SACRUS
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75/ 66 P cloudy and smoke haze (smaze). Dry and warm today and we continue a reprieve from the tropics. July opens not too bad warm / humid and scattered late storms before a stormier Sun (7/2) and Mon (7/3). When and where the sun is out it will warm or heat quickly with 850 temps >18c throughout the area. Southerly flow and heat spell some strong soakers late Sun and Mon especially. Storms and low pressure moving out by Fourth of July. Warm and drier 7/5 - 7/8 as it looks now with next shot at 90s with hot edge of the TX/OK , Southern Plain heat into the areas >16c. Beyond : overall warm and humid and the western Atlantic ridge looming by and expanding west spells a longer warmer stretch.
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75/ 66 P cloudy and smoke haze (smaze). Dry and warm today and we continue a reprieve from the tropics. July opens not too bad warm / humid and scattered late storms before a stormier Sun (7/2) and Mon (7/3). When and where the sun is out it will warm or heat quickly with 850 temps >18c throughout the area. Southerly flow and heat spell some strong soakers late Sun and Mon especially. Storms and low pressure moving out by Fourth of July. Warm and drier 7/5 - 7/8 as it looks now with next shot at 90s with hot edge of the TX/OK , Southern Plain heat into the areas >16c. Beyond : overall warm and humid and the western Atlantic ridge looming by and expanding west spells a longer warmer stretch.
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6/29 EWR: 85 New Brnswck: 85 TEB: 85 PHL: 85 BLM: 84 LGA: 83 TTN: 83 NYC: 82 JFK: 82 ACY: 81 ISP: 80
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Looks like a humid, warm and at times stormy Fourth of July extended weekend. Low - mid 80s, worst most widespread storms Sun PM and Mon PM into the morning of the fourth. Sat: Patly to mostly cloudy , humid near 80 / low 80s. Scattered storms. Sun : Partly cloudy, warm / humid low - mid 80s (warmer where the sun is out longer) widespread storms later at night Mon (7/3) : Cloudy with potential strong widespread storms PM / evening into the overnight Tue (Fourth of July) : becoming partly cloudy, warmer mid 80s . scattered storms persist in areas but not a washout.
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Smoke (thickest) visible into SNJ and DE/Mar/VA/C
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Mon (7/3) PM into the overnight looks widespread, could see some heavy rain. Fourth looks to clear or have leftover debris and mor scattered showers, much like yesterday id expect.
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Records: Highs: EWR: 102 (2021) NYC: 101 (1934) LGA: 98 (2021) Lows: EWR: 56 (1968) NYC: 52 (1919) LGA: 59 (1995) Historical: 1904: Tornado hits Karacharov Village area of Moscow killing about 24 people. 1931 - The temperature at Monticello FL hit 109 degrees to establish an all-time record for the state. (The Weather Channel) 1954 - Hurricane Alice dumped as much as 27 inches of rain on the Lower Rio Grande Valley of Texas. The Rio Grande River at Laredo reached a level 12.6 feet above its previous highest mark, and the roadway of the U.S. 90 bridge was thirty feet below the high water. (David Ludlum) 1987 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the Ohio Valley and the Great Lakes Region, with reports of large hail and damaging winds most numerous in Ohio, Indiana and Michigan. Thunderstorms spawned four tornadoes in Michigan. A tornado near Clare MI was accompanied by softball size hail. In Colorado, an untimely winter-like storm blanketed Mount Evans with six inches of snow. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Alpena, MI, reported a record low of 39 degrees while Jackson, MS, equalled their record for the month of June with an afternoon high of 105 degrees. Thunderstorms in the central U.S. soaked Springfield MO with 3.62 inches of rain, a record for the date. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the Southern and Central High Plains Region. Thunderstorms in Colorado produced softball size hail at Kit Carson, while pea to marble size hail caused ten million dollars damage to crops in Philips County, CO. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1998: "The Corn Belt Derecho of 1998" in the following states NE, IA, IL, IN, KY. A derecho which originated in far southeast South Dakota moved across Illinois during the afternoon and evening and continued as far east as Ohio the next morning. Every county in central Illinois sustained some damage, as these severe thunderstorms passed. Winds gusted in the 60 to 80 mph range, with some localized microbursts producing winds more than 100 mph. Significant damage occurred in the microburst areas, including the towns of Morton, McLean, LeRoy, and Tolono. In Tolono, 22 cars of a southbound 101-car Illinois Central freight train were blown off the tracks. It was unknown how many vehicles were picked up by the wind, but 16 cars were turned over, and another six derailed but remained upright. The train was en route to Centralia from Chicago with a load of mixed freight, including plastic pellets and meal. The freight cars empty weighed about 60,000 pounds, while a full one weighs about 260,000 pounds. Overall, 12 people were injured, and damage was estimated at around $16 million.
