SACRUS
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71 / 67 SW wind. Partly cloudy with some low clouds and fog around. A bit drier with isolated storms and showers today and widely scattered and isolated later Thu (6/29) and Fri (6/30). Smoke may spoil the sunnier day Thu but Friday looks like the nicest day since last Mon (6/19). Holiday weekend warm, humid and scattered storms Low / mid 80s perhaps upper 80s where/when its most sunny for length. storms focus on sun pm and mon pm. Fourth of July looks to be much like today widely scattered storms perhaps some lingering morning sun. Look to continue warm, humid and storms chances through the middle of the holiday week. Beyond there - Western Atlantic Ridge positions expanded west and this will be key in drying and heating up in the 7/9 and beyond or continued hung up boundary. Hazy, Warm , Humid for now.
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6/27 PHL: 84 New Brnswck: 83 ACY: 83 EWR: 82 TEB: 81 TTN: 81 LGA: 81 BLM: 80 NYC: 79 JFK: 78 9 ISP: 77
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Thu (6/29) and Fri (6/30) continue to appear to be dry and partly / mostly sunny days mid / upper 80s. Weakness and hung up front / boundary clinging by the east coast into the first week of Jul so continued storm chances. If the Western Atlantic Ridge can position more west and hook with the TX ridge more we'll dry out and heat up quickly. Right now its acting a a barrier wall holding up the front.
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Models continue a warm / humid n=unsettled pattern into Sat / Sun but much like the past weekend there should be periods of sun and more scattered storms . Sun night into Monday looks more focused storms/showers. Later the third and Independence day looks to dry out with more isolated storms. Sat: Scattered storms : low - mid 80s Sun (7/2): scattered storms / overnight widespread storms: low 80s Mon (7/3) early storms : mid 80s Tue (7/4) : Isolated storms : mid 80 / upper 80s.
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68 / 66 and 1.10 in the bucket the last 24 hours here. Clouds , humid and storms circling around the area. Today looks to be the more cloudier / cooler day of the week. Wed much clouds and pokes of sun with more storms. Perhaps a break or more isolated storms only on Thu (6/29) and Fri (6/30) so with sun enough chance to warm up. Holiday weekend Sat (7/1) and Sun (7/2) scattered storms but should be periods of sun / low to mid 80s. Not a complete washout but definitely storms abound. Mon (7/3) warm / humid and scattered storms. Independence day still looks warm / sunnry and isolated storms. Beyond there warm / humid pattern continues. When we get enough clearing the heat form the TX/Southern Plains ridge will heat it up. Have to watch the western atlantic ridge expansion west.
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6/26 PHL: 87 TTN: 86 LGA: 83 New Brnswck: 83 ACY: 83 TEB: 82 BLM: 82 JFK: 81 ISP: 80 EWR: 80 NYC: 78
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Records: Highs: EWR: 102 (1952) NYC: 100 (1952) LGA: 101 91952) Lows: EWR: 55 (1986) NYC: 56 (1979) LGA: 55 (1985) Historical: 1888 - Residents of New York suffered through a record heat wave. Daily average temperatures were above 80 degrees for fourteen straight days. The heat wave was a sharp contrast to the severe blizzard in March of that year, which buried the city under nearly two feet of snow. (David Ludlum) 1977 - The Human Lightning Conductor, park ranger Roy C. Sullivan, was struck by lightning for the seventh time. He was first hit in 1942, then again in 1970, 1972, 1973 and 1976. (The Weather Channel) 1983 - Record heat prevailed from Texas to Michigan. Alpena MI hit 98 degrees. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1985 - A spectacular early morning waterspout developed at 5:20 AM (MST) from a stationary thunderstorm over the south end of the Great Salt Lake in Utah. It was visible 20 miles away, and lasted four minutes. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Hot weather prevailed in the Pacific Northwest. Afternoon highs of 88 degrees at Seattle, WA, 103 degrees at Medford, OR, and 111 degrees at Redding, CA, were records for the date. Cloudy and cool weather prevailed in the northeastern U.S. The high at Boston, MA, was just 60 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Thirteen cities in the southeastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. In Montana, the record high of 102 degrees at Billings, MT, was their fifteenth of the month, and the high of 108 degrees at Glasgow MT equalled their record for June. Thunderstorms in the Atlantic Coast Region produced wind gusts to 102 mph at Tall Timbers MD. