SACRUS

68 / 54 off a low of 53. Gorgeous day ahead - low 80s. Overall near normal and dry the next 5 days, still would watch Tue pm and into Wed for trend for showers but latest forecast keeps much or all rain well south. Ridging builds in spurts with signal for a fast push and surge of heat into the area Fri (6/14) and next Sat (6/15) before a brief trough/front moves in. Then much warmer by 6/17 - the extent of ridging to be determined - tendency for weakness into the NE may persist a bit longer and keep the heat in / out rather than sustained but overall warmer / hotter once to mid month. Ridge should bounce back much of the second half for a day or 2 of heat before sustained heat etsablishes late int he month

Records: Highs: EWR: 99 (1999) NYC: 96 (1925) LGA: 97 (1999) JFK: 92 (1999) Lows: EWR: 48 (1945) NYC: 47 (1879) LGA: 50 (2000) JFK: 50 (2000) Historical: 1816 - A famous June snow occurred in the northeastern U.S. Danville VT reported drifts of snow and sleet twenty inches deep. The Highlands were white all day, and flurries were observed as far south as Boston MA. (David Ludlum) 1816: The following is found on page 31, from the book, "History of the American Clock Business for the Past Sixty Year, and Life of Chauncey Jerome," written by Chauncey Jerome. The book was published in 1860. "The next summer was a cold one of 1816, which none of the old people will ever forget, and which many of the young have heard a great deal about. There was ice and snow in every month of the year. I well remember on the seventh of June, while on my way to work, about a mile from home, dressed throughout with thick woolen clothes and an overcoat on, my hands got so cold that I was obliged to lay down my tools and put on a pair of mittens which I had in my pocket. It snowed about an hour that day." This bitter cold event occurred in Plymouth, Connecticut. 1972 - Richmond VA experienced its worst flood of record as rains from Hurricane Agnes pushed the water level at the city locks to a height of 36.5 feet, easily topping the previous record of thirty feet set in 1771. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms in the Laramie Mountains of eastern Wyoming produced golf ball size hail, and up to five inches of rain in just one hour. Half a dozen cities in the Upper Mississippi Valley reported record high temperatures for the date, including La Crosse, WI, with a reading of 97 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)(Storm Data) 1988 - Snow whitened some of the mountains of northern California and northwestern Nevada. Twenty-six cities in the central and eastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Rapid City SD with a reading of 104 degrees, and Miles City, MT, with a high of 106 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from southern Oklahoma and eastern Texas to northwestern Florida through the day and night. Thunderstorms spawned 22 tornadoes, including a dozen in Louisiana, and there were 119 reports of large hail and damaging winds. A strong (F-2) tornado at Gross Tete LA killed two persons, injured thirty others, and another strong (F-2) tornado injured 60 persons at Lobdell LA. Softball size hail was reported at Hillsboro TX. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

Highs: ACY: 89 EWR: 88 PHL: 87 New Brnswck: 85 BLM: 85 TEB: 85 LGA: 85 TTN: 85 ISP: 84 JFK: 83 NYC: 82

77 / 59 and looking like a truly spectacular day today and a very beautiful weekend. Looking mainly dry and near normal the next week, could see some showers and rain trend in the Tue night (6/11) - Wed (6/12) period. Warmer by mid month with ridging building east. IF we do remain mainly dry the next week - the heat could turn impressive in the 6/16 and beyond period. Will need to watch for cutoffs undercutting the ridge. First week of the month near +5 for many - next 7 shoould shave that down to closer to +2 then the second half looking above normal lines June up similar to May or stronger +3.

