SACRUS

down to 45 and now 55. So Cal pattern continues (minus the June gloom most days). Sunny as region in clear (hole) in the clouds. Trough and subsequent ULL creates persistent Onshore / E/ENE flow through the 9th. Overall below normal with a few near normal days sprinkled in. Rain chances continue to look minor with perhaps some showers Tue (6/6) and Sat (6/10) as ULL swings through. Upper 70s / near 80 Mon - Wed (6/7) with a cooler Thu (6/8) and Fri (6/9) in the low / mid 70s. Beyond there Euro lifts trough out between 10 - 12 and heights rise by mid month with a strong warm up. GFS has been less consistent in its depiction. Overall looking warmer (enhanced by recent dryness, cooler lows).

Records: Highs: EWR: 97 (1943) NYC: 95 (1895) LGA: 93 (1943) Lows: EWR: 45 (1946) NYC: 45 (1929) LGA: 49 (1946) Historical: 1860: Iowa's infamous Camanche Tornado, likely an F5 storm, kills 92 and injures 200. Every home and business were destroyed. It was one of the most damaging families of tornadoes ever to strike the US and resulted in more farm fatalities than any other tornado except for the Tri-State tornado. 1921 - A cloudburst near Pikes Peak CO killed 120 people. Pueblo CO was flooded by a twenty-five foot crest of the Arkansas River, killing 70 persons. Fourteen inches of rain was reported at Boggs Flat, where a hard surface road through nearly level country was washed out to a depth of seven feet. (The Weather Channel) 1959 - Thunderstorms in northwestern Kansas produced up to eighteen inches of hail near Salden during the early evening. Crops were completely destroyed, and total damage from the storm was about half a million dollars. Hail fell for a record eighty-five minutes. The temperature dropped from near 80 degrees prior to the storm to 38 degrees at the height of the storm. (David Ludlum) 1987 - Six days of flooding in South Texas culminated with five to six inch rains from Bexar County to Bandera County, and five to nine inches rains in Gonzalez and Wilson Counties. Total crop damage was estimated at 500 million dollars. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Early morning thunderstorms in southern Texas produced wind gusts to 86 mph at Port Isabel, and wind gusts to 83 mph at South Padre Island. Unseasonably hot weather prevailed from the Southern Plateau Region to the Northern High Plains. Fourteen cities reported record high temperatures for the date. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing over the Southern Plains Region during the afternoon hours produced severe weather into the night. Thunderstorms spawned eleven tornadoes, and there were 169 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 80 mph at Newcastle, OK, and Wilson, OK. Softball size hail was reported at Monahans, Childress and Groesbeck TX. Monahans TX reported six million dollars damage. Five inches of rain deluged Geronimo OK. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1993: Early morning severe thunderstorms dumped huge hailstones across northern Oklahoma. Hail, up to 6 inches in diameter in Enid, went through roofs of homes, damaged three jets at Vance Air Force Base, and did $500,000 in damage at a car dealership. Winds gusts reached 70 mph at Vance Air Force Base as well. Hail damage to the wheat crop was estimated at 70 million dollars. 1997: It was a chilly day in the East. The high temperature at Philadelphia International Airport was only 59 degrees, tying a record-low maximum for the date set back in 1881. The temperature at Middletown, Pennsylvania rose to 58 degrees, breaking the record-low maximum for the date of 59 degrees set back in 1915. Washington, DC only reached 58 degrees, breaking the old record-low maximum of 59 set back in 1915. Central Park in New York City only reached 61 degrees.

69/61 ENE wind. Clouds pushing in and highs kind of capped where they are. Some mist/drizzle possible. Clearing on Sun (6/4) and warmer into the 70s, have to see if clouds are stubborn and linger a bit, keeping it cooler. Overall trough into the Northeast / Mid Atlantic the next 5 - 7 days. As flow comes around to the SW we will have a warm day (near normal) sprinkled in Mon (6/5) but temps a bit below normal overall and despite an anomalous trough and potential cut / ULL guidance has limited precip chances. We'll have to see if that increses Wed/Thu (6/8). Trough lifts a bit next weekend and it looks to head back towards normal. We'll see if there is a day of warmer / hotter around the 10/11th. By mid month heights look to push ridging east and we'll see if the persistent weakness into the NE and S- Canada creates more onshore flow.