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from the Central Plains to the Middle Mississippi Valley. There were 129 reports of severe weather during the day and night. Thunderstorms in Kansas produced wind gusts to 90 mph at Liberal, and hail four inches in diameter at Quinter. Thunderstorms in Wisconsin spawned a tornado at Lake Delton injuring four persons. Lightning struck and killed a woman at Junction City, KS, who had gotten out of her car to photograph the lightning. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)crossed northern Mexico), began to spread heavy rain into southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana. (The National Weather Summary)
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72 / 71 and partly cloudy. Tropics pattern continues into day 4. More storms and soakers between breaks in clouds which if any are for any length of time could push temps into the mid/ upper 80s. More of the same tomorrow perhaps not as humid but plenty of storms through Wed (6/28). Perhaps a break or mainly isolated storms Thu (6/29) and Fri (6/30) and with enough sun a warm mid/upper 80s but i think clouds will be a plnety and nearby debris from storms to the north and east. Holiday weekend. The Rockies / TX / S Plains ridge will push pieces of the intense heat up and east. Sat (7/1) / Sun (7/2) still humid, warm and storm potential. By Mon the third the flow is more westerly / NW'rly and its isolated rain chances and heating to upper 80s and the fourth could looks summery near 90 and dry. Beyond there overall warm, humid and continued storm chances. Pieces of the TX heat are nearby or just south so with enough clearing warm to hot days. Western Atlantic Ridge pushes into the Southeast/FL and we'll have to watch if it expands west into week 2. https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/GIFS/GOES16-NE-GEOCOLOR-600x600.gif
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6/25 EWR: 87 New Brnswck: 87 PHL: 87 ACY: 86 TTN: 86 NYC: 85 TEB: 85 BLM: 83 JFK: 83 LGA: 83 ISP: 81
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Made it to 88 before the clouds then storms arrives. Heavy rain , thunder currently and down to 77
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Records: Highs: EWR: 100 (1943) NYC: 99 (1952) LGA: 99 (1952) Lows: EWR: 53 (1932) NYC: 53 (1873) LGA: 55 (1940) Historical: 1749 - A general fast was called on account of drought in Massachusetts. It was the year of the famous dry spring in which fields and villages burned. (David Ludlum) 1925 - The mercury hit 101 degrees at Portland, OR, their earliest 100 degree reading of record. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders) 1953 - The temperature at Anchorage soared to 86 degrees, their hottest reading of record. (The Weather Channel) 1957: Hurricane Audrey moved northward, slowly strengthening until the 26th. At that time, a strong upper-level trough led to its acceleration and the hurricane deepened rapidly on its final approach to the Texas/Louisiana border. Audrey became the strongest hurricane on record for June upon landfall, as it reached category four strength. Its acceleration was unanticipated, and despite hurricane warnings in place, 418 people perished in the storm, mainly across southwest Louisiana. 1987 - Afternoon highs of 97 degrees at Miami, FL, 107 degrees at Medford, OR, and 111 degrees at Redding CA were new records for the date. It was the third of six straight days of record heat for Miami. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 70 mph at Austin, and gusts to 75 mph at Tulsa OK. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Fifty-two cities in the central and eastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Highs of 100 degrees at Erie, PA, and 104 degrees at Cleveland OH established all- time records for those two locations. Highs of 101 degrees at Flint, MI, 105 degrees at Chicago, IL, and 106 degrees at Fort Wayne, IN, equalled all-time records. Thunderstorms in Idaho produced wind gusts to 100 mph west of Bliss and north of Crouch, injuring 29 persons. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Tropical depression Allison, the remnants of what was earlier Cosme (a hurricane over the Pacific Ocean which dissipated as it crossed northern Mexico), began to spread heavy rain into southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana. (The National Weather Summary)
