SACRUS

60 / 58 48 more hour hors of the dry pleasant and vert warm weather. Today more low and some places mid 80s again. Records safe though. Thursday appears to be last shot at 80. Trough digs in and front comes through later Fri (10/6) and Sat (10/7). Beyond there much cooler / near - below normal with frist forst and freezes inland - mountains first freezes. Overall trough into the east and looks wet through the 10/12 before perhaps a brief warmup southerly low bringing more rain.

10./3 (Highs) EWR: 85 New Bnswck: 83 LGA: 83 TEB: 83 PHL: 82 BLM: 81 TTN: 81 NYC: 80 ACY: 79 ISP: 78 JFK: 75

10/2 PHL: 82 EWR: 81 New Bnswck: 81 ACY: 79 LGA: 79 TEB: 79 TTN: 79 JFK: 78 ISP: 77 BLM: 77 NYC: 77

I am going to do the same for Tuesdays / Wednesdays

Records: Highs: EWR: 96 (2019) - Records safe for a long while NYC: 93 (2019) LGA: 95 (2019) Lows: EWR: 39 (1997) NYC: 39 (1886) LGA: 42 (2003) Historical: 1858: The only hurricane to impact California struck San Diego on this day. Two researchers with NOAA Michael Chenoweth and Christopher Landsea reconstructed the path of the storm using accounts from newspapers of the high winds. They estimated that if a similar storm were to have hit in 2004, it would have caused around $500 million in damage. 1882 - An early season windstorm over Oregon and northern California blew down thousands of trees and caused great crop damage in the Sacramento Valley. (David Ludlum) 1898: A Category 4 hurricane made landfall in Georgia on this day. This is the most recent major (Cat 3 or stronger) hurricane to make landfall in Georgia. 1894: A tornado passed over the Little Rock, Arkansas Weather Bureau office on this day. 1959 - A tornado struck the town of Ivy, VA (located near Charlottesville). Eleven persons were killed, including ten from one family. (The Weather Channel) 1980 - The temperature at Blue Canyon, CA, soared to 88 degrees, an October record for that location. (The Weather Channel) 1981 - Severe thunderstorms raked Phoenix, AZ, with heavy rain, high winds, and hail up to an inch and a half in diameter, for the second day in a row. Thunderstorms on the 1st deluged Phoenix with .68 inch of rain in five minutes, equalling their all-time record. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - A fast moving cold front produced snow flurries from Minnesota to the Appalachian Mountains, and gale force winds behind the front ushered cold air into the Great Lakes Region. Valentine NE reported a record low of 25 degrees. Temperatures recovered rapidly in the Northern High Plains Region, reaching the lower 80s by afternoon. Jackson, WY, warmed from a morning low of 21 degrees to an afternoon high of 76 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Early morning thunderstorms in Georgia produced three inches of rain at Canton and Woodstock. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Flooding due to thunderstorm rains in the southeastern U.S. on the last day of September and the first day of October caused the Etowah River to rise seven feet above flood stage at Canton GA. Thunderstorms produced up to ten inches of rain in northeastern Georgia, with six inches reported at Athens GA in 24 hours. One man was killed, and another man was injured, when sucked by floodwaters into drainage lines. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

70 / 60 and mostly clear. Enjoy the next 3 1/2 days (for those who prefer sunny / dry fall weather). Last of the 80s likely in sight till next spring. Warm and dry through Friday. Still have NNE flow but overall warm especially inland. Peak 850 MB temps >16C / 17c arrive Thu (10/5) and Fri (10/6) as flow come around to the SW - but trough is pushing front east and clouds and showers by later Friday and Sat (10/7). Clearing by Sun (10/8) . 10/9 - 10/13 much cooler first frost/ freeze in the mountains / NW sections. Beyond there trough into the E/NE spells more rain so overall wet and near/below normal by mid month. We''ll see how that persists or if warmer close becomes posisble.

