Jump to content

dendrite

Administrator / Meteorologist
  • Posts

    72,619
  • Joined

Everything posted by dendrite

  1. Yeah ripping N flow with shit dynamics (locally) and mid level dry air lurking to the north won’t get it done here
  2. lol…idk what you want to know. The storm is still on. Some of the globals reigned in QPF a bit…some of the mesos are still juiced. But nothing has really changed with the system…just gotta see how it plays out. I think the caveats are how quickly the fronto shifts from NYC/CT to SE MA and how much convection wraps into EMA.
  3. Hopefully the sunset isn’t the highlight of the storm up here
  4. Man OKX radar looks nice. Very jelly. Hope all of you reach the max end of forecasts.
  5. GFS was like Dice K with this. We will never know if it was luck or skill but we appreciate the 18-3 with sub 3 ERA despite walking the bases loaded every inning anyway.
  6. Look for environmental lapse rates higher (steeper) than the moist adiabats on soundings
  7. I imagine Scooter and son trying to nervously appease each other’s fears while mom comes in and slaps them both.
  8. Great timing for the masshole kids following school vacay week.
  9. Tip was starting to get a little ragey this morning with the S ticks. Has anyone checked on Christine?
  10. A little L getting placed near strong convection early on isn’t a big deal. There probably is a mesolow associated with convection that technically has a lower mslp. The problem is if the model starts trying to feed the conveyors around it while it drifts OTS. The dynamics are still near the coast though while the real sfc low starts to develop and deepen.
  11. Pretty good run for those on the northern edge and WOR
  12. Yeah some of the models are occluding this pretty quickly. Not sure what will be more correct. But it’s not often we have a 970ish long tracked seclusion going near the BM. Kinda fascinated to see how it plays out from the outside looking in.
  13. 6z euro and rgem do it too. 3k keeps it going longer. Seems the strong WAA/fronto quickly shifts ENE along the H7 triple point on the gfs/rgem/ec
×
×
  • Create New...