dendrite

Unless the euro looks similar…can’t truss it

GFSGW

There’s been a subtle shift of trending the inv trough from SW ME more northward to the midcoast. Although I see the FV3 just came in with warning criteria here.

Scooter McGavin?

No one should be melting over missing a couple inches.

They have it right. 25th percentile would mean a 75% chance of seeing more snow than that amount.

Imagine being a snow and Cowboys fan and having to look at that ugly Giants inflatable and pack when you look out your front window.

Wow what a winter.

EuroAI really likes SW ME.

Subtle difference with the handling of the vortmax by the gfs xmas eve morning. It drives the dPVA a lot more south while the other models curl it up into the GOM. This is more about the inverted trough possibility and not the initial overrunning in SNE.

Yeah both CMC models are pretty far north with the surface relection. I’d probably toss the gfs for now on a possible part deux unless the euro comes in south of ART.

Yeah tough run up there. ICON and euro still want that more north. Goofus took that surface low from like BUF to way south of ACK so the trough set up way south. Most of the models have been taking it from ART to off the coast of BVY which would be better for you and me.

Op and AI gfs crank that inverted trough for E NH/M

Sweet look for here. GFS works too. Just like the troughs I used to know.

Euro turns the 23rd into a juicy inv trough for SW ME on Xmas eve.