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dendrite

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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. dendrite
    I think you will get some decent icing. 1k way up there will give you an advantage over most of the population in NH. I could see you pulling 1/3” radial.
  2. dendrite
    It’s a 3hr burst of +ZR which will limit accretion. After 12z everyone starts rotting AOA 32°. I don’t care what a weenie algorithm of “fzra qpf” shows.
  3. dendrite
    Overblown. Cope.
  4. dendrite
    We deal with the overblown icing products every icing event. There will probably be spotty outages in the hill towns and here-north, but I’d be surprised at anything widespread. A half inch of accretion is a lot of ice. Heck this is only 5/16” radial.
  5. dendrite
    A lot of beer
  6. dendrite
    lol…that’s like 70% of the euro qpf in the Merrimack Valley. We’re not getting a half inch of accretion
  7. dendrite
    They bit on the HREF icing. I’m still taking the under.
  8. dendrite
    The joke is on you. This is what he sees when he posts.
  9. dendrite
    “Canadian model leading the way” GL with that
  10. dendrite
    The easy web version is here https://weatherstar.netbymatt.com
  11. dendrite
    Even 32° here with full sun. Nice afternoon.
  12. dendrite
    But it only takes 15 minutes of freezing drizzle to turn I93 into a demolition derby. At least the state piled a couple hundred thousand pounds of salt on the highway for the 1” the other day so the salt residue remains.
  13. dendrite
    And to Tip’s point…. A short period of +RA with marginal <32° temps and no evaporative cooling offset isn’t going to result in significant accretion. A lot of that liquid will run off and “waste” to the ground.
  14. dendrite
    Gotta separate QPF as ZR and actual accretion too. I think you’ll have some decent icing up there around 1k Gene. But there’s really no ageostrophic lower dewpoint drain to offset the diabatic warming so once the ZR begins it’s a slow trend upward to 32°. I think we’ll probably wedge into the 30s until the cold fropa, but I think any additional accretion ends here in the morning and maybe mid to late morning up there.
  15. dendrite
    Maybe one of those setups where you shoot up to 40° while Ryan is still -ZR in WeHa?
  16. dendrite
    FRAM is the kuchie of ice
  17. dendrite
    It kinda saddens me that the best snow event of my lifetime is now in my rearview. All of this in 12 hours.
  18. dendrite
    The SN/IP zone in Maine kinda gets bullied by the WAA…not something I like to see for going big ice in CNE. HRRR has MHT below 32° for the entirety…hard sell on that. I think it’s underestimating the diabatic latent warming and the lack of Tip’s +PP.
  19. dendrite
    Hopefully it’s not congrats DC, but at least there’s no monster PNA in the extended. I’ll roll with that block.
  20. dendrite
    Hit 9.5° but currently 12.7° with a bit of a breeze. The stations all by the river approached 0°. Very fake morning.
  21. dendrite
    MWN +19 and First Lake -14 tells you how fake the cold is.
  22. dendrite
    Monday’s morning commute may suck, but otherwise this is overblown.
  23. dendrite
    Looks like it might be close
  24. dendrite
    You know it’s comin
  25. dendrite
    Yeah I agree with both of you. I think Gene may get more prolonged icing than most given his elevation up at Newfound, but this won’t be anything historical. I doubt there’s much accretion after early/mid Monday morning so 1/3-1/2” QPF won’t be a big deal outage/damage wise…although the Monday AM commute will probably be a disaster.
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