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71 / 60 and a brief reprieve from the higher humidity and storms the next 40 hours or so. Sunny/ worst of the smoke is south of the area and clearly seen over SNJ into the DelMarVa. Low / mid 0s today and a dry out day. Much of the same Fri (6/30) to close the month. Sunny mid 80s perhaps some upper 80s as warmer surge comes in from the TX/Southern Plains ridge. Holiday weekend. Warmer / humid and storm chances return Sat (7/1) - Tue (July Fourth AM). A surge of very humid and hot airmass over the region with 850 temperatures forecast >18c will heat things up when its sunny and fuel evening storm Sat and Sun (7/2). Mon (7/3) looks most widespread in the evening and overnight. July fourth will continue warm and humid with scattered storms around still. Beyond there warmer drier 7/5 - 7/8 period before next trough into the northeast. Overall warm and still storm chances could popup. 7/9 and Way beyond The W. Atl Ridge coming west would allow a period of much warmer to get into the region.
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6/28 EWR: 85 TEB: 85 BLM: 85 LGA: 84 JFK: 83 ACY: 83 New Brnswck: 82 NYC: 82 ISP: 81 TTN: 80 PHL: 80
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Flow does look to shove the plume more south and west - hoping so. I havent looked much but imagine canada is getting into the rains / storms s well and helping to quell the fires.
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Continues to look Florida-like into the Holiday weekend with humid, storm chances and warm condiitions. The fourth looks to dry out by morning from Mon 7/3 pm and evening to overnight storms. Sat: P. cloudy , scattered storms (mainly evening) : low - mid 80s Sun: P cloudy, sacttered storms : low 80s (perhaps more cloudy) Mon: P - m cloudy storms in the PM and evening (widespread) : near 80 Fourth of July : Morning scattered storms and clouds clearing , warm : mid 80s
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Yes there were periods of sun here as well, i meant first fully dry day with partly to mostly sunny conditions expected since 6/19.
