dendrite

Solid 2F step shift warmer starting earlier this year

There’s no reason why BDL is 3-5F warmer than BAF, CEF, and HFD almost every afternoon when it hasn’t historically been this drastic.

* for BDL

MHT 96

Big heat day for you. Almost 90!

Nick Lachey fan?

That may be the most uniform 93-94 I’ve ever seen in C/S NH

Highs so far. BDL sticking out again.

HFD snuck a 90° in. Back down to 88° though.

Warm beer

With cooler air advecting in from the S lol But they probably got it in the last 20 mins

heh. HFD may not hit 90. Bouncing between 31-32C now so that’s that 88-89 threshold.

89.9. First 90 of the year. +1?

Huh? GFS has been hot?

BDLGW

Blazin’

Dews for Ditty. Averaging 68-70?

11a temps. Compare to your favorite 15z map.

Looks like Tip left a black frisbee on the FIT ASOS

The other problem with the euro overmixing is it gets the mixing heights up around H75-H8 so you’re mixing dry adiabatically down to 850. So you’re inflating the temp at that level a couple degC as well. It all ties in together. That’s why when I see it spitting out 105/55 at 2m with 24C 850s and mixing to H75 I just instatoss it and play it closer to normal big heat climo.

GYX had 26C in their AFD and 103 in the grids at d6 at one point and I was bewildered at what they were looking at. But yeah…tough to break all time records when the 850s can’t even make top 10.

MOS doesn’t even have a heat wave for HFD. lol KHFD GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 6/18/2024 0000 UTC FHR 24| 36 48| 60 72| 84 96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192 TUE 18| WED 19| THU 20| FRI 21| SAT 22| SUN 23| MON 24| TUE 25 CLIMO X/N 89| 68 91| 69 93| 69 88| 69 82| 69 86| 69 85| 63 86 59 81 TMP 82| 73 83| 74 85| 74 77| 73 75| 74 78| 74 76| 68 78 DPT 65| 66 65| 68 68| 69 68| 67 68| 68 69| 67 63| 58 62 CLD PC| PC CL| PC PC| PC OV| OV OV| OV OV| OV OV| PC PC WND 9| 9 10| 9 9| 7 8| 5 6| 5 8| 8 14| 13 9 P12 4| 18 6| 14 26| 36 53| 49 48| 50 40| 55 30| 23 17999999 P24 | 20| 35| 69| 68| 60| 65| 36 999 Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 3| 1 2| 2 2| 4 | Q24 | 0| 0| 3| 3| 3| | T12 13| 15 15| 14 29| 24 52| 25 33| 26 30| 22 26| 11 13 T24 | 20 | 21 | 46 | 54 | 50 | 49 | 26

lol

ACs installed backwards Morch through May to blow warm air in.

GFS is low 60s here Sunday afternoon now. No breaks in sight.