dendrite

Huh? GFS has been hot?

BDLGW

Blazin’

Dews for Ditty. Averaging 68-70?

11a temps. Compare to your favorite 15z map.

Looks like Tip left a black frisbee on the FIT ASOS

The other problem with the euro overmixing is it gets the mixing heights up around H75-H8 so you’re mixing dry adiabatically down to 850. So you’re inflating the temp at that level a couple degC as well. It all ties in together. That’s why when I see it spitting out 105/55 at 2m with 24C 850s and mixing to H75 I just instatoss it and play it closer to normal big heat climo.

GYX had 26C in their AFD and 103 in the grids at d6 at one point and I was bewildered at what they were looking at. But yeah…tough to break all time records when the 850s can’t even make top 10.

MOS doesn’t even have a heat wave for HFD. lol KHFD GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 6/18/2024 0000 UTC FHR 24| 36 48| 60 72| 84 96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192 TUE 18| WED 19| THU 20| FRI 21| SAT 22| SUN 23| MON 24| TUE 25 CLIMO X/N 89| 68 91| 69 93| 69 88| 69 82| 69 86| 69 85| 63 86 59 81 TMP 82| 73 83| 74 85| 74 77| 73 75| 74 78| 74 76| 68 78 DPT 65| 66 65| 68 68| 69 68| 67 68| 68 69| 67 63| 58 62 CLD PC| PC CL| PC PC| PC OV| OV OV| OV OV| OV OV| PC PC WND 9| 9 10| 9 9| 7 8| 5 6| 5 8| 8 14| 13 9 P12 4| 18 6| 14 26| 36 53| 49 48| 50 40| 55 30| 23 17999999 P24 | 20| 35| 69| 68| 60| 65| 36 999 Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 3| 1 2| 2 2| 4 | Q24 | 0| 0| 3| 3| 3| | T12 13| 15 15| 14 29| 24 52| 25 33| 26 30| 22 26| 11 13 T24 | 20 | 21 | 46 | 54 | 50 | 49 | 26

lol

ACs installed backwards Morch through May to blow warm air in.

GFS is low 60s here Sunday afternoon now. No breaks in sight.

You can really feel the WAA moving in now. Back up to 74° from 72°.

I’ll go 91° for you on Th. 88-90° T,W, maybe F.

All of these years pimping heat and his all-time high with his Davis is 92°

EPS with a nice range of 60 to 99 here Sunday.

How come only VT has bears like that? Is it just potheads dressed up in bear suits looking for munchies?

Tastes great. Less filling.

The higher dews have always been modeled more up here anyway more on the N side of the ridge. I’m feeling 72-73 types dews through mid morning and then mixing into that 66-70 zone at the tarmacs and then right back up before sunset. Sensibly none of this matters. It’s going to be hot…especially up here. But I’m interested in how the details shake out and just how much rubber is in the EC now.

Maybe not. Euro looks a couple F cooler Wed. More in line with the gfs. I think it’s lining up to be a 96-98 deal for most in the MRV. Maybe CT-east deals with some LIS/Atl taint.

Still looks mostly 68-72 to me with outliers either way? Anyway, 12z euro brought the dews up

heh. I look at this as 68-72 and the euro bring too dry.

00z euro valid 18z and the current 17z dews. It’s going to have to mix out a lot to match those euro numbers.

Euro had Tds of 70-71 over a smaller region that is 72+ right now, but it really mixes it out in the midwest by 18z. So let’s see if that happens over the next few hours.

Right through to the winter solstice.