SACRUS
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Was clear on the 500MB forecast energy coming through. Should be out in next 2 hours and back to the late summer heat. Another one on the 500 riding the periphery of the ridge tomorrow , we'll see if it gets showers and storms to the surface.
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Past Labor Days EWR: 2010: 80 / 56 (0) 2011: 85 / 72 (0.2) 2012: 78 / 72 (0.08) 2013: 83 / 73 (0.14) 2014: 92 / 74 (0) 2015: 95 / 65 (0) 2016: 85 / 59 (0) 2017: 82 / 58 (0) 2018: 95 / 76 (0) 2019: 82 / 66 (0) 2020: 79 / 65 (0) 2021: 86 / 70 (0) 2022: 87 / 73 (0)
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Records: Highs: EWR: 95 (2018) NYC: 97 (1929) LGA: 93 (2018) Lows: EWR" 52 (1997) NYC: 47 (1883) LGA: 54 (1997) Historical: 1766: A hurricane made landfall at modern-day Galveston, Texas. The following is from David Roth of the Weather Prediction Center. “A mission, named San Augustine de Ahumado was located in what is nowadays known as Chambers County. This mission was destroyed and subsequently abandoned. A seven-foot storm surge put the area under water. A richly-laden treasure fleet of 5 galleons en route from Vera Cruz to Havana was driven ashore and had to wait many weeks for assistance to come. La Caraqueña wrecked on Galveston Island while El Nuevo de Constante sank along the western Louisiana coast. Fortunately, much of the treasure and people aboard were saved.” 1939 - A thunderstorm deluged Washington D.C. with 4.4 inches of rain in two hours. September of that year was very dry across much of the nation, and Washington D.C. received more rain in that two hour period than most other places in the country that entire month. (David Ludlum) 1970 - The greatest natural disaster of record for Arizona occurred. Unprecedented rains caused rivers in central Arizona to rise five to ten feet per hour, sweeping cars and buildings as far as 30 to 40 miles downstream. Flooding claimed the lives of 23 persons, mainly campers, and caused millions of dollars damage. Water crested 36 feet above normal near Sunflower AZ. Workman's Creek was deluged with 11.40 inches of rain in 24 hours to establish a state record. Moisture from Pacific Tropical Storm Norma led to the severe flooding. (4th-6th) (The Weather Channel) 1986 - An unusually strong dust devil moved across the Flagstaff Pulliam Airport. The dust devil blew open the doors of the National Weather Service office scattering papers and bringing down a ceiling-mounted light fixture. (Storm Data) 1987 - Thunderstorms developing along a stationary front produced heavy rain across the Southern Atlantic Coast States. Up to eight inches was reported north of Charleston SC. Serious flooding was reported in Monks Corner SC. Seven cities in the northeastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. Houlton ME dipped to 32 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - The western U.S. experienced another day of record heat. The afternoon high of 91 degrees at Stampede Pass WA established an all-time record for that location, and Los Angeles CA equalled their all-time record high with a reading of 110 degrees. A record high of 107 degrees at San Diego CA was their hottest reading in 25 years. Red Bluff CA was the hot spot in the nation with an afternoon reading of 118 degrees. (National Weather Summary) 1989 - Overnight thunderstorm rains of four and a half to seven inches drenched eastern Nebraska during the morning hours, pushing creeks out of their banks, and flooding fields, country roads and city streets. Totals ranged up to 6.97 inches south of Creston. It was also a soggy Labor Day for northern Florida. Jacksonville reported 6.82 inches of rain, and evening thunderstorms produced 2.75 inches of rain in one hour at Sandlewood. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 2000: Houston and College Station, Texas recorded their hottest day on record when highs reached 109° and 112° respectively. Houston has tied their record on August 27th, 2011. Other daily record highs included: Wichita Falls, TX: 111°, Waco, TX: 111°, Dallas, (DFW), TX: 111°, Austin, (Bergstrom), TX: 110°, Austin (Camp Mabry), TX: 110°, Dallas, TX: 110°, Victoria, TX: 110°, San Antonio, TX: 109°, Shreveport, LA: 108°, Corpus Christi, TX: 107 °F. 2011: The center of Tropical Storm Lee moved ashore around sunrise. However, it would be a while before Lee would weaken to a depression as it remained nearly stationary while the southern half of the circulation was over water where it could continue to derive additional energy from the warm ocean. Lee brought torrential rains to Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama.
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78 / 67 partly cloudy, head an early morning shower pass through and more showers into NENJ / NYC / LI. Partly cloudy and more humid with noticeably more clouds than Fri-Sun. Near to low / mid 90s for highs. Heat continues through Thu (9/7) with Wed (9/6) and Thu the hottest days with 850 MB temps forecast >18c to near 20c. Storms and showers arrive and pending on leading clouds Thu upper 90s. Fri (9/8) - Sat (9/9) showers and clouds with some heavier rains possible as the trough is slow to push front through with ridging off shore. Clears out by Sun (9/1O_ and the week of 9/11 looks dry and near normal about 10 - 15 degrees cooler than this current week. By mid month heights are rising and its warming up, overall warmer look with a tropical risk in the 9/16 - 9-/17 period.
