dendrite
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Everything posted by dendrite
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Guys stop biting the disingenuous bait. -
Jfc can we move back on to weather now?
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Flurries at home now. Overperformer.
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Yeah still some WAA putting up a fight in E MA
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The fronto band is slipping SE now. The CAA on the northern edge is making gains.
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That fronto band is going to get a flare up with those higher reflectivities advecting into it.
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Getting a few flakes in CON now
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Looks like the ccb is starting to crank. That should slowly start stealing from the fronto show.
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You can start to see the back edge pushing east on OKX, but it may tighten up the northern fringe fronto initially.
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Not a WWF fan in the 80s and 90s?
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Pretty much. You can usually pick out where the fronto will be with some midlevel analysis, but QPF wise it’s usually underdone. And then you also have the bonus that it’s usually high ratio so long as your 2m temps are cold enough. I even had big ratios in Halloweenie. So there’s multiple ways to bust in a positive way.
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A rude awakening for ACK weenies this morning
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All trash. None provided a confident forecast
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Euro and GFS were trash for NH.
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Models often struggle with nailing the northern fronto bands QPF/snow wise. It’s why I always pull big amounts out of my rear when it isn’t necessarily modeled well. These are mesoscale features immersed within the synoptic system. So I’m not surprised there’s a zone down there cashing in on the fronto before the ccb starts cranking toward the Cape.
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Nice to see some getting snow. The fronto look was always there…even with the squashed/less phased trend.
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With no dynamics that BL is pretty warm. A lot of mid 30s now on the 2m maps. A kuchie for moonshine
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Thu night might be a little refresher, but that’s for another thread.
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We need some ground truth to match the QPF too. But a lot of those echoes look like they’re hitting a brick wall in N KY like the recent modeling has had. Only a couple 0.04”s in OH so far.
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I was expecting 8-12”+ as of late Sat night. All you can do is laugh.
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There’s been a lot of geese flying north here the past few days. That was my first inclination of trouble.
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Anyone post the 18z ukie yet?