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Holiday weekend flow comes around more S Westerly and while storm chances remain it will be less widespread and higher heat potential as indications of the stronger heat nearby with >18c 850s near by. 7/1 - 7/4 looks warm and storm chances 7/1-7/2 with a drier summer(ier) 7/3 and July fourth. Sat 7/1 : low / mid 80s scattered storms Sun 7/2: Mid 80s scattered storms Mon 7/3 : mid / upper 80s scattered / isolated storms Tue 7/4 : upper 80s / low 90s
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78 / 68 here. Sun out. The tropical style pattern continues and when its sunny its very warm (mid / upper 80s) and when storms go they will be slow moving soakers. Mon (6/26) - Tue (6/27) look to feature the highest rain / storm concentration. Wed could be similar to today with Thu (6/29) and Fri (6/30) more frequent storms. Overall still think the area will get >2 inches of rain with spots to >5 inches under the heaviest rains. Overall warm / steamy (humid dewpoints upper 60s - low 70s). Rockies / TX /OK Ridge firing rounds of strong heat up and out. Holiday weekend flow comes around more S Westerly and while storm chances remain it will be less widespread and higher heat potential as indications of the stonger heat nearby with >18c 850s near by. 7/1 - 7/4 looks warm and storm chances 7/1-7/2 with a drier summer(ier) 7/3 and July fourth. Western Atlantic ridge on the move west to open July first pushing into the Southeast, then more Bermuda postion potentially which could setup a more sustained warm pattern but look for storms and rain chances / humidity to linger Hazy maybe hot (when sunny) and humid. 6/24
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6/24 New Brnswck: 84 TEB: 83 ACY: 83 EWR: 82 PHL: 82 TTN: 82 BLM: 80 LGA: 80 NYC: 78 JFK: 76 ISP: 75
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Suns poking through and 81/72 here.
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Some storms popping in EPA
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10 Days till the fourth of July. Looks warm currently but storms chances Sat/Sun befoee drier Mon the third and Tue Independence Day Go low to mid 80s Sat - Sun (some storms especially Sat the 1st) warmer Mon and Tue : 85 - 90 (isolated storms)
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Records: Highs: EWR: 97 (1966) NYC: 96 (1988) LGA: 96 (2013) Low: EWR: 49 (1932) NYC: 52 (1932) LGA: 53 (1947) Historical: 1816 - The cold weather of early June finally gave way to several days of 90 degree heat in Massachusetts, including a reading of 99 degrees at Salem. (David Ludlum) 1924 - Six men at a rock quarry south of Winston-Salem, NC, sought shelter from a thunderstorm. The structure chosen contained a quantity of dynamite. Lightning struck a near-by tree causing the dynamite to explode. The men were killed instantly. (The Weather Channel) 1951 - Twelve inches of hail broke windows and roofs, and dented automobiles, causing more than fourteen million dollars damage. The storm plowed 200 miles from Kingmand County KS into Missouri, with the Wichita area hardest hit. It was the most disastrous hailstorm of record for the state of Kansas. (David Ludlum) 1952 - Thunderstorms produced a swath of hail 60 miles long and 3.5 miles wide through parts of Hand, Beadle, Kingsbury, Miner and Jerauld counties in South Dakota. Poultry and livestock were killed, and many persons were injured. Hail ten inches in circumference was reported at Huron SD. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms spawned six tornadoes in eastern Colorado. Baseball size hail was reported near Yoder, CO, and thunderstorm winds gusting to 92 mph derailed a train near Pratt, KS. The town of Gould, OK, was soaked with nearly an inch and a half of rain in just ten minutes. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Forty-three cities reported record high temperatures for the date. Valentine NE reported an all-time record high of 110 degrees, and highs of 102 degrees at Casper, WY, 103 degrees at Reno, NV, and 106 degrees at Winnemucca, NV, were records for the month of June. Highs of 98 degrees at Logan, UT, and 109 degrees at Rapid City, SD, equalled June records. Lightning killed twenty-one cows near Conway, SC. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing along a warm front produced severe weather from Colorado and New Mexico to Kansas and Nebraska. Thunderstorms spawned seven tornadoes, and produced wind gusts to 80 mph at Wood River, NE, and hail three inches in diameter at Wheeler, KS. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