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18Z GFS has NC then up the cost. 340 hours to go.
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Surprised 9/5 - 9/11 2015 didnt make the list.
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9/3 EWR: 92 ACY: 92 ACY: 91 BLM: 90 JFK: 90 TEB: 90 New Brnswck: 90 LGA: 90 TTN: 89 NYC: 88 ISP: 84
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9/3 EWR: 92 ACY: 92 ACY: 91 BLM: 90 JFK: 90 TEB: 90 New Brnswck: 90 LGA: 90 TTN: 89 NYC: 88 ISP: 84
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2PM ROunup EWR: 91 BLM: 89 PHL: 89 ACY: 89 New Brnswck: 89 TEB: 88 LGA: 88 NYC: 87 TTN: 86 JFK: 84 ISP: 83
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Almost it hit 91 8/21 at EWR - will surpass that today if not already.
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1PM Roundup EWR: 88 ACY: 88 TEB: 87 PHL: 87 New Brnswck: 87 BLM: 86 NYC: 86 LGA: 85 JFK: 84 TTN: 84 ISP: 83
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Records: High: EWR: 100 (1993) - long hot summer marched on NYC: 99 (1929) LGA: 95 (1993) Lows: EWR: 51 (1967) NYC: 50 (1893) LGA: 54 (1967) Historical: 1821 - A hurricane made landfall at Long Island, near Kennedy Airport, then moved through western Connecticut. The hurricane produced a record tide at New York City. (David Ludlum) 1821: Known as the 1821 Norfolk Long Island Hurricane, this storm ripped up the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast coast September 3 and 4 – coinciding with Labor Day (before the holiday was established). 1834: A strong hurricane made landfall near Georgetown, South Carolina. 1930: A Category 4 hurricane devastates the Dominican Republic on this day. This storm killed more than 8,000 individuals, which is it the fifth deadliest Atlantic hurricane on record. 1953 - The temperature at Erie PA reached 99 degrees, and Stroudsburg PA established a state record for September with a reading of 106 degrees. (The Weather Channel) 1961 - Denver, CO, received 4.2 inches of snow, their earliest snow of record. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1970 - During the early evening hours, in the midst of a severe hailstorm at Coffeyville KS, a stone 17.5 inches in circumference and nearly two pounds in weight was recovered. It was the largest measured hailstone in U.S. weather records. Average stone size from the storm was five inches in diameter, with another stone reportedly eight inches in diameter. (David Ludlum) 1979: Hurricane David made landfall in south Florida as a Category 2 storm. It caused 15 deaths in the US. Hurricane David was a Category 5 over the Dominican Republic were over 2,000 people died. 1987 - Temperatures dipped into the 40s and 50s for morning lows across much of the eastern half of the country, with eleven cities reporting record lows for the date. Pellston MI tied Gunnison CO for honors as the cold spot in the nation with a low of 30 degrees. Smoke from forest fires darkened skies in southern Oregon and northern California. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Sixteen cities in the northwestern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Highs of 89 degrees at Stampede Pass WA and 116 degrees at Redding CA established records for the month of September. Readings of 98 degrees at Spokane WA and 100 degrees at Yakima WA equalled records for September. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing ahead of a cold front produced severe weather from Minnesota to Nebraska during the day and evening. Evening thunderstorms in Nebraska produced wind gusts to 100 mph at Valentine and Gretna, and produced baseball size hail at Lewellen. Thunderstorms in Arizona produced 2.20 inches of rain in forty minutes at Green Valley, and wind gusts to 60 mph. Eight cities in Texas and Florida reported record high temperatures for the date, including Victoria TX and San Antonio TX, each with a reading of 102 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) T
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Records: Highs: Certainly for the park, but even coastal areas (LGA, JFK etc) will have a N/NNE flow later MOn / Tue. Wed / Thu (pending on clouds arrival) have the hottest potential.
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Yeah seems like by mid month could be warmer immediate coast with trough more into GL/NE. Coolest air of the season into SE Canada / ME next week but not penetrating south on latest longer range.
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73 / 63. Today is noticeably more humid but not too much. Start our heat stretch and overall much above normal Sun (9/3) - Fri (9/8). Overall warm to hot, near or mid 90s pending on the area. Coast in some N/NE flow so inland areas get the roast. 850 MB temps >16c peaking near 19C-20C Wed PM / Thu (9/7). Front comes in later Thu / Fri with more humid flow so dews back in the upper 60s perhaps 70s with next rain and showers chance. Cooler by Sun (9/10) and into the 9/11 week. Cool blow to the northeast 9/12-9/13 but doesn't penetrate too south. By mid month in the way beyond - overall warm. Tropics remain somewhat activ but most are atlantic storms of now.