6/2 PHL: 95 TTN: 93 TEB: 93 New Brnswc: 92 EWR: 91 NYC: 91 LGA: 90 BLM: 85 ACY: 85 ISP: 80 JFK: 79

6/2 PHL: 95 TTN: 93 TEB: 93 New Brnswc: 92 EWR: 91 NYC: 91 LGA: 90 BLM: 85 ACY: 85 ISP: 80 JFK: 79

Noon Round up and a isolated storm popped in N-NJ EWR: 90 New Brnswck: 90 TTN: 88 NYC: 87 TEB: 86 PHL: 86 LGA: 84 BLM: 82 ACY: 81 ISP: 79 JFK: 78

yeah we were lucky in late April and some of us two weekends ago outside of that its been so dry in the area. We have become a So-Cal like pattern of late. We'll see of the trough and subsequent cut off increases rain chances Mon - Fri of this coming week.

11AM Roundup EWR: 88 New Brnswck: 87 TTN: 85 TEB: 85 BLM: 83 PHL: 83 LGA: 83 NYC: 83 ACY: 79 ISP: 77 JFK: 76

Show 91 as forecasted high likely get near or to the record high of 93 for the day at this pace and wind

Records: Highs: EWR: 93 (2000) NYC: 96 (1895) LGA: 94 (1989) Lows: EWR: 48 (1946) NYC: 48 (1946) LGA: 48 (1946) Historical: 1889 - A great flood on the Potomac River in Washington D.C. took out a span of Long Bridge, and flooded streets near the river. The flood stage reached was not again equalled until 1936. (David Ludlum) 1917 - The temperature at Tribune, KS dipped to 30 degrees to establish a state record for the month of June. (The Weather Channel) 1949 - A tornado northeast of Alfalfa OK circled an area one mile in radius. (The Weather Channel) 1985 - Lightning struck a house, broke a bedroom window, and jumped to a metal frame bed. A man was killed but his wife was unharmed by the lightning. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms spawned seven tornadoes in West Texas and six tornadoes in Illinois. Thunderstorms in Illinois produced wind gusts to 70 mph at McComb and Mattoon. Thunderstorms in southern Texas produced 5.5 inches of rain south of Seguin, and up to eight inches of rain in Washington County. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Severe thunderstorms in Texas and Oklahoma produced hail more than three inches in diameter near Stilwater OK, and softball size hail in Jones County of north central Texas. Baseball size hail and 70 mph winds caused an estimated 100 million dollars damage around Abilene TX. (National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather across much of the south central U.S. through most of the day and night. Thunderstorms spawned a dozen tornadoes, and there were 123 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 78 mph at Russell KS, and baseball size hail was reported at Denver CO, Cuthbert TX, and in Reeves County TX. Afternoon thunderstorms in southern New England produced wind gusts to 120 mph at Fitchburg, MA, causing five million dollars damage. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1998: Frostburg, Maryland on June 2, 1998, at 9:45 PM - This was part of a killer outbreak of tornadoes that moved southeast from Pennsylvania. The storm entered Garrett County, Maryland striking the town of Finzel. It then moved up and over Big Savage Mountain in Allegany County and ripped through the northern portion of Frostburg. It reached its peak strength as it crossed the ridge. Winds were estimated between 210 and 250 mph (F4 on the Fujita Tornado Damage Scale). This was the first tornado to "officially" be rated an "F4" in the State of Maryland. The National Weather Service adopted the Fujita Damage Scale in 1973. The total damage path of the Frostburg tornado was over 25 miles long (8 miles in Allegany County) and up to a half-mile wide. Along most of its path, it was producing winds over 125 mph (F2 or stronger). The damage path was continuous as it moved up and down over 2000-foot mountain ridges. The fact that no one was killed in Maryland was attributed to 5 to 10 minutes warning that was well communicated to people in Frostburg over television, radio, scanners, telephones, and sirens. People took quick action to move to their basements. A mother and child rode out the storm as it destroyed their house hiding under a table in the basement. They were shaken but unharmed. A jacket from a Frostburg home was found 25 miles away. A diploma was found near Winchester, Virginia, 60 miles away and a bill was found near Sterling Virginia (about 100 miles away).

75 / 57 here and a hot but dry one on tap. Hottest day of the next 9 likely on tap with widespread mid - upper 80s and 90s n the warmer spots on a N/NW flow. Recent dryness will aid in enhancing highs above guidance. Looks mainly sunny through much of the afternoon. Some late clouds and showers possible as winds come around to the NE and push much cooler air into the region. Perhaps a few record highs are possible on the over achieving warmth. It w Still be interesting to see Sat (6/3) and how much sun vs low marine layer keeps it in the 60s or 50s along the coats. Looks to clear Sun (6/4) and push back to the low 70s but could see clouds hang around and if so , lower temps then. Mon (6/5) - Fri (6/9) trough into the northeast with cooler / near normal temps but guidance brings little if any rain chances. We'll have to see if the cut off / ULL swings some more rain chances in the area. Warmer by later next weekend and into the following week. Nothing clear yet on any of the long range guidance but would see a migration with ridging pushing east or pieces of building heat come over the top more frequent later in the month.