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71/70 tropics arrives. Cloudy drizzle although some breaks and clearing pushing into S/C NJ northward. 0.41in the bucket so far. Peristent southerly flow with trough into the GL and Ohio Valley Sat (6/24) - Fri (6/30). TX/ Southern plains and rockies ridge pushing heats into the south. Humid, mostly cloudy although some breaks in the clouds will remind some of what the sun looks like. Warm overall and nea normal due mainly to night time lows and by way of high humidity. Rain should push >2 inches for the area with spots getting >5 inches where slow moving storms develop. Where and when the sun comes out for length should push the temps into the mid upper 80s and outside chance of 90. Beyond there and Holiday July 4th weekend. Looks warmer with continued storms chances. Pieces of the heat from the TX/Southern plains will eject east and the goes more westerly by the 2nd and should allow for the area to heat up for the holiday. Overall looking warm and still potentially stormy. Heights elevated into the east coast. Western Atlantic ridge building west.
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Records: Highs: EWR: 97 (1965) NYC: 96 (1888) LGA: 95 (1965) Lows: EWR: 51 (1992) NYC: 49 (1918) LGA: 53 (1940) Historical: 1902 - The temperature at Volcano Springs, CA, soared to 129 degrees to set a June record for the U.S. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders) 1944 - Four tornadoes killed 153 persons and caused five million dollars damage in Pennsylvania, West Virginia and Maryland. The tornadoes formed during the evening and moved southeast along parallel paths flattening everything in their way. The town of Shinnston WV was leveled, and was left with the majority of the casualities. Until that time it was believed that damaging tornadoes did not travel across mountainous terrain. (David Ludlum) 1957 - A few miles west of Fort Stockton TX, softball size hail injured 21 persons unable to find shelter, mostly farm laborers. Some livestock were killed. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - A massive hailstorm hit eastern Colorado causing an estimated 60 to 70 million dollars damage. At La Junta, CO, hail as large as softballs caused 37 million dollars damage. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Thirty-four cities reported record high temperatures for the date. The reading of 90 degrees at Bluefield, WV, equalled their record for the month of June. The record high of 104 degrees at Billings, MT, was their thirteenth of the month. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Six cities in the High Plains Region reported record low temperatures for the date, including Sheridan, WY, with a reading of 38 degrees. Showers and thunderstorms in the eastern U.S. deluged New Castle County, DE, with 2.5 inches of rain in one hour. (The National Weather Summary)
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Agree on rain performing or exceeding - usual exceeds on this type of prolonged southerly flow. A few days in and flood watches will be the discussion with slow moving storms caught alof t in stagnant flow. Think the 2nd or 3rd could be the hotter days as it looks now but models have been a bit poor beyond day 4/5. Tendency is to have that weakness into the east until we get the W. atl Ridge to back in.
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66 / 62 the progression from the So Cal Marine desert to the tropics (Florida style) has occurred. Fri - Fri (6/30) overall southerly flow, humid, lots of clouds warm and plenty of showers/storms some of which will be slow moving soakers. Overall would expect >2 inches for most and some spots >5 inches in the 7 day period. Warm 850s >16c on a southerly flow will warm quickly where and when there is sun temps could soar to the upper 80s perhaps a stray 90. Focus on storms Sat (6/24) evening , Mon (6/26) evening and Wed (6/28). Beyond there going into the holiday weekend Southern Rockies Plains and TX robust ridge releases pieces of the stronger heat and look a see a day to two of that here as flow goes more Westerly. Still looks to remain humid, and potential stormy. Will have to refine the fourth of July forecast. Western Atlantic ridge moving west the first week. overall warm, humid and rain (storms) potential.