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Records: Highs: EWR: 99 (2021) NYC: 96 (1991) LGA: 96 (2021) Lows: EWR: 53 (1970) NYC: 54 (1995) LGA: 55 (1995) Historical: 1788 - The Battle of Monmouth in central New Jersey was fought in sweltering heat. The temperature was 96 degrees in the shade, and there were more casualties from the heat than from bullets. (David Ludlum) 1892 - The temperature at Orogrande UT soared to 116 degrees to establish a record for the state. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders) 1923 - A massive tornado hit Sandusky, OH, then swept across Lake Erie to strike the town of Lorain. The tornado killed 86 persons and caused twelve million dollars damage. The tornado outbreak that day was the worst of record for the state of Ohio up til that time. (David Ludlum) 1924: An estimated F4 tornado struck the towns of Sandusky and Lorain, killing 85 people and injuring over 300. This tornado is the deadliest ever in Ohio history. 1975 - Lee Trevino and two other golfers are struck by lightning at the Western Open golf tournament in Oak Brook, IL. (The Weather Channel) 1980 - The temperature at Wichita Falls, TX, soared to 117 degrees, their hottest reading of record. Daily highs were 110 degrees or above between the 24th of June and the 3rd of July. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced severe weather in the north central U.S. Thunderstorms in Nebraska produced wind gusts to 70 mph and baseball size hail at Arapahoe, and wind gusts to 80 mph along with baseball size hail at Wolback and Belgrade. Six cities in the Ohio Valley reported record low temperatures for the date, including Cincinnati, OH, with a reading of 50 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Showers and thunderstorms brought much needed rains to parts of the central U.S. Madison, WI, received 1.67 inches of rain, a record for the date, and their first measurable rain since the Mother's Day tornado outbreak on the 8th of May. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Evening thunderstorms deluged Winnfield LA with eleven inches of rain in four hours and fifteen minutes, and Baton Rouge LA reported 11 inches of rain in two days. Totals in west central Louisiana ranged up to 17 inches. Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the Northern High Plains. Two inch hail broke windows in nearly every building at Comstock, NE. Thunderstorms in North Dakta produced two inch hail at Killdeer, and golf ball size hail at Zap. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
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2.47 here. Go from the stretch of dryness / sunny to this is par for course with these hung up patterns. The tendency for weakness into the northeast is persistent and we'll see how much the TX/S plains ridge comes east and north next week and the western atlantic ridge can expand west. It looks stormy nxt week but not as (wet) as this week.
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Smoke in Ohio and WPA on the move later today into our region tomorrow. We'll see how much haze or orange it does to mute the first sunny day in 9 days.
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71 / 67 SW wind. Partly cloudy with some low clouds and fog around. A bit drier with isolated storms and showers today and widely scattered and isolated later Thu (6/29) and Fri (6/30). Smoke may spoil the sunnier day Thu but Friday looks like the nicest day since last Mon (6/19). Holiday weekend warm, humid and scattered storms Low / mid 80s perhaps upper 80s where/when its most sunny for length. storms focus on sun pm and mon pm. Fourth of July looks to be much like today widely scattered storms perhaps some lingering morning sun. Look to continue warm, humid and storms chances through the middle of the holiday week. Beyond there - Western Atlantic Ridge positions expanded west and this will be key in drying and heating up in the 7/9 and beyond or continued hung up boundary. Hazy, Warm , Humid for now.
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6/27 PHL: 84 New Brnswck: 83 ACY: 83 EWR: 82 TEB: 81 TTN: 81 LGA: 81 BLM: 80 NYC: 79 JFK: 78 9 ISP: 77
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Thu (6/29) and Fri (6/30) continue to appear to be dry and partly / mostly sunny days mid / upper 80s. Weakness and hung up front / boundary clinging by the east coast into the first week of Jul so continued storm chances. If the Western Atlantic Ridge can position more west and hook with the TX ridge more we'll dry out and heat up quickly. Right now its acting a a barrier wall holding up the front.
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Models continue a warm / humid n=unsettled pattern into Sat / Sun but much like the past weekend there should be periods of sun and more scattered storms . Sun night into Monday looks more focused storms/showers. Later the third and Independence day looks to dry out with more isolated storms. Sat: Scattered storms : low - mid 80s Sun (7/2): scattered storms / overnight widespread storms: low 80s Mon (7/3) early storms : mid 80s Tue (7/4) : Isolated storms : mid 80 / upper 80s.
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68 / 66 and 1.10 in the bucket the last 24 hours here. Clouds , humid and storms circling around the area. Today looks to be the more cloudier / cooler day of the week. Wed much clouds and pokes of sun with more storms. Perhaps a break or more isolated storms only on Thu (6/29) and Fri (6/30) so with sun enough chance to warm up. Holiday weekend Sat (7/1) and Sun (7/2) scattered storms but should be periods of sun / low to mid 80s. Not a complete washout but definitely storms abound. Mon (7/3) warm / humid and scattered storms. Independence day still looks warm / sunnry and isolated storms. Beyond there warm / humid pattern continues. When we get enough clearing the heat form the TX/Southern Plains ridge will heat it up. Have to watch the western atlantic ridge expansion west.
