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dendrite

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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. dendrite
    I mean maybe the NAM is a little too aggressive, but it’s a lot closer than the HRRR to my eyes. 11z still has MHT as all snow at 14z while the 3k nammy has the mix line up to me. So we’ll see where we stand at 10am. But CC really doesn’t lie in these situations. The cold and occasional stronger lift is helping to fight the mix line off at times but it’s coming eventually. Boyd Hall up at 1P1 will probably stay mostly snow though.
  2. dendrite
    There may be some grains mixing in but it isn’t all snow. Mostly sleet. There’s been some UP obs in 5 min obs too. The ASOS won’t report PL unless the observer feels like augmenting it today.
  3. dendrite
    Even at 31.8° he probably won’t get any daytime glazing with a trace of that late March insolation.
  4. dendrite
    Here’s the problem. The mix line on dual pol was already up to MHT at 11z. My mom in Hooksett is reporting a mix right now so it’s near CON.
  5. dendrite
    When I took my core 20 mins ago it was 4.8”/0.50” so a hair under 10:1. This stuff is dense powder. Classic cold SWFE snow.
  6. dendrite
    5.0” on the nose so far
  7. dendrite
    Haven’t been out to measure, but it looks like a few inches out there. 25.9° with about 1/2sm mod snow…occasionally heavy. Growth isn’t that great, but there’s a dense amount of flakes. Fairly SWFE like.
  8. dendrite
    Here’s the mid level mix line. Looks like it’s drifted back south a bit.
  9. dendrite
    That’s all frozen here and all snow for Gene.
  10. dendrite
    Doesn’t mean a thing
  11. dendrite
    Damn.
  12. dendrite
    I’d plan for about 10” with a period of IP in there. Mid levels start warming and we know how that goes with ratios. The nose is around H85 instead of the usual H75-H8 SWFE, but the best lift is still a bit below the DGZ.
  13. dendrite
    Lots of beer that run
  14. dendrite
    lol I don’t. But I want a colder solution for less rain and less QPF. But if I could make it whiff I would.
  15. dendrite
    RGEM is cold
  16. dendrite
    Nammy has a decent flip back to snow up here at the end. That would probably create some power issues.
  17. dendrite
    LCI usually works well here because the gradients tend to run in the same direction.
  18. dendrite
    And sometimes May. But it doesn’t snow in April.
  19. dendrite
    Enjoy the heavy snow
  20. dendrite
    LCI works on here https://meteor.geol.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/cobb/cobb.php?model=gfsm&site=klci
  21. dendrite
    Claremont is on the VT border…big longitude advantage there with this system. Can’t you use LCI?
  22. dendrite
    I’ll take the under on ZR here and the over on IP
  23. dendrite
    Keep it coming
  24. dendrite
    Goofus is all snow here through 15z Sat. Then we start losing H85. But we’re at warning criteria by the changeover. The RGEM is one good tick south away from being wild here.
  25. dendrite
    43.9N? I’m at 43.43
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