10/1 EWR: 82 PHL: 81 New Bnswck: 80 TEB: 79 TTN: 78 BLM: 78 JFK: 77 LGA: 77 ACY: 77 ISP: 76 NYC: 76

78 / 52 here. Very nice out after the 9 of 10 days of clouds/rain Smoke offshore /E-LI

Hadnt seen the smoke forecasts Been a while Cant have clouds might as well have smoke

Records: Highs: EWR: 85 (1986) NYC: 88 (1927) LGA: 87 (1950) Lows: EWR: 38 (1947) - The 40s featured very cool Sep/Oct many records lows NYC: 36 (1947) LGA: 39 (1947) Historical: 1752 - The second severe hurricane in two weeks hit the Carolinas. The Onslow County Courthouse was destroyed along with all its records, and Beacon Island disappeared. (David Ludlum) 1890: The weather service is first identified as a civilian agency when Congress, at the request of President Benjamin Harrison, passes an act transferring the Signal Service’s meteorological responsibilities to the newly-created U.S. Weather Bureau in the Department of Agriculture. 1893 - The second great hurricane of the 1893 season hit the Mississippi Delta Region drowning more than 1000 persons. (David Ludlum) 1893: On this day, the village of Caminadaville, Louisiana, was destroyed by a massive hurricane. Caminadaville was a vibrant fishing community in the late 19th century, located on Cheniere Caminada, adjacent to Grand Isle in coastal Jefferson Parish in Louisiana. It took five days for the news of this devastating hurricane to reach New Orleans. 1938: Grannis and Okay, Arkansas set an all-time high-temperature record for October for Arkansas with 105 degrees. 1977: While an F3 tornado traveled less than one-mile through Montfort Heights or the greater Cincinnati area, it destroyed 12 homes and damaged 15 others. There were 17 injuries. 1987 - A blast of cold arctic air hit the north central U.S. An afternoon thunderstorm slickened the streets of Duluth MN with hail and snow, and later in the afternoon, strong northerly winds reached 70 mph. Unseasonably warm weather continued in the Pacific northwest. Afternoon highs of 90 degrees at Olympia WA, 92 degrees at Portland OR, and 89 degrees at Seattle WA, were records for the month of October. For Seattle WA it marked the twenty- first daily record high for the year, a record total in itself. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather across central Oklahoma and the eastern half of Texas. Thunderstorms in Texas produced softball size hail northwest of Nocona, and baseball size hail at Troy and Park Springs. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the southeastern U.S. through the daytime and evening hours. Severe thunderstorms spawned eleven tornadoes, with seven of those tornadoes in Georgia. A tornado southwest of Moultrie, GA, killed two persons and injured a dozen others. Tornadoes also injured one person north of Graceville, FL, and two persons at Bartow, GA. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

Thins clouds moving through shortly. Check satellitet loop i posted.

60 / 60 and last of the thin clouds moving ESE with bright sunshine in the next hour for most. Dry / warm stretch and its needed deep trough into the west coast and ridge into theast. Flow NNW today - Tue (10/3) with warm hghs near 80 / low 80s. Warm spots could get mid 80s and cool/wetter spots (Central park) may be stuck in the low - mid70s. Mon-Tue and Fri (10/6) winds less onshore Wed / Thu highest 850 MB temps forecast with >16C but NNE flow. Trough digs into the GL/MW pushes east by Fri (10/6) and next weekend with next rain chances. Cooler 10/8 - 10/13 - frost or first freezes into the higher elevations and chilly 40s to the coast likely. On the other side of mid October - looks near normal.

Sun coming out now. 68 / 60

Sun (10/1) starts feeling like we are in a warm pattern/ridging and out of the coold/rainy "oasis". Still some NNE flow through the week but very warm air all around against averages. 80s for the warm spots (park may stay 5 - 8 degrees below other sites with the growth). Peak warmth Wed - Thu (10/4). Trough into the GL/MW by the end of the week with front approaching Sat (10/6). Cooler period 10/ 8 - 10/11 looks like frost in the mountains/NW section as currently projected. Ridge into the NW pushes east by mud month and warmer one the other end of the middle 10/16 or so. We'll see how dry the 10/1 - 10/15 period can remain - tendency is for hung up fronts and it wants to rain here.

