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dendrite

Administrator / Meteorologist
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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. Probably some good SHSN with it though with how low those thicknesses are. Upper level temps tank in NNE.
  2. That’s just a weenie piece of the PV spinning down our way. A quick in and out cold shot.
  3. Yeah it’s too cutoff otherwise and just happily chugs east. I still love what the gfs did with it.
  4. RGEM has been slightly edging north the past few runs, but it hasn’t budged much.
  5. Sure…I’m just talking in the sense that sometimes good patterns don’t deliver and bad patterns (not saying this was necessarily bad) do.
  6. W flow and some sun…850s are relatively warm to start with CAA. I could see 38-43 W to E with midday highs.
  7. It’s been around a B here maybe…been hanging around a 16-17” pack since the biggie. Pack since 12/2 is good, but nothing absurd like some winters. I think the extent of deep pack further south has been more anomalous even though I haven’t seen grass in 10 weeks. Persistent cold, but nothing extreme. A steady as she goes deep winter. Although I’m ready for a Pedro changeup with some days of warmth and big event threats.
  8. I do have to laugh how he gets on you in the Pats thread, but you have to hold him up in here.
  9. I think most people outside of North Cumberland RI have enjoyed this winter…or at least a good portion of it. There’s been a little taste of everything wintry wise with little rain.
  10. You’re stating the obvious. Events happen, I get it…you can’t cherry pick and subtract them out. I’m just playing the parallel universe hypothetical game. My point is that it’s tough to pull something that big and widespread in the middle of -10s anomalies. It can happen (miller B etc) but usually that spells clippers or cold and dry.
  11. We’re going to have a big CC discussion on Friday the 13th when Wolfie leaves for Frenchy ville.
  12. I said it the other day, but you could look at it like we were a little lucky with that roided SWFE too. It’s tough to pull something like that off in the midst of 2-3 weeks of -10 anomalies without any relaxation at the sfc. That was a Jose Canseco needled up wedge of surface cold with big overrunning over it. But if that had missed south people would be losing their minds right now. A 20” event and deep pack for weeks definitely changes the mindset.
  13. There’s no snow reports in PA right now…all RH is below 70%.
  14. 3k is pretty horrible south of here. Maybe an inch at MHT.
  15. 3k definitely looking convective along the cold front in SNE. Maybe in and out in 1-2hrs?
  16. I think it’s juicing up for SE MA late as the front picks up a little more moisture off the Atlantic before pushing through. So maybe more of a SE MA enhancement than an interior MA dry sliver? Not saying it’s correct…just guessing what it’s doing.
  17. Anyone ever dabble in the ASOS temp betting?
  18. Good luck expecting every event to bust positive. Like Scoot said…hope to get a little from the initial arm of WAA and then go to town briefly with the line dropping SE to finish.
  19. Yeah idk…no need to overthink it. A model being on its own this close in usually doesn’t cause you to exude confidence in it. I was just using his own words against him. It’s pretty easy to find him contradicting himself.
  20. There’s a sideswiping H7 dryslot behind it too…may be helping with the forcing
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