dendrite

Bottomed at -2.8°. Warming a little now, but the river valleys here were all around -10.

-2.5° on the hillside…not too bad. But yeah, there’s some double digit sub 0s around in the pits.

All of the runs of all of the models are essentially the same thing.

It’s too bad it’s suppression city right into the weekend. A little more relaxation from that PV lobe and it’d probably be a big hit for the region.

lol…that CMC low looked tropical forming in convection over the gulf stream. 100kt at 925

https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/NARR/1987.html Kinda strange it was number 1

Some big ‘uns there

Could there possibly be a better meteorologist name for someone at NWS NYC than Anthony Gigi?

CIPS has that #3 and Boxing Day 2010 #2

Looks completely stacked to me at 114hr off HSE. But if we could get the system to crawl more north than east we could wrap some good midlevel WAA in from the SE.

Some of that is going to be real. The sfc low goes nuclear down south and the system tries to stack while attempting to form a secondary on the triple point…but we lose the upper dynamics up here to help the sfc pressure falls. I’m still intrigued to some extent for up here.

Difference was Jan 2000 had that trailing shortwave phase in and pull the whole system back. As of right now none of the modeled shortwaves want to play that game.

Some similarities

Man that vort is digging for oil off of Savannah. Kinda has that look like it would throw back a massive deformation band like Jan 2000