It'll be interesting to see high differences between NYC (park) and EWR/New Brnswck/ LGA etc Mon - Wed this week.

Records: Highs: EWR: 89 (1986) NYC: 89 (1986) LGA: 88 (1986) Lows: EWR: 38 (1942) NYC: 39 (2012) LGA: 43 (1947) Historical: 1896: A hurricane formed on September 22 and lasted until September 30. It formed directly over the Lesser Antilles and hit Cuba, Florida, Georgia, South and North Carolina, Virginia, Washington D.C., and Pennsylvania. Its maximum sustained winds were at 130 mph. The heaviest rainfall deposited in association with the storm was 19.96 inches at Glennville, Georgia. This hurricane was responsible for an estimated 130 deaths and $1.5 million in damage (1896 dollars). 1959 - Three tornadoes spawned by the remnants of Hurricane Gracie killed 12 persons at Ivy VA. (The Weather Channel) 1970 - A nineteen month drought in southern California came to a climax. The drought, which made brush and buildings tinder dry, set up the worst fire conditions in California history as hot Santa Anna winds sent the temperature soaring to 105 degrees at Los Angeles, and to 97 degrees at San Diego. During that last week of September whole communities of interior San Diego County were consumed by fire. Half a million acres were burned, and the fires caused fifty million dollars damage. (David Ludlum) 1977 - The temperature at Wichita Falls, TX, soared to 108 degrees to establish a record for September. (The Weather Channel) 1986 - Thunderstorms, which had inundated northern sections of Oklahoma with heavy rain, temporarily shifted southward producing 4 to 8 inches rains from Shawnee to Stilwell. Baseball size hail and 80 mph winds ripped through parts of southeast Oklahoma City, and thunderstorm winds caused more than half a million dollars damage at Shawnee. (Storm Data) 1987 - Afternoon thunderstorms in Michigan produced hail an inch in diameter at Pinckney, and wind gusts to 68 mph at Wyandotte. A thunderstorm in northern Indiana produced wet snow at South Bend. Seven cities in the northwestern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including readings of 98 degrees at Medford OR and 101 degrees at downtown Sacramento CA. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Unseasonably warm weather prevailed over Florida, and in the western U.S. The afternoon high of 94 degrees at Fort Myers FL was their tenth record high for the month. Highs of 98 degrees at Medford OR and 99 degrees at Fresno CA were records for the date, and the temperature at Borrego Springs CA soared to 108 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thirteen cities reported record high temperatures for the date, as readings soared into the upper 80s and 90s from the Northern and Central High Plains Region to Minnesota. Bismarck ND reported a record high of 95 degrees, and the temperature reached 97 degrees at Broadus MT. Afternoon thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced wind gusts to 60 mph at Wendover UT. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1992: The past month was the coldest September ever recorded in interior Alaska. Fairbanks averaged a frigid 31.7° which was 13.2° below normal and the first below freezing September ever. Beginning on the 9th and on every day for the rest of the month, a new record low was set for either low minimums or low maximums, or both. On this date, the city plunged to 3° to set a new all-time record low for September. Snowfall for the month totaled 24.4 inches which was more than three times the previous record for September.

59 / 58 continued 8 of 10 days if clouds and 3.01 inches from this event (luckily was just SW of the worst flooding) 12 more hours of the dingy grey and mist. Sun (10/1) starts feeling like we are in a warm pattern/ridging and out of the coold/rainy "oasis". Still some NNE flow through the week but very warm air all around against averages. 80s for the warm spots (park may stay 5 - 8 degrees below other sites with the growth). Peak warmth Wed - Thu (10/4). Trough into the GL/MW by the end of the week with front approaching Sat (10/6). Cooler period 10/ 8 - 10/11 looks like frost in the mountains/NW section as currently projected. Ridge into the NW pushes east by mud month and warmer one the other end of the middle 10/16 or so. We'll see how dry the 10/1 - 10/15 period can remain - tendency is for hung up fronts and it wants to rain here.

