dendrite
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Everything posted by dendrite
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At least it's something - Jan 16th Snow/Sleet/Ice OBS Thread
dendrite replied to The 4 Seasons's topic in New England
17.5F -SN Technically -SN vis wise but probably pushing moderate in this band right now. Really good snow growth as well initially before the warmer air aloft moves in to drop ratios. -
At least it's something - Jan 16th Snow/Sleet/Ice OBS Thread
dendrite replied to The 4 Seasons's topic in New England
17.8° -SN has commenced -
It won’t mean anything. Just a little rad cooling.
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It snows where it wants to.
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Don’t worry…the clouds are coming in.
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Extrapolating the 84hr rgem is always fun
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I mean maybe he wastes a tenth of QPF on ip/zr? It’s nbd. He’ll get a few inches and crust it up a bit. It’s mostly crap qpf anyway under the mid level dryslot.
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For those hitting the confused emojis
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Although I’ll agree with pope that most of the precip is out before the flip to zr.
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Idk…3k looked like a large jump warmer to me?
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Euro cavin' while reggie's ravin'.
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Reggie has barely budged for days (slightly warmer now) while the globals rapidly caved warmer. 12z goofus gives you some zr now. I think I'd lean on you getting at least some ZR, but whatever. It's 2-3" of snow and then at worst a coating of zr. Looks like the euro is coming in warmer aloft too.
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Yeah that's what I mean. I think they need to average 3"/12hrs over a zone so 2-3" wouldn't really cut it in the all snow zones I guess. But with the ZR mixing in over much of CT I'd think they would just go with the WWA anyway...unless they're saving it for the next shift.
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I mean doesn't any ZR trigger a WWA?
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RGEM with a little taint up to the NH border.
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This weekend we probably get a brief modified shot of that cold west of us. Maybe teens for highs Saturday? I’m expecting my first single digies then.
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Looks like a nice broomable fluffer. Feeling 3-4” here.
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Many of us just had double digits. I can’t complain. I must be near normal on the season. I’ll have to add it up later.
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I’m just happy there’s no rain. 20s and sun will be great.
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It has more hope than Dallas right now
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Some of that is anecdotal and/or outdated. But if you find a tendency that works for you then that’s great. I’m just always hesitant of prolonged biases with how frequently they tinker with these models now.
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I posted 850t and slp too.
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My girl Alicia B is handling the global modeling verification for NCEP now. It’s been awhile since I talked to her, but I could pick her brain on this. Maybe she has some unreleased precip data too.
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I just gave you 10 years. The numbers show it passed the GFS in the last 4 years.
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I don’t have the precip data though and obviously accuracy surrounding cyclones doesn’t necessarily correlate with accuracy around the NHEM in fair conditions.
