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dendrite

Administrator / Meteorologist
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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. To be fair I don’t think there’s ever been a system in DJFM where you felt it couldn’t snow.
  2. There’s almost always statistical anomalies. The 61 ball in Powerball has been drawn 1.7x more than the 13 ball since 2015.
  3. Yeah not much change on the gfs models..AI maybe a tick north with the max axis.
  4. I had 25” in Auburn, NH as a final event depth…no clearing.
  5. Why would upper levels give a shit about the day of the week?
  6. I’m not saying there can’t be a coincidence there. Xmas eve is climatologically warmer too. I’ve never analyzed the percentage of NESIS or KU storms on the weekend. I’m just telling you what Dave’s old theory was.
  7. I wasn’t really even directing it toward you…just in general wrt how long that “rule” has lived on. And the weekend rule wasn’t about forming more storms on the weekend. It was about more junk pumped into the atmosphere up and down the megalopolis during the work week resulting in more condensation nuclei and heavier precipitation on the weekend. But that was 25 years ago when people actually gave a shiat about what he said.
  8. People want to believe DT’s “weekend rule” but not CC?
  9. RGEM is Mitch to the Monads as well. Lighter accums across MA.
  10. Ended up being negligible change sensibly…Mitch to the Monads
  11. It’s weird. We were bashing it last week about last night’s system for the overphasing and then it caved south…only to have all of the models eventually phase a bit more and bring some light snow more northward. But yeah if everything is south before the euro comes out I think it has to come south too.
  12. Def more confluence in SE QB/NN I’d normally expect the euro to win on something like this, but it was all over the place with that smaller ULL up there this past weekend.
  13. Looks like the NAM will be going back south
  14. ineedsnow posted a 60” one in PA weeks ago. But I only save fantasy maps that crush me.
  15. I’ve seen remarks in some of the obs. MWN seems to have retained theirs. I just picked a random date range here but you can see some of the icing and cloud comments in there. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/request/asos.py?network=NH_ASOS&station=MWN&data=metar&year1=1984&month1=1&day1=1&year2=1984&month2=1&day2=28&tz=Etc%2FUTC&format=onlycomma&latlon=no&elev=no&missing=M&trace=T&direct=no&report_type=3&report_type=4 Found me some aurbo obs too MWN,1982-02-02 02:00,KMWN 020200Z 32065G89KT 90SM CLR M13/M16 A//// RMK TOPS LWR SCT 50/AURORA N SLPNO T11271155 MWN,1982-02-02 03:00,KMWN 020300Z 32064KT 45SM CLR M13/M16 A//// RMK SLPNO T11281156 MWN,1982-02-02 05:00,KMWN 020500Z 32052G62KT 90SM CLR M11/M29 A//// RMK AURORA N SLPNO T11101288 MWN,1982-02-02 08:00,KMWN 020800Z 30033KT 90SM CLR M10/M31 A//// RMK AURBO W-N-E SLPNO T10991305
  16. We get clowns like that a few times per winter
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