Records: Highs: EWR: 89 (1945) NYC: 88 (1945) LGA: 86 (1945) Lows: EWR: 40 (1942) NYC: 42 (1942) LGA: 43 (1942) Historical: 1927 - An outbreak of tornadoes from Oklahoma to Indiana caused 81 deaths and 25 million dollars damage. A tornado (possibly two tornadoes) cut an eight-mile long path across Saint Louis MO, to Granite City IL, killing 79 persons. The damage path at times was a mile and a quarter in width. The storm followed a similar path to tornadoes which struck in 1871, 1896, and 1959. (The Weather Channel) 1959 - A storm produced 28 inches of snow at Colorado Springs, CO. (David Ludlum) 1982: An early snowfall in the Black Hills resulted in the breakage of tree branches and caused power outages in parts of Lead and Nevada Gulch. 1983 - Heavy rains began in central and eastern Arizona which culminated in the worst flood in the history of the state. Eight to ten inch rains across the area caused severe flooding in southeastern Arizona which resulted in thirteen deaths and 178 million dollars damage. President Reagan declared eight counties of Arizona to be disaster areas. (The Weather Channel) 1986 - A week of violent weather began in Oklahoma which culminated in one of the worst flooding events in the history of the state. On the first day of the week early morning thunderstorms caused more than a million dollars damage in south Oklahoma City. Thunderstorms produced 4 to 7 inches of rain from Hobart to Ponca City, and another round of thunderstorms that evening produced 7 to 10 inches of rain in north central and northeastern sections of Oklahoma. (Storm Data) 1987 - A slow moving cold front produced rain from the Great Lakes Region to the Central Gulf Coast Region. A late afternoon thunderstorm produced wind gusts to 62 mph at Buffalo NY. Warm weather continued in the western U.S. In Oregon, the afternoon high of 96 degrees at Medford was a record for the date. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - High pressure brought freezing temperatures to parts of Vermont and New York State. Burlington VT dipped to 30 degrees, and Binghamton NY reported a record low of 34 degrees. The high pressure system also brought cold weather to the Central Rocky Mountain Region. Alamosa CO reported a record low of 18 degrees, and Gunnison CO was the cold spot in the nation with a morning low of just five degrees above zero. (National Weather Summary) 1989 - Seven cities reported record high temperatures for the date, as readings soared into the 80s and low 90s in the Northern Plateau and Northern Plains Region. Record highs included 91 degrees at Boise ID, and 92 degrees at Sheridan WY. The high of 100 degrees at Tucson AZ marked their 51st record high of the year, and their 92nd day of 100 degree weather. (National Weather Summary)

Been trying to look at that as well. Let me know if you figure it out first.

59 / 58 and moderate rain 1.62 in the bucket. Rain lovers in their glory the last 9 days. One more day of pure precipitation pleasure before the big dry out begins Saturday (9/30). 3 - 6 inches amounts on top of the 3 - 6 inch amounts from last week. An oasis of cool and rainy in an otherwise (ridgey / warm pattern) has stuck in this region the last 10 days. Overall 10/1 - 10/9 warm with 2-3 days much above normal as 850 MB temps push >17c by Wed (10/4). Still persistent onshore flow but flow comes around between Tue and Thu. Trough digs into the GL/MW as ridge builds into the WC/PNW - pushing east by next weekend 10/7 and beyond. Period 10/9 and through 10/17 looks to fall back to nd below normal with more rain chances. IN the way beyond we'll if the trough digs back into the WC/NW and ridging comes east the last third of Oct.