Records: Highs: EWR: 97 (2021) NYC: 98 (1925) LGA: 95 (2021) JFK: 90 (1968) Lows: EWR: 43 (1945) NYC: 47 (1945) LGA: 49 (1945) JFK: 51 (2000) Historical: 1816 - The temperature reached 92 degrees at Salem MA during an early heat wave, but then plunged 49 degrees in 24 hours to commence the famous year without a summer . (David Ludlum) 1816: The temperature reached 92 degrees at Salem, Massachusetts during an early heat wave, but then plunged 49 degrees in 24 hours to commence the famous "year without a summer." Snow fell near Quebec City, Quebec Canada from the 6th through the 10th and accumulated up to a foot with "drifts reaching the axle trees of carriages." 1894 - One of the greatest floods in U.S. history occurred as the Williamette River overflowed to inundate half of the business district of Portland OR. (David Ludlum) 1894: One of the greatest floods in U.S. history occurred as the Willamette River overflowed to inundate half of the business district of Portland, Oregon. The river crested at 33.5 feet, the worst flood ever recorded in the city. 1975 - A tornado, reportedly spinning backwards (spinning clockwise), was sighted near Alva, OK. (The Weather Channel) 1977 - Severe thunderstorms with large hail and winds to 100 mph caused one million dollars damage around Norfolk, VA. A forty-two foot fishing boat capsized near the Chesapeake Bay Bridge Tunnel drowning 13 of the 27 persons on board. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms in southern California produced one inch hail at Mount Pinos, and marble size hail at Palmdale. Thunderstorms in southeastern Arizona produced heavy rain leaving some washes under four feet of water. Six cities in the north central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date as readings soared into the upper 90s. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Seventeen cities in the north central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Williston ND with a reading of 104 degrees. Thunderstorms in Florida produced wind gusts to 65 mph which damaged two mobile homes northwest of Melbourne injuring six people. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing during the late morning hours produced severe weather through the afternoon and night. Thunderstorms spawned 13 tornadoes, and there were 154 reports of large hail and damaging winds. A strong (F-3) tornado injured six persons at Lorenzo, TX, and thunderstorm winds gusting to 100 mph killed one person at Glasscock City, TX. Softball size hail was reported at Lipscomb and Glen Cove TX. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

Highs: ACY: 88 EWR: 87 PHL: 87 BLM: 86 New Brnswck: 86 TEB: 85 TTN: 84 JFK: 83 LGA: 83 NYC: 81 ISP: 80

1.12 in the bucket. A warm, cloudy and humid 73/72 out now. Clouds could break at times and a steamy low 80s today with more scattered storms later this PM and evening. Clearing out Fri and this weekend is so far looking dry - no hear but near normal (80s/60s). Overall a gentle trough keeping it near normal to slightly above. Warmer by mid month with ridgng nosing into the east. Caveat for heat would be onshore flow as this pattern has tendency for cutoff lows to develop, otherwise much warmer by mid month and heat the second half looking in the 6/17 period and on.

Records: Highs: EWR: 95 (2021) NYC: 99 (1925) LGA: 94 (2021) JFK: 90 (2010) Lows: EWR: 48 (1947) NYC: 47 (1945) LGA: 49 (1945) JFK: 50 (2023) Historical: 1859 - Frost was reported from Iowa to New England. The temperature dipped to 25 degrees in New York State, and up to two inches of snow blanketed Ohio. The cold and snow damaged the wheat crop. (David Ludlum) 1908 - Helena MT was deluged with 3.67 inches of rain to establish their all-time 24 hour rainfall record. (4th-5th) (The Weather Channel) 1916 - A tornado struck the town of Warren AR killing 83 persons. There were 125 deaths that day in a tornado outbreak across Missouri and Arkansas. (David Ludlum) 1917 - Residents near Topeka KS reported disk-shaped hailstones six to ten inches in diameter, and two to three inches thick. The hailstorm was accompanied by a tornado. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - International Falls, MN, dipped to a record low reading of 34 degrees during the morning. Williston, ND, and Glasgow, MT, reported record warm afternoon highs of 94 degrees. Major flooding was reported along the Guadelupe River in South Texas, with the water level at Cuero reaching 18 feet above flood stage. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Twenty cities in the south central and eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Asheville NC with a reading of 40 degrees. Fifteen cities in the north central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. The high of 108 degrees at Glasgow MT was a record for June. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from the Lower Mississippi Valley to the Southern Atlantic Coast during the day and into the night. Four tornadoes were reported, and there were 87 reports of large hail and damaging winds. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

Highs: PHL: 85 TTN: 84 NewBrnswck: 81 EWR: 81 LGA: 81 ACY: 80 NYC: 79

Saw that which leads to a tendency for cut offs - we;ll see how the progression goes - also key is if we can gain some water in the bucket or remain overall near / drier than normal the next 2 weeks.

