SACRUS

I would not be surprised to see popup storms ahead of the main line / front but a period oh storms / showers is very likely between 5pm and into the night

Up to 81 here with some breaks in the clouds and more sun now. We'll see if this is enough a break in clouds, showers to get some spots to 90. Next 90s would be post Aug 9.

Did you have 3 or 4 more with April / May?

Records Jul - 29 Highs: EWR: 100 (1949) the NYC/NJ area was in the throws of an intense heatwave in 1949 NYC: 99 (1949) LGA: 97 (1949) Lows: EWR: 59 (1937) NYC: 59 (1914) LGA: 62 (1984) Historical: 1898 - The temperature at Prineville, OR, soared to 119 degrees to establish a state record, which was tied on the 10th of August at Pendleton. (The Weather Channel) 1905 - Heavy rain in southwestern Connecticut caused a dam break, and the resulting flood caused a quarter of a million dollars damage at Bridgeport. As much as eleven inches of rain fell prior to the flood. (David Ludlum) 1958: The U.S. Congress passes legislation establishing the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), a civilian agency responsible for coordinating America’s activities in space. 1960: Severe thunderstorms brought damaging winds, possibly as high as 100 mph to central Oklahoma. Eight planes and several hangars were damaged at Wiley Post Airfield, while two aircraft and additional hangars were damaged at Will Rogers World Airport. The winds caused seven injuries in the area, including two youths who were injured by flying debris. 1981 - Fifty cattle, each weighing 800 pounds, were killed by lightning near Vance, AL. The lightning struck a tree and then spread along the ground killing the cattle. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from Minnesota to Indiana and Illinois. A thunderstorm at Janesville, WI, produced wind gusts to 104 mph which flipped over two airplanes, and blew another plane 300 feet down the runway. The northeastern U.S. experienced some relief from the heat. Nine cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Saint Johnsbury, VT, with a reading of 42 degrees. Barnet, VT, reported a morning low of 33 degrees, with frost reported on vegetation. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in Minnesota and Wisconsin. Hail three inches in diameter was reported south of Saint Cloud, MN. Hot weather prevailed in the western U.S. Fresno, CA reported a record thirteen straight days of 100 degree heat. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Morning thunderstorms in the Upper Midwest produced more than five inches of rain west of Virgil, SD. Afternoon and evening thunderstorms deluged the foothills and adjacent plains of Colorado with heavy rain. Rains of six to seven and a half inches fell in eight hours north of Greeley. Hail and heavy rain caused several million dollars damage in Weld County. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

whats your 90 degree count for the year ?

78 / 73 partly to mostly cloudy with some showers into CNJ andNE-NJ. Warm - hot and humid, where / when the sun is out temps jump to low 90s, perhaps mid 90s in spots with most sunshine. More scattered storms during the brunt of the day so likely not too bad before more storms later this evening and overnight with frontal passage. Looks most heaviest storms in the northern sections. Thick cloud deck about 7 - 9 hours away. Sun (7/31) - Wed (3rd) back to or below normal, less humid and great weather low - mid 80s in the warmest spots. Ridge is centering back near TX/OK this week with trough into the NE as the W. Atl. Ridge is contracted into the Atlantic. Winds come back around more SW by Wed and its more warm and humid with storm chances through Fri (5th). A bit back and forth through the opening of the week of the 8th before trough is backing into the GL and more overall warm, humid southerly flow is back as the Atl ridge is backing west. First week near normal / below overall Warming the second week / humid / more storms chances. Ridge and heights look to come up towards the end of the second week into the east.

storms moving into C/S - NJ.

http://www.swellmatrix.com/sst/sst-northeast8day.png

7/28 BLM: 96 EWR: 95 ACY: 95 LGA: 94 TEB: 94 PHL: 94 New Brnswck: 93 TTN: 92 NYC: 92 JFK: 91 ISP: 89

7/28 BLM: 96 EWR: 95 ACY: 95 LGA: 94 TEB: 94 PHL: 94 New Brnswck: 93 TTN: 92 NYC: 92 JFK: 91 ISP: 89

The height and expanse of the Western Atlantic Ridge / Bermuda high was less than forecast from the medium range. The 850 MB >20c stayed just south or we dealt with clouds/storms. the 594 line is just south of the area. We do get a blast of the stronger heat >20c 850 mb temps overnight into tomorrow but the front and storm clouds may blunt the highest readings potential. Still think we get some upper 90s in the hot spots today (97/98).

warm / wet too.