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6/26 PHL: 87 TTN: 86 LGA: 83 New Brnswck: 83 ACY: 83 TEB: 82 BLM: 82 JFK: 81 ISP: 80 EWR: 80 NYC: 78
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Records: Highs: EWR: 102 (1952) NYC: 100 (1952) LGA: 101 91952) Lows: EWR: 55 (1986) NYC: 56 (1979) LGA: 55 (1985) Historical: 1888 - Residents of New York suffered through a record heat wave. Daily average temperatures were above 80 degrees for fourteen straight days. The heat wave was a sharp contrast to the severe blizzard in March of that year, which buried the city under nearly two feet of snow. (David Ludlum) 1977 - The Human Lightning Conductor, park ranger Roy C. Sullivan, was struck by lightning for the seventh time. He was first hit in 1942, then again in 1970, 1972, 1973 and 1976. (The Weather Channel) 1983 - Record heat prevailed from Texas to Michigan. Alpena MI hit 98 degrees. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1985 - A spectacular early morning waterspout developed at 5:20 AM (MST) from a stationary thunderstorm over the south end of the Great Salt Lake in Utah. It was visible 20 miles away, and lasted four minutes. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Hot weather prevailed in the Pacific Northwest. Afternoon highs of 88 degrees at Seattle, WA, 103 degrees at Medford, OR, and 111 degrees at Redding, CA, were records for the date. Cloudy and cool weather prevailed in the northeastern U.S. The high at Boston, MA, was just 60 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Thirteen cities in the southeastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. In Montana, the record high of 102 degrees at Billings, MT, was their fifteenth of the month, and the high of 108 degrees at Glasgow MT equalled their record for June. Thunderstorms in the Atlantic Coast Region produced wind gusts to 102 mph at Tall Timbers MD. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from the Central Plains to the Middle Mississippi Valley. There were 129 reports of severe weather during the day and night. Thunderstorms in Kansas produced wind gusts to 90 mph at Liberal, and hail four inches in diameter at Quinter. Thunderstorms in Wisconsin spawned a tornado at Lake Delton injuring four persons. Lightning struck and killed a woman at Junction City, KS, who had gotten out of her car to photograph the lightning. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)crossed northern Mexico), began to spread heavy rain into southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana. (The National Weather Summary)
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72 / 71 and partly cloudy. Tropics pattern continues into day 4. More storms and soakers between breaks in clouds which if any are for any length of time could push temps into the mid/ upper 80s. More of the same tomorrow perhaps not as humid but plenty of storms through Wed (6/28). Perhaps a break or mainly isolated storms Thu (6/29) and Fri (6/30) and with enough sun a warm mid/upper 80s but i think clouds will be a plnety and nearby debris from storms to the north and east. Holiday weekend. The Rockies / TX / S Plains ridge will push pieces of the intense heat up and east. Sat (7/1) / Sun (7/2) still humid, warm and storm potential. By Mon the third the flow is more westerly / NW'rly and its isolated rain chances and heating to upper 80s and the fourth could looks summery near 90 and dry. Beyond there overall warm, humid and continued storm chances. Pieces of the TX heat are nearby or just south so with enough clearing warm to hot days. Western Atlantic Ridge pushes into the Southeast/FL and we'll have to watch if it expands west into week 2. https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/GIFS/GOES16-NE-GEOCOLOR-600x600.gif
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6/25 EWR: 87 New Brnswck: 87 PHL: 87 ACY: 86 TTN: 86 NYC: 85 TEB: 85 BLM: 83 JFK: 83 LGA: 83 ISP: 81
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Made it to 88 before the clouds then storms arrives. Heavy rain , thunder currently and down to 77