69 / 65 and some low clouds over the area. Mainly cloudy today with some breaks in the clouds - humid and upper70s / low 80s. Showers / rain - storms overnight and into tomorrow. Clears out Fri (6/7) and the weekend looks dry - near normal but still have suspicion it could turn unsettled - heres hoping to be wrong. Overall near normal as ridge - west - weakness East continues through the next week or so. Mid month step to warmer with perhaps a hotter close to the month.

Records Highs: EWR: 97 (1943) NYC: 99 (1925) LGA: 96 (1943) JFK: 91 (1971) Lows: EWR: 48 (1964) NYC: 48 (1926) LGA: 51 (2023) JFK: 49 (2023) Historical : 1825 - A hurricane struck Long Island NY leveling trees and causing damage to ships. The early season hurricane, which originated around Cuba, caused major damage along the Atlantic coast from Charleston SC to New York City. Many were lost at sea. (David Ludlum) 1825: A severe storm of tropical origin swept up the Atlantic Coast during the first week of June 1825 with reports of significant damage from Florida to New York City. Shipping logs told of a disturbance at Santo Domingo on May 28th and Cuba on June 1st. Gales were reported at St. Augustine, Florida on the 2nd. The Norfolk and Portsmouth Herald reported "undiminished violence" from the gale force winds for 27 hours, ending on June 4th. The effect of the storm reached well inland. Washington had cold, heavy rain all day on the 4th with high winds laying the crops in the vicinity. The wind also tore up trees by the roots in front of the State House in Philadelphia. This storm impacted the New Jersey Coast and the Long Island area as well with high winds and a two-foot storm surge. A Columbian frigate was driven ashore as were many smaller boats. The largest loss of life occurred along the Long Island shore when a schooner capsized. The entire crew of seven was lost. 1860 - Iowa's Commanche Tornado , with wind speeds estimated in excess of 300 mph, was unquestionably one of the worst experienced by early settlers, with nearly a million dollars damage. (The Weather Channel) 1877: A tornado of estimated F4 intensity touched down just west of Mt. Carmel, Illinois and moved east-northeast, devastating the town. 20 businesses and 100 homes were damaged or destroyed. At least 16 people and as many as 30 were killed, with 100 others injured. 1982 - A four day storm began over New England which produced up to 14 inches of rain in southern Connecticut breaching twenty-three dams and breaking two others. Damage was estimated at more than 276 million dollars. (David Ludlum) 1987 - Early morning thunderstorms in south Texas produced 6.5 inches of rain at Hockheim, and five inches at Hallettsville, in just a few hours. Afternoon thunderstorms in Virginia deluged northern Halifax County with 5.5 inches of rain in two hours. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 76 mph at Dusty WA, and wind gusts to 88 mph at Swanquarter NC. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - A dozen cities in the eastern U.S. reported record low temp- eratures for the date, including Atlantic City NJ with a reading of 40 degrees. Fifteen cities in the north central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Glasgow MT and Havre MT with readings of 102 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from the Southern Plains Region and the Lower Mississippi Valley to the Southern Atlantic Coast Region during the day and into the night. Just four tornadoes were reported, but there were 87 reports of large hail and damaging winds. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

Highs PHL: 89 TEB: 84 TTN: 84 EWR: 82 New Brnswck: 82 LGA: 81 ACY: 80 NYC: 79 JFK: 78 BLM: 76 ISP: 74

Despite the lack of higher maximums and 90 degree heat we are riding means closer to the hotter summers. When we get ridging (assuming we stay fairly close to normal rainfall or below) look for heat to overperform. This cutoff coming later this week and weekend still a bit tough to forecast if we have a few unsettled rainy days or ner normal/cooler dry days.

Can you pull the means for those periods?