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SHould dry and fade but perhaps a shower into N-NJ
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9/2 EWR: 83 New Brnswck: 82 PHL: 82 TTN: 81 TEB: 80 BLM: 79 LGA: 79 NYC: 79 ACY: 78 ISP: 75 JFK: 75
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Quickly to 77 here. Overperforming highs
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1953 HEAT WAVE https://www.life.com/history/heat-wave-photos-1950s/
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Records: Highs: EWR: 105 (1953) - sweltering heatwave NYC: 102 (1953) LGA: 102 (1953) Lows: EWR: 50 (1934) NYC: 51 (1886) LGA: 56 (2017) Historical: 1775: The 1775 Newfoundland hurricane, also known as the Independence Hurricane, was a storm that hit the Colony of Newfoundland. It is believed to have killed at least 4,000 people, making it one of the deadliest Atlantic hurricanes of all time. The death toll in Virginia and North Carolina was 163 lives. 1882: Possibly the first photograph of a lightning strike was taken on this day by William Jennings in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. 1887: The U.S. Army Signal Service station in Greenville, SC reported a minimum temperature of 50°F. This observation at Greenville still stands as the record low for the day. Additional stations across the state recorded low temps in the low 50's. 1935 - Perhaps the most intense hurricane ever to hit the U.S. struck the Florida Keys with 200 mph winds. The hurricane produced a fifteen foot tide and waves thirty feet high. 400 persons perished in the storm on that Labor Day. The barometric pressure at Matecumbe Bay FL hits a record low for the U.S. of 26.35 inches. (David Ludlum) 1950 - The temperature at Mecca, CA, soared to 126 degrees to establish a U.S. record for the month of September. The low that morning was 89 degrees. (The Weather Channel) 1985 - After teasing residents along the Gulf of Mexico for two days, Hurricane Elena finally came ashore at Biloxi MS. The hurricane, packing winds of 127 mph, caused more than a billion dollars damage. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Late evening thunderstorms in the Northern Plains Region produced wind gusts to 75 mph at Jordan MT, and a ""hot flash"" at Redig SD. The temperature at Redig rose from 66 degrees at 10 PM to 86 degrees at 11 PM as thunderstorm winds gusted to 36 mph. Nine cities in the Upper Ohio Valley, the Tennessee Valley and the Central Gulf Coast States reported record low temperatures for the date, including Elkins WV with a reading of 38 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Unseasonably hot weather prevailed in the northwestern U.S. Afternoon highs of 98 degrees at Olympia WA, 98 degrees at Seattle WA, 105 degrees at Portland OR, and 110 degrees at Medford OR, established records for the month of September. Quillayute WA equalled their September record with an afternoon high of 97 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Eight cities in the Gulf Coast Region reported record high temperatures for the date as readings soared into the upper 90s. Houston TX and Port Arthur TX hit 99 degrees. Late evening thunderstorms, developing ahead of a cold front, produced wind gusts to 63 mph at Dickinson ND, and golf ball size hail in North Dakota and Nebraska. Winds along the cold front itself gusted to 62 mph at Buffalo SD. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2002: An F3 tornado destroyed much of the downtown area of Ladysmith, Wisconsin. Overall damage was estimated at $20 million, but there were no fatalities.
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Recent dryness should aid in exceeding and overperforming temps. Records territory Mon - Wed.
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58 /56 off a low of 53 here. Should rocket to the mid 80s. Very nice day on top and weekend overall. Start mid septemberish 1/2 and close the back half mid summerish. Sun (9/3) - Thu (9/7) ridge builds and most sustained (widespread) heat of the season for most. Low to mid 90s, perhaps the hot spots can get a 97 or so. 850 MB nearing 18c - 19C >16c through Thu. Records highs safe till Mon - Wed when could challenge. Flow is N-NW. Most forecasts keep the ghost of Idalia east of New England , perhaps enough to turn a NE flow for coastal sections and clouds into LI (wed-Thu) we'll see. Otherwise nicest Labor Day weekend in while all 3/4 days. By later Thu - front / trough approaching and flow going and turning around more SW/S Fri (9/8) - Sat (9/9) - opposite of this spectacular weekend, and with it next shot at rain / storms. By Sun (9/10) trough and cooler NW/NNW flow returns. Way beyond looks more like turn to a more humid flow and warmer overall by mid month.
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9/1 EWR: 79 PHL: 79 TEB: 78 New Brnswck: 77 TTN: 77 JFK: 76 LGA: 76 ACY: 76 NYC: 76 ISP: 74 BLM: 72