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Records: Highs: EWR: 101 (1988) NYC: 98 (1988) LGA: 99 (1988) Lows: EWR: 48 (1940) LGA: 53 (1992) NYC: 52 (1940) historical: 1928: A farmer near Greensburg, KS looked up into the heart of a tornado. He described its walls as "rotating clouds lit with constant flashes of lightning and a strong gassy odor with a screaming, hissing sound." 1947 - Twelve inches of rain fell in forty-two minutes at Holt, MO, establishing a world rainfall record. That record was tied on January 24-25, 1956, at the Kilauea Sugar Plantation in Hawaii, as their state record was established with 38 inches of rain in 24 hours. (The Weather Channel) 1972 - Hurricane Agnes deluged Pennsylvania and New York State with torrential rains resulting in the most costly flood in U.S. history. In the Middle Susquehanna Valley of Pennsylvania, 24 hour rainfall amounts were generally 8 to 12 inches, with up to 19 inches in extreme southwestern Schuylkill County. At Wilkes-Barre, PA, the dike was breached destroying much of the town. Flooding resulted in 117 deaths and 3.1 billion dollars damage. (David Ludlum) 1981 - A young woman from Lubbock, TX, was struck by lightning. The bolt of lightning struck just above her right shoulder near her neck, and passed right to left through her body, tearing her warm-ups, causing her tennis shoes to explode, and lifting her two feet into the air. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms in southern Texas produced wind gusts to 116 mph near Quemado. Thunderstorms in New York State produced 5.01 inches of rain in 24 hours at Buffalo, an all-time record for that location, and produced an inch of rain at Bath, PA. The temperature at Fairbanks AK soared to 92 degrees, establishing a record for the date. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Sixty-five cities in twenty-four states reported record high temperatures for the date. Tucson AZ reported an all-time record high of 114 degrees, surpassing the previous record of 112 degrees established a day earlier. Highs of 98 degrees at Pittsburgh, PA, and 100 degrees at Baltimore, MD, tied records for the month of June. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Record cold temperatures were reported in the High Plains Region. Rapid City, SD, reported a record low of 39 degrees, in sharp contrast to their record high of 102 degrees two days earlier, on the 20th. (The National Weather Summary) 2003: A hailstone measuring 7.0 inches in diameter with a circumference of 18.75 inches and weighing 1.33 pounds falls in Aurora, Nebraska. The National Weather Service reports this is the second largest hailstone ever documented in the U.S. by weight, and the largest by size at that time. The world's largest hailstone NOW was produced from storms in South Dakota; 8" in diameter and 1.9375 lbs. on July 23, 2010.
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61 / 54 and mostly cloudy ENE wind - raw some drizzle in spots. Bulk of the steady rain has shifted east and while today is still well below normal, cool and raw it wont nearly be as wet as initially modeled. The transition from a so Cal marine influenced desert pattern to a Florida style humid / warm and stormy will be completed tomorrow. 6/23 - 6/30 southerly flow - warm, humid and very active showers and storms (some slow moving soakers). Should manage >2 inches area wide and spots exceed 5 inches where the slow drenchers materialize / inland). When and where the sun comes out it warms up quickly and if we can manage any duration of sunshine some warm / hotter heat indices. 850s of >16C will keep it warm overall by way of higher low/minimums but some warmer days with sun are possible Thu (6/29). Rain chances look highest Sat night into Sun (storms) and then again on Mon (6/26). Beyond there into the Holiday weekend warm flow continues should see some of the TX/Southern plains heat bleed east and between transient troughs, as they lift out and the flow goes westerly/N'wrly a much warm - hot progression on a day o two. The Western Atlantics Ridge or a piece / southeast ridge looks to come back to life in this neck of the woods into the longer range D 10 or so. https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/GIFS/GOES16-NE-GEOCOLOR-600x600.gif
