It just never really winds up. That trailing s/w doesn’t really phase in cleanly…it sorta coexists inside the trough and starts to close off. There isn’t a lot of moisture to work with until it hits the coast and by then the ULL is starting to open up and weaken. If you look at H85, we never really get much E inflow so the conveyors remain weak.
It just feels discombobulated.
Yeah agree. When I see this consolidated, beefy vort swinging NE I wouldn’t think it’s going to get stretched out like Gumby 6hr later. I mean, maybe it has the right idea, but I wouldn’t put my eggs in that solution basket yet.
It looks like the euro is going to swing and slam that consolidated vortmax up to the Cape like the goofus and then it just gets sheared and stretched out.
But like Bob said, a bowling ULL going W-E through the TN valley/MidAtl is a little far south for my liking. Maybe SNE can cook with it, but I’ll need a lot more trending in the deeper interior.