TTN/Park the cool spots typical of park more typical of TTN since 2018 or so.

A agree in this case it was a cooler 1/3, warm 1/3 and we'll see if August (1/3) end up on the plus side by way of warmer period once past the first week. Think we'll tunr more humid similar to end of June/early July towards the second week with that comes some hot days and storms.

That was early AUgust. We'll see id go warm / humid and much warmer than the first 7 - 8 days.

11AM Roundup: EWR: 90 BLM: 89 ACY: 89 New Brnswck: 89 JFK: 88 PHL: 88 TEB: 86 LGA: 86 ISP: 85 TTN: 84 NYC: 83

Records: Highs: EWR: 101 (1949) NYC: 99 (1949) LGA: 98 (1499) Lows: EWR: 58 (1962) NYC: 57 (1903) LGA: 60 (1984) Historical: 1819 - A small but intense hurricane passed over Bay Saint Louis, MS. The hurricane was considered the worst in fifty years. Few houses were left standing either at Bay Saint Louis or at Pass Christian, and much of the Mississippi coast was desolate following the storm. A U.S. cutter was lost along with its thirty-nine crew members. The storm struck the same area that was hit 150 years later by Hurricane Camille. (David Ludlum) 1898: A severe thunderstorm produced considerable hail (some stones to 11 ounces) in Chicago, Illinois business district. Some people were hurt, not by hail, but by several hundred runaway horses spooked by the hailstones. 1930 - The temperature at Greensburg, KY, soared to 114 degrees to set a state record. (The Weather Channel) 1934 - The temperature at Grofino, ID, climbed to 118 degrees to establish a record for Idaho. (The Weather Channel) 1952 - A severe storm with hail up to an inch and a half in diameter broke windows, ruined roofs, and stripped trees of leaves near Benson, AZ. The temperature dropped to 37 degrees, as hail was three to four inches deep, with drifts 46 inches high. (The Weather Channel) 1986 - Severe thunderstorms moving out of South Dakota across Iowa produce high winds which derailed eighteen piggyback trailer cars of a westbound freight train near Boone, IA. Sixteen of the cars fell 187 feet into the Des Moines River. The thunderstorms also spawned a number of tornadoes, including one which caused twenty-five to fifty million dollars damage at Sloan, near Sioux City, IA. (Storm Data) 1987 - Thunderstorms in Nevada produced wind gusts to 70 mph at Searchlight, reducing visibilities to near zero in blowing dust and sand. Thunderstorms in Montana drenched Lonesome Lake with 3.78 inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Thunderstorms drenched Wilmington, NC, with 3.33 inches of rain, bringing their monthly total 14.46 inches. Seven cities in Michigan and Minnesota reported record high temperatures for the date. Marquette, MI, hit 99 degrees, and the record high of 94 degrees at Flint MI was their tenth of the month. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Afternoon thunderstorms produced large hail and damaging winds in Massachusetts. Early evening thunderstorms over Florida produced wind gusts to 68 mph at Fort Myers, and evening thunderstorms in South Dakota produced nearly two inches of rain in twenty minutes at Pierpoint. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

85 / 71 sunny and warm. Hot and humid next 40 hours. Western Atlantic Ridge to its peak west expansion and with a SW flow pulling-in strong heat from the western ridge. Mid - upper 90s as 850 mb temps near / >18c. 20C 850 MB tomorrow ahead of front so depending on clouds some of the pre frontal heat can overperform. W. Atl. Ridge contracts and trough into the northeast pushes strong front through with potential strong storms later Sat (7/29)). Sun (7/30) clearing and back to / below normal. Mon (7/31) continues near/below with next shot at storms. Next month to open near / below normal and then a bit back and forth bias normal or cooler through the first week. The Ridge is entrenched out west with trough into the NE, the Western Atlantic Ridge is building west by the second week of next month and trough migrating into the GL with a more humid/warm S/SW flow with more storms chances. Moving to an overall warmer and humid / stormier.

