioned. That may explain the shape too.
  6. It seems to be overdoing the low level moisture on the northern edge. There will probably be some radar echoes even up here, but not much reaching the ground. Some of the mesos have a little inverted trough enhancement in coastal NH/MA on the tailend as the H5 low/vortmax moves into the region.
  7. I heard he’s been picking up frequent shipments from 2kft in SVT.
  8. I’d toss the AI QPF this close in. It always seems to broadbrush the QPF…like trying to paint the molding in your house with a mop.
  9. I need my coffee before I post…lol I originally read it as move it south 250 miles.
  10. I barely talk to my next door neighbors…nevermind 3 houses up.
  11. That’s a 5 day mean so there’s a really cold airmass in there once you subtract the 60° on Christmas out.
  12. I’ve never met them. I heard they have family they’re staying with. But here’s a
  13. Not much change…mostly noise. It’s out on piv.
  14. All I said is I wouldn’t want to try running too many ice storms with +10C 850s. That takes a rather extreme set of variables to pull off.
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