32/23
Kind of expected an advisory here given tomorrow is a travel day and it could be messy around sunrise. GYX map only has 1-2”, but most clowns have been running 3-5”. I haven’t had much of a chance to dig deeper yet…had a busy day winterizing.
3 or 4 at SLK…leaning 4. BML was 3 or 4. CON 12 or 13. More hydro obs come in soon…
That -1 was impressive. You don’t usually see lows 5F colder than the ASOS rad pits unless it’s a site in Aroostook.
The gfs op has been spitting out a snow event for almost 2 days now…6z was just a little further south with the goods. It’s been persistent with holding this weekend’s trough back allowing for increased confluence as the shortwave ridging tries to move in. So that sfc cold/HP becomes the bully and sfc low redevelopment occurs near the S coast and the cold is wedged in place. The euro boots the weekend trough out quicker and we get more mid level WAA and just a bit of insitu CAD holding and end up with mostly a cold rain. I’d like to see more gefs hits at 12z. The last 2 runs were about 3 out of 20.
It wouldn't shock me at all to keep a wedge in place up here with a low tracking that far west. The GFS over the last 2 runs has really increased the confluence here Tue PM. Euro notsomuch yet.