Records: Highs:: EWR: 87 (2014) NYC: 88 (1881) LGA: 84 (2014) Lows: EWR: 38 (1947) - 1947 cool Sep NYC: 41 (1947) LGA: 42 (1947) Historical: 1836 - The first of three early season snows brought four inches of snow to Hamilton, NY, and two inches to Ashby MA. (David Ludlum) 1837: The first recorded storm to rake the entire Texas coast was Racer’s Storm, named for a British sloop of war which encountered the system in the extreme northwestern Caribbean on September 28th. It is remembered as one of the most destructive storms of the nineteenth century due to its extreme duration and 2000 mile path of destruction. 1874: A strong category 1 hurricane went by Charleston and Georgetown, South Carolina. The tide was unprecedented height, inundating the entire riverfront of the city of Charleston. 1893 - Albuquerque, NM, was soaked with 2.25 inches of rain, enough to establish a 24 hour record for that city. (The Weather Channel) 1917 - A hurricane hit Pensacola, FL. Winds gusted to 95 mph, and the barometric pressure dipped to 28.50 inches. Winds at Mobile AL gusted to 75 mph. (The Weather Channel) 1929: A hurricane-spawned tornado hit Fort Lauderdale, Florida. While the path length of this estimated F2 tornado was 0.8 miles, it caused 16 injuries. 1987 - Thunderstorms produced up to ten inches of rain in southern Kansas and north central Oklahoma overnight. The Chikaskia River rose 2.5 feet above flood stage at Blackwell OK during the day causing flooding in Kay and Grant counties of north central Oklahoma. Early morning thunderstorms in the Lower Rio Grande Valley of Texas produced 3.07 inches of rain in six hours at McAllen. Thunderstorms produced up to six inches of rain in southeastern Texas later in the day. (National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms developing ahead of a cold front in the central U.S. produced severe weather from northern Texas to the Lower Missouri Valley during the late afternoon and evening hours. Hail three inches in diameter was reported at Nolan TX, and wind gusts to 80 mph were reported at Lawrence KS. Thunderstorms drenched downtown Kansas City MO with up to four inches of rain, leaving some cars stranded in water six feet deep. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms over northeastern Florida drenched Jacksonville with 4.28 inches of rain between midnight and 6 AM EDT. Unseasonably cool weather prevailed in the northeastern U.S. Five cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Binghamton NY with a reading of 30 degrees. Morning lows were in the 20s in northern New England. Unseasonably mild weather prevailed in the northwestern U.S., with afternoon highs in the upper 70s and 80s. In Oregon, Astoria reported a record high of 83 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1998: On the morning of September 28th, Hurricane George made landfall near Biloxi, Mississippi with maximum winds of 110 mph and a minimum pressure of 964 mb, making it a Category 2 hurricane. After landfall, Georges moved very slowly across southern Mississippi and weakened to a tropical depression by the morning of the 29th when the center was about 30 miles north-northeast of Mobile, Alabama. The storm dissipated near the northeast Florida/southeast Georgia coast by the morning of October 1, 1998.

Watch for a return to a overall wetter pattern by the 9th as trough comes east and front are hung up on EC as atlantic ridge remaind anchores east of bermuda.

57 / 53 and clouds have returned for the next 55 hours. Cloudy and raw today with onshore N-ENE flow. Stuck up pattern keeping the flow onshore and tendency for low undercutting / cutting off and inverted troughs like we'll see tomorrow. Where the rains are focussed look for 2 - 5 inches with local spots to >6-7 inches. That thread is covering the storms. Beyond there 10/ 1 - 10/9 (overall warmer) - warmer air in the overall EC ridging builds down and around. Flow comes around with projected 850 MB temos >17c Tue (10/2) - Fri (10/6). So 80s in the warmer spots and perhaps mid 80s at the peak between Tue - Thu. Trough into the midsection by the 7th slowly coming east on most guidance with ridge going up into the PNW. So Mid month cool down and likely wet again as the trough meets resistance and fronts hung up and hug the coast potentially.

Gloria https://www.weather.gov/mhx/Sep271985EventReview