73 / 66 and winds now more NE, partly cloudy. Not as warm as Mon with highs upper 70s to low 80s. Cloudy on Wed with PM showers, Thu more rain before clearing out Fri (6/7) as trough builds in and front clears. The weekend is still a bit of an unknown as trough cuts off and placement could bring clear or clouds and rain. Beyond that trough is in/near the NE through the middle of next week. Overall near normal and no signs of heat through 6/9. Beyond there warmer / ridging by mid month. Low clouds moving E - W

Records: Highs: EWR: 94 (1943) NYC: 95 (1895) LGA: 93 (1943) JFK: 88 (2010) Lows: EWR: 45 (1946) NYC: 45 (1929) LGA: 49 (1946) JFK 48 (1986) Historical: 1860: Iowa's infamous Camanche Tornado, likely an F5 storm, kills 92 and injures 200. Every home and business were destroyed. It was one of the most damaging families of tornadoes ever to strike the US and resulted in more farm fatalities than any other tornado except for the Tri-State tornado. 1921 - A cloudburst near Pikes Peak CO killed 120 people. Pueblo CO was flooded by a twenty-five foot crest of the Arkansas River, killing 70 persons. Fourteen inches of rain was reported at Boggs Flat, where a hard surface road through nearly level country was washed out to a depth of seven feet. (The Weather Channel) 1921: Heavy rains caused flash flooding over the southeastern portion of Colorado. The flooding cost the lives of 100 people and millions of dollars in property damage. 1959 - Thunderstorms in northwestern Kansas produced up to eighteen inches of hail near Salden during the early evening. Crops were completely destroyed, and total damage from the storm was about half a million dollars. Hail fell for a record eighty-five minutes. The temperature dropped from near 80 degrees prior to the storm to 38 degrees at the height of the storm. (David Ludlum) 1987 - Six days of flooding in South Texas culminated with five to six inch rains from Bexar County to Bandera County, and five to nine inches rains in Gonzalez and Wilson Counties. Total crop damage was estimated at 500 million dollars. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Early morning thunderstorms in southern Texas produced wind gusts to 86 mph at Port Isabel, and wind gusts to 83 mph at South Padre Island. Unseasonably hot weather prevailed from the Southern Plateau Region to the Northern High Plains. Fourteen cities reported record high temperatures for the date. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing over the Southern Plains Region during the afternoon hours produced severe weather into the night. Thunderstorms spawned eleven tornadoes, and there were 169 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 80 mph at Newcastle, OK, and Wilson, OK. Softball size hail was reported at Monahans, Childress and Groesbeck TX. Monahans TX reported six million dollars damage. Five inches of rain deluged Geronimo OK. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1993: Early morning severe thunderstorms dumped huge hailstones across northern Oklahoma. Hail, up to 6 inches in diameter in Enid, went through roofs of homes, damaged three jets at Vance Air Force Base, and did $500,000 in damage at a car dealership. Winds gusts reached 70 mph at Vance Air Force Base as well. Hail damage to the wheat crop was estimated at 70 million dollars. 1997: It was a chilly day in the East. The high temperature at Philadelphia International Airport was only 59 degrees, tying a record-low maximum for the date set back in 1881. The temperature at Middletown, Pennsylvania rose to 58 degrees, breaking the record-low maximum for the date of 59 degrees set back in 1915. Washington, DC only reached 58 degrees, breaking the old record-low maximum of 59 set back in 1915. Central Park in New York City only reached 61 degrees.

Highs: EWR: 89 New Brnswck: 88 PHL: 87 TEB: 87 ACY: 86 NYC: 86 LGA: 86 TTN: 85 BLM: 84 JFK: 84 ISP: 84

Up to 88 here warmest since May 2nd when it hit 89.

85 / 58

Despite that two (traces) overall (90%) nice weekend Memorial Day 5-24 - 5/26 / and this past 6/1 - 6/2.

Looks warmest into the beginning / middle of next week 6/9-10. We'll see where the trough cuts off this coming weekend.