7/27 EWR: 96 BLM: 96 LGA: 95 ACY: 95 TEB: 94 PHL: 94 New Brnswck: 93 JFK: 92 NYC: 92 TTN: 91 ISP: 86

7/27 EWR: 96 BLM: 96 LGA: 95 ACY: 95 TEB: 94 PHL: 94 New Brnswck: 93 JFK: 92 NYC: 92 TTN: 91 ISP: 86

Up to 92 here

Records: Highs: EWR: 101 (2005) NYC: 98 (1963) LGA: 100 (2005) Lows: EWR: 57 (1977) NYC: 55 (1920) LGA: 59 (1962) Historical: 1819: A hurricane affected the coast from Louisiana to Alabama. New Orleans was on the fringe of the storm and suffered no severe damage. Ships at the Balize experienced a strong gale for 24 hours that only grounded three ships. Lakes Pontchartrain and Borgne rose five to six feet during the storm, with farms along the lakes flooded by the storm tide. Forty-one lives were lost on the U.S. Man of War schooner Firebrand, a 150-ton gunship, while it lay off the west end of Cat Island. At 15 least 43 people died in all. 1926 - A hurricane came inland near Daytona Beach, FL. The hurricane caused 2.5 million dollars damage in eastern Florida, including the Jacksonville area. (David Ludlum) 1939 - The temperature at Lewiston, ID, hit 117 degrees to establish an all-time record high for that location. (The Weather Channel) 1943: A "surprise," Category 2 Hurricane moved ashore near Galveston, Texas. Due to World War II, all news underwent censorship, including any weather reports making this the surprise storm. The hurricane killed 19 people and caused millions of dollars in damages. Of particular note, Lieutenant Colonel Joe Duckworth and Lieutenant Ralph O'Hair flew an AT-6 Texan into the eye of the hurricane, becoming the first flight into the eye of the storm. 1943 - On a whim, and flying a single engine AT-6, Lieutenant Ralph O'Hair and Colonel Duckworth were the first to fly into a hurricane. It started regular Air Force flights into hurricanes. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms in Minnesota spawned a tornado which moved in a southwesterly direction for a distance of thirty miles across Rice County and Goodhue County. Trees were uprooted and tossed about like toys, and a horse lifted by the tornado was observed sailing horizontally through the air. Thunderstorms drenched La Crosse, WI, with 5.26 inches of rain, their second highest 24 hour total of record. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Hot weather prevailed in the north central U.S. Williston, ND, reported a record high of 108 degrees. Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the eastern U.S., and in southeastern Texas. Richland County, SC, was soaked with up to 5.5 inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced locally heavy rains in the southwestern U.S. Yuma, AZ, experienced their most severe thunderstorm of record. Strong thunderstorm winds, with unofficial gusts as high as 95 mph, reduced visibilities to near zero in blowing dust and sand. Yuma got nearly as much rain in one hour as is normally received in an entire year. The storm total of 2.55 inches of rain was a record 24 hour total for July. Property damage due to flash flooding and high winds was in the millions. (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from Wisconsin and northern Illinois to New England, with 103 reports of large hail and damaging winds through the day. Thunderstorms in Wisconsin produced hail three inches in diameter near Oshkosh, and wind gusts to 65 mph at Germantown. (The National Weather Summary)

Debris clouds from PA overnight storms which were widespread at a point

Looks quite nice Sunday - Tue , a few below normal before steaming/warming back up by Wed (8/3). A bit back and forth from there.

84/ 75. Partly sunny and very warm. Clouds from PA storms around and we'll see how cloudy it gets. Hot one on tap, mid / upper 90s, pending on clouds and any showers/storms some of the hot spots could touch near 100 but think we'll be a bit below ,97/98. Some scattered storms later mainly north along the periphery of the flexing W. Atl Ridge and hook to flow the western strong heat into the area. Fri (7/28) continued hot as peak of heat is ushered in 850 MB temperatures > 18cwith scattered or isolated storms in the pm. More mid - upper 90s and near records heat. Sat (7/30) continue very hot 850 MB temperatures get to 20c with mid / upper 90s. Caveat for 100 degree readings will be timing of the front as the W. Atl Ridge contracts, clouds from storms to the west and north could get in the way of exceeding upper 90s. The front does come through by the overnight into Sunday with storms. Sunday (7/30) dries out and is down near normal into the 80s. Kind of a back and forth near normal / dry 7/30 - 8/2 before steaming and warming back up Thu (8/3) - Sat (8/5) before next front. The western Atlantic Ridge expanding west with western ridge sustained forces a more humid and increases storm chances southerly flow with trough backing into the GL. Looks to go overall warm and storms chances by the second week of next month.