That ULL that stays north of the St Lawrence on the loop I posted has been modeled to drop over us and deliver a fresh supply of cold. That’s not going to happen on that 6z run.
This shortwave doing a deep right hook in near zonal flow on the northern periphery of Scoot’s pancake ridge just looks weird. I hope it pans out, but it’s a weird look to pull off.
I mean you usually get plenty of eps members that follow the op so I’m still wary. I’d like to see another model doing what it’s doing at H5 before getting excited.
It’s a weird look on the euro with that late diving energy in the northern stream to bring this north. It doesn’t really look like it should have any business digging like that and the other models aren’t doing it either.