6/1 TEB: 89 PHL: 88 EWR:88 New Brnswck: 87 NYC: 87 TTN: 87 LGA: 86 ACY: 79 BLM: 78 ISP: 77 JFK: 76

88 here. Overperformer

Interesting shot at record high at EWR Friday : 93 and then perhaps record low Sunday morning 48.

Records: Highs: EWR: 94 (1987) NYC: 96 (1895) LGA: 94 (1987) Lows: EWR: 46 (1945) NYC: 44 (1945) LGA: 46 (1945) Historical: 1812 - Apple trees at New Haven CT did not blossom until the first of June, the latest such occurrence during the period beginning in 1794. Snow whitened the ground in Cleveland OH and Rochester NY. (David Ludlum) 1903 - A strong tornado just 50 to 75 yards in width killed many persons around the Gainesville GA Cotton Mill. The tornado strengthened and widened near the end of its four mile path, killing 40 persons at New Holland GA. A total of 104 persons were killed in the tornado. (The Weather Channel) 1919: Snowfall of almost a half-inch fell at Denver, Colorado. This storm produced their greatest 24-hour snowfall recorded in June. Two temperature records were set: The low temperature of 32 degrees was a record low for the date, and the high of only 40 degrees was a record low maximum. Cheyenne, Wyoming recorded 1.6 inches of snow, which is one of only six times that at least one inch of snow has fallen at Cheyenne in June. 1934: June started off on a warm note as high temperatures surpassed the century mark across parts of the Midwest. Several locations tied or set a record high temperatures for June including: Rockford, IL: 106°, Mather, WI: 105°, Hatfield, WI: 103°, Mondovi, WI: 102°, Chicago, IL: 102° and Grand Rapids, MI tied their June record high with 102°. 1980 - A man from Falmouth ME was struck by lightning restoring his eyesight. The man had been blind and partially deaf since a truck accident in 1971. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Severe thunderstorms in the Upper Mississippi Valley and the Lower Ohio Valley produced wind gusts to 81 mph at Albert Lea Airport in southern Minnesota, and baseball size hail around Otterbein IN, Sarona WI, and Danville IL. Two inches of hail totally destroyed 5000 acres of corn and soybean north of Danville. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms drenched north central Texas with torrential rains, with more than 14 inches reported in Commanche County. Afternoon thunderstorm in New Jersey and Pennsylvania produced wind gusts to 70 mph. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing during the afternoon over the Southern Plains Region produced severe weather through the evening and the night, spawning nine tornadoes. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 80 mph at Alpine TX, and baseball size hail at Balmorhea, TX, Fluvanna, TX, and in Borden County, TX. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1999: A tornado with an intermittent damage path destroyed 200 homes, businesses, and other buildings in the southern portion of St. James, Missouri. Of these, 33 homes were destroyed along with the St. James Golf Course clubhouse and two Missouri Department of Transportation buildings. The tornado then moved east, south of the downtown St. James area and intensified. F2 to F3 damage occurred with a 200 to 300-yard damage path. Several homes and farm buildings were severely damaged or destroyed. Further north, severe thunderstorms produced many tornadoes around central Illinois. The most intense tornado touched down in Montgomery County south of Farmersville and moved into southwest Christian County. One person was killed when a semi-trailer overturned at a rest area on I-55. Across eastern parts of the state, high winds up to 70 mph caused damage to trees, power lines, and some buildings. The Mattoon area also reported flooding from these storms, producing $3 million dollars in damage.

72/57 and on way to a warm start of the month in the low perhaps mid 80s . Some 12-15 hours of heat Friday, coupled with recent very dryness, should get 90 / low 90s in the warm spots on a N-NW flow. Flow turns around to ENE/NE by Friday overnight into Sat (6/3) perhaps a stray storm. Saturday ugly with clouds, drizzle and temps hung up in the upper 50s / low 60s. ULL looks positioned e/ne of the area through the weekend. So Sun (6/4) may clear out a bit but still cool. Trughing into the northeast 6/4 - 6/8. Keeps it cooler than normal overall by a bit and we'll see if rain chances materialize. Beyond there warming with the ECm most pronounced.

