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dendrite

Administrator / Meteorologist
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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. You guys in SNE are basically relying on some snow with the cold fropa and it starts drying up once it gets past the western hills. Low to mid levels are bone dry before then so any stray echoes are likely virga. Even up here it’s probably < 1”.
  2. Best forcing has always been near the canadian border with this. There’s a reason why you want them sliding south of you. Congrats Sherbrooke.
  3. Some of that was me. You get a week of 850s above 0C and you figure torched mins and at least a couple of days where you go westerly and push 50-60 across the region. I think I posted a few days ago that it wouldn’t necessarily be tulips and skip-its at the sfc, but we may actually be able to radiate the first half of this stretch and keep some teens and 20s overnight to really keep it iced up before the step up climb in mins sets in toward NYE.
  4. I personally don’t think the week after Christmas changed that much. Mid levels are torched relative to the season, but it’s a little fake with the dry airmass. We’ll probably have a lot of poor mixing days even if we have some sun.
  5. Yeah it’s all pretty marginal. 850s are warm, but dry so there’s room to wetbulb down near 0C up there. It looks a bit like early spring in the mid levels. Turn the flow westerly and we would torch…bring in precip or turn it E-NE and it’s a bit raw.
  6. Today should be CON’s first day with a colder daily departure than -10 since 11/21/23…over a year. Since that day there has been 56 days with a daily departure greater than +10.
  7. Mitch is down to -4.7°. The bodies may not thaw out even with a cutter.
  8. Congrats everyone on higher heating costs And DAW has been consistently 5F too warm all night. @OceanStWx can we just unplug the ASOS so Pope can’t use it?
  9. Toss the DAW ASOS into the GOM. It’s actually colder at IOSN3 right now.
  10. CON would be +3.6F through yesterday if this was the 90s. I’d probably call that “siggy AN” too given the larger winter std deviations, but it’s pushing it. Of course we’ll knock a couple off the departure the next few days. Tomorrow will be a deep winter day…may push a sub 10F mean here.
  11. That’s not my point though. We’ve been so warm for so long that we treat normal temps as cold now. This would be considered a torch month at some sites 25 years ago. I’d have to dig for the SNE Dec normals to see how much they changed though. The rad pits probably have the biggest change over the last 30 years. Anyway, down to 19/7 here with flurries.
  12. I wouldn’t call it “cold” so far. The next few days will be decently BN, but we’ll wipe that out before NYD. Looks near normal when you average the region out. Through yesterday… BDL +1.2 ORH +0.1 CON -0.4 BOS -0.4 PVD -1.2
  13. I’ll take under 2” except maybe the Berks. You’ll probably have to ratio your way to 1” EOR, but hopefully there’s at least a wintry appeal for all on Xmas eve.
  14. It was like 20-25:1 ratios…not really a big deal, especially for VT. It’ll sublimate in half this weekend.
  15. It’s like 72hrs out. You’re way south of the best snows.
  16. Looks more like a NNE event given the track and forcing…would like to see it come south more. It’s more of a glorified quick cold front in SNE on the gfs and ec right now.
  17. Kinda funny seeing cold weather advisories being issued. I think I like the wind chill term wording better.
  18. Finished with 1.2” of fluff. Just enough to cover up the tainted old snow.
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