81 and mostly sunny. Warmest day of the next 9 likely mid - upper 80s. Probably turn partly cloudy later this morning. Still warm tomorrow but low 80s. Clouds and showers as the trough builds in Wed (6/) / Thu (6/6). Overall trough but near normal with unsettled period with rain chances although no deluge or hvy rain signal on guidance. Ridge balloons in the west- Rockies and trough cuts off later this week and the coming weekend which will determine if its a washout or clears. No heat signal into the east - riding normal wave from the trough. Warmer mid- post mid month.

Highs: EWR: 86 PHL: 86 TEB: 84 LGA: 83 ACY: 83 New Brnswck: 82 BLM: 82 ISP: 82 TTN: 81 NYC: 81 JFK: 79

Records: Highs: EWR: 93 (2000) NYC: 96 (1895) LGA: 94 (1989) JFK: 91 (1961) Lows: EWR: 48 (1946) NYC: 48 (1946) LGA: 48 (1946) JFK: 51 (2015) Historical: 1889 - A great flood on the Potomac River in Washington D.C. took out a span of Long Bridge, and flooded streets near the river. The flood stage reached was not again equalled until 1936. (David Ludlum) 1889: The same storm that caused the historic dam failure in Johnstown, PA, also affected Washington, D.C. The streets and reservations in the center of the city and all the wharves and streets along the riverfront were under water. Pennsylvania Avenue was flooded from 2nd to 10th Streets. The Potomac River crested at the Aqueduct Bridge at 19.5 feet on June 2. Additionally, damage occurred on Rock Creek, with the Woodley Lane Bridge washed away. Considerable damage occurred to machinery plants and material at the Navy Yard. 1917 - The temperature at Tribune, KS dipped to 30 degrees to establish a state record for the month of June. (The Weather Channel) 1949 - A tornado northeast of Alfalfa OK circled an area one mile in radius. (The Weather Channel) 1985 - Lightning struck a house, broke a bedroom window, and jumped to a metal frame bed. A man was killed but his wife was unharmed by the lightning. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms spawned seven tornadoes in West Texas and six tornadoes in Illinois. Thunderstorms in Illinois produced wind gusts to 70 mph at McComb and Mattoon. Thunderstorms in southern Texas produced 5.5 inches of rain south of Seguin, and up to eight inches of rain in Washington County. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Severe thunderstorms in Texas and Oklahoma produced hail more than three inches in diameter near Stilwater OK, and softball size hail in Jones County of north central Texas. Baseball size hail and 70 mph winds caused an estimated 100 million dollars damage around Abilene TX. (National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather across much of the south central U.S. through most of the day and night. Thunderstorms spawned a dozen tornadoes, and there were 123 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 78 mph at Russell KS, and baseball size hail was reported at Denver CO, Cuthbert TX, and in Reeves County TX. Afternoon thunderstorms in southern New England produced wind gusts to 120 mph at Fitchburg, MA, causing five million dollars damage. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1998: Frostburg, Maryland on June 2, 1998, at 9:45 PM - This was part of a killer outbreak of tornadoes that moved southeast from Pennsylvania. The storm entered Garrett County, Maryland striking the town of Finzel. It then moved up and over Big Savage Mountain in Allegany County and ripped through the northern portion of Frostburg. It reached its peak strength as it crossed the ridge. Winds were estimated between 210 and 250 mph (F4 on the Fujita Tornado Damage Scale). This was the first tornado to "officially" be rated an "F4" in the State of Maryland. The National Weather Service adopted the Fujita Damage Scale in 1973. The total damage path of the Frostburg tornado was over 25 miles long (8 miles in Allegany County) and up to a half-mile wide. Along most of its path, it was producing winds over 125 mph (F2 or stronger). The damage path was continuous as it moved up and down over 2000-foot mountain ridges. The fact that no one was killed in Maryland was attributed to 5 to 10 minutes warning that was well communicated to people in Frostburg over television, radio, scanners, telephones, and sirens. People took quick action to move to their basements. A mother and child rode out the storm as it destroyed their house hiding under a table in the basement. They were shaken but unharmed. A jacket from a Frostburg home was found 25 miles away. A diploma was found near Winchester, Virginia, 60 miles away and a bill was found near Sterling Virginia (about 100 miles away).