5/31 TEB: 80 PHL: 80 TTN: 79 EWR: 78 New Brnswck: 77 NYC: 77 ACY: 74 LGA: 74 ISP: 74 BLM: 71 JFK: 70

71/41 gorgeous california style weather.

back into the 80s to open the month Thu (6/1) and some stray 90 degree readings Fri (6/2) before a sharp change as strong NE flow pushes backdoor front through on Sat (6/3). Sat may stay in the low 60s or lower with clouds and drizzle (ugly day). Sun (6/4) perhaps a bit to clear out and remaining cool. Trough builds down next week ECM a bit flatter, GFS cuts off low and spins waves around it with rain chances next Tue - Wed (6/7). Beyond there heights are rising by the 9th and warmer push into the area. ECM much more robust on potential above normal, GFS closer to normal till md month.

Records: Highs: EWR: 98 (2022) - hot one a year ago NYC: 96 (1939) LGA: 96 (1987) '87 a very warm May overall Lows: EWR: 44 (1938) NYC: 46 (1938) LGA: 50 (2021) Historical: 1830: Shelbyville, Tennessee was turned into "a heap of ruins" as a tornado moved east through the center of the town. This tornado destroyed 15 homes and 38 businesses along with churches and other public buildings. Losses were estimated to be as high as $100,000. A book was said to be carried seven miles away. 1889 - The Johnstown disaster occurred, the worst flood tragedy in U.S. history. Heavy rains collapsed the South Fork Dam sending a thirty foot wall of water rushing down the already flooded Conemaugh Valley. The wall of water, traveling as fast as twenty-two feet per second, swept away all structures, objects and people. 2100 persons perished in the flood. (David Ludlum) 1941 - Thunderstorms deluged Burlington KS with 12.59 inches of rain to establish a 24 hour rainfall record for the state. (The Weather Channel) 1985 - Severe thuunderstorms spawned forty-one tornadoes across the Lower Great Lakes Region and southeastern Ontario which killed 74 persons. (Storm Data) 1987 - Thunderstorms in New England produced wind gusts up to 90 mph at Worcester, MA, and Northboro, MA, and hail an inch and a half in diameter at Williston, VT. Unseasonably hot weather prevailed in the northeastern U.S. The afternoon high of 94 degrees at Portland, ME, was a record for the month of May. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Hot and humid weather prevailed in the eastern U.S. Thirteen cities reported record high temperatures for the date. Cape Hatteras, NC, reported their first ninety degree day in May in 115 years of records. "Dust buster" thunderstorms in northwest Texas drenched Amarillo with more than three inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather and torrential rains in northern Indiana, northern Ohio and southern Lower Michigan. Saint John IND was drenched with four inches of rain in two hours, and Woodland MI was deluged with two inches in twenty minutes. Pittsburgh PA reported a record 6.55 inches of rain for the month of May, with measurable rain reported on twenty-five days during the month. (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms developing along a warm front produced severe weather from northwest Texas to southeastern Louisiana. The thunderstorms spawned sixteen tornadoes, including thirteen in northwest Texas. One tornado hit the town of Spearman, TX, causing more than a million dollars damage, and seven other tornadoes were reported within twenty-five miles of Spearman. Thunderstorms over northwest Texas also produced baseball size hail at Monahans, and wind gusts to 80 mph at Paducah. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2013: The 2nd of the top 10 weather events for 2013 was EL Reno, Oklahoma tornado of May 31, 2013. Part of the multi-day storm outbreak caused $2 billion in damage. The EF3 that traveled through the western suburbs of Oklahoma City was the largest tornado ever observed with a width of 2.6 miles. It took eight lives including four tornado chasers.

A bit warmer today mid / upper 70s before back into the 80s to open the month Thu (6/1) and some stray 90 degree readings Fri (6/2) before a sharp change as strong NE flow pushes backdoor front through on Sat (6/3). Sat may stay in the low 60s or lower with clouds and drizzle (ugly day). Sun (6/4) perhaps a bit to clear out and remaining cool. Trough builds down next week ECM a bit flatter, GFS cuts off low and spins waves around it with rain chances next Tue - Wed (6/7). Beyond there heights are rising by the 9th and warmer push into the area. ECM much more robust on potential above normal, GFS closer to normal till md month.

5/30 PHL: 76 NYC: 72 TEB: 72 TTN: 71 EWR: 70 New Brnswck: 70 LGA: 69 ISP: 68 ACY: 68 BLM: 66 JFK: 66

Wouldnt surprise me if it's off by more than 20 degrees and Saturday is stuck in the 60s, perhaps midnight / wee morning highs but Sat and potentially Sunday look cool and mistu.