dendrite

That’s a really bizarre sfc temp map for early March

HIE 50…plymouth 49

Definitely getting an increase in ENE winds now despite similar sky conditions. Down to 44.7

You’re going to need a good, sustained push of CAA in the zr zone because of latent heat release. 3-5” in the max sn zone looks good to me…either side of an AFN-BVY line. If there’s a junk +1C layer aloft that could wreck havoc on the southern end of that if you’re battling junk precip for awhile.

Gfs aifs is a big torch tue and wed. Ec aifs is well into the 60s both days. Gfs is obviously struggling to get the warmth in there. Ec is warm both days but is a late warm fropa wed, Ggem is warm tue but wedges up here wed. Icon is similar. I think AIs are overdone…just gotta see how how much oomph the potential wedge has Wed.

Yeah around sunset…23-00z or so.

The dew boundary is up around dryslot right now. 3k advects a GOM moderated piece of that WSWrd into SE NH/NE MA later. That motherload isn’t really modeled to drop in. I don’t think partial sun and 48° here necessarily affects it. We shall see.

I get it…it’s more anomalous for you down there. At least there’s a lot less water in the pack up here so there’s less flowing in it upstream than there otherwise would’ve been.

That’s a typical pack and winter up here. Just means mud season. The bigger problem would be a warm sectored stemwinder.

47.1° and partly sunny Was not expecting a day almost on par with yesterday

Different times back then. Blizz 93 had the same wording. Models were a lot more coarse too so it was a little more difficult to pinpoint the weenie max zones. People didn’t lose their shit as much over a few inches either. Let’em know a biggie is coming and then just slap a 1-3 footer on it.

Doing my best to add some diabatic heating to F up everyone’s northerly drain.

Losing 35-7 to Alabama hurts less than losing 17-10 to BC

That’s Tue night