SACRUS

76 / 65 partly sunny clouds nearby with showers and storm by the afternoon. Upper 80s to stray 90 if enough sun. Clears out and the weekend looks fine with no rain and low 80s as trough moves through. Mon begins the warm up near 90 and start of a heatwave in the warmer spits. Hot Tue into next weekend with peak heat in our area by Thu. NNE wind components under a 600DM ridge tue - wed gives way to a more NW flow and >20C 850MB heat as ridge pushed down south a bit. Looking overall warm to hot beyond to close the month. as ridge rebuids. Gulf tropical activity cold increase.

6/13 Highs EWR: 89 PHL: 87 TTN: 87 TEB: 87 New Brnswck: 87 ACY: 85 LGA: 85 BLM: 84 NYC: 84 ISP: 80 JFK: 78

85/ 55 and on way to near 90 or 90 in the hot spots. Tomorrow clouds and showers could get in the way of appetizer 90s in the warmer spits. Dry / warm weekend ahead of the oncoming heat next week. Overalll hot the next week to 10 days. Recent dryness will enhance maximums. https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eus/02/GOES16-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

Highs ACY: 84 EWR: 81 PHL: 80 New Brnswck: 79 TTN: 78 LGA: 78 TEB: 78 ISP: 76 NYC: 76 JFK: 75 BLM: 74

Records: Highs: EWR: 97 (2017) NYC: 93 (2017) LGA: 96 (2017) JFK: 92 (2017) Lows: EWR: 47 (1951) NYC: 48 (1979) LGA: 49 (1979) JFK: 49 (1980) Historical: 1881 - Severe thunderstorms spawned more than half a dozen tornadoes in the Lower Missouri Valley. Five of the tornadoes touched down near Saint Joseph MO. In south central Kansas a tornado nearly wiped out the town of Floral. Hail and high winds struck Iowa and southern Minnesota. In Minnesota, Blue Earth City reported five inches of rain in one hour. (David Ludlum) 1915: An estimated F4 tornado moved northeast from northwest of Waterville, Iowa crossing the Mississippi River two miles south of Ferryville, Wisconsin. A man and his daughter were killed in one of three homes that were obliterated southwest of "Heytman," a small railroad station on the Mississippi River. 60 buildings and eight homes were destroyed in Wisconsin. This tornado caused approximately $200,000 in damage. In addition to this tornado, another estimated F4 tornado moved northeast across Fayette and Clayton Counties in northeast Iowa. One farm was devastated, the house and barn leveled. Heavy machinery was thrown 300 yards. Clothing was carried two miles. 1947 - A heavy wet snow blanketed much of southern and central Wyoming, and gave many places their heaviest and latest snow of record. Totals included 18.4 inches at Lander, 8.7 inches at Cheyenne, and 4.5 inches at Casper. (11th-12th) (The Weather Channel) 1948: The Columbia River Basin flood peaked on this date in the Northwest. The flood produced the highest water level in the basin since the flood there in 1894. The damage estimate for the 1948 flood was $101 million, and 75 lives were lost. 1969 - Record late season snows covered parts of Montana. Five inches was reported at Great Falls and east of Broadus. Billings, MT, tied their June record with lows of 32 degrees on the 12th and the 13th. (The Weather Channel) 1983 - The state of Utah was beseiged by floods and mudslides. Streets in downtown Salt Lake City were sandbagged and turned into rivers of relief. The town of Thistle was completely inundated as a mudslide made a natural dam. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms in Nebraska produced softball size hail around Fremont and Ames, and 3.5 inches of rain in less than one hour. Four and a half inches in less than an hour caused flooding around Ithica, NE. A tornado destroyed a mobile home near Broken Bow, NE, injuring both occupants. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Fifteen cities in the southeastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Asheville with a reading of 40 degrees. Drought conditions continued to intensify across the eastern half of the nation. Rainfall at Nashville, TN, was running 12.5 inches below normal. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from Tennessee Valley to the Central Appalachians in the afternoon and evening, and produced severe weather in Oklahoma and Texas during the evening and night. Thunderstorms spawned ten tornadoes, and there were 164 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 100 mph at Amarillo, TX, and wind gusts to 110 mph at Denton TX. Hail three inches in diameter was reported at Tucumcari NM. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2005 - A tornado in Hammond, Wisconsin damaged 22 homes and produced $3.6 million in damage (Associated Press).

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/CMCNA_0z/test8.gif

70 / 57 and partly sunny. Opposite of other days where calling for mostly sunny was greeted with clouds Mon and Tue, today may see more sun than forecasted clouds w/ wsw flow. Back to near / 80s and the start of a warming trend. Near or to 90 in the warmer spots tomorrow withh sunny conditions and again Fri ahead of clouds / storms - if they come earlier Fri it my fall short of 90. The weekend looks dry as trough in / out 80s. Mon (6/17) start of a warm to hot period with ridging into the east - first heatwave of the season and perhaps strong heat mid/upper 90s by 6/19. Overall warm to hot persisting. We'll see where and how the ridge sets up if storms can keep it from becomming very dry. Jun looks to end +5 or more on the departure side. https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eus/02/GOES16-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

Records Highs: EWR: 96 (2000) NYC: 95 (1973) LGA: 96 (1984) JFK: 93 (1984) Lows: 46 (1980) NYC: 46 (1972) LGA: 46 (1972) JFK: 48 (1980) Historical: 1842 - A late season snowstorm struck New England. Snow fell during the morning and early afternoon, accumulating to a depth of ten to twelve inches at Irasburg VT. Berlin NH was blanketed with eleven inches of snow during the day. Snow whitened the higher peaks of the Appalachians as far south as Maryland. (David Ludlum) 1842: A late-season snowstorm struck New England. Snow fell during the morning and early afternoon, accumulating to a depth of ten to twelve inches at Irasburg, Vermont. Berlin, New Hampshire was blanketed with eleven inches of snow during the day. Snow whitened the higher peaks of the Appalachians as far south as Maryland. The latest date for the occurrence of a general snowstorm in our period over northern New England and northern New York came in 1842 on the morning of 11 June. Zadock Thompson, a professor of natural history and the Queen City's longtime weatherman, commented: "Snow during the forenoon's boards whitened and the mountains as white as in winter." 1877 - The temperature at Los Angeles, CA, reached 112 degrees during a heatwave. It would have been the all-time record for Los Angeles but official records did not begin until twenty days later. (The Weather Channel) 1972 - Heavy showers brought 1.64 inches of rain to Phoenix AZ, a record for the month of June. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - South Texas endured another day of torrential rains. Up to twelve inches of rain drenched Harris County, and nearly ten inches soaked Luce Bayou, mainly during the afternoon hours. Thunderstorm rains left seven feet of water over Highway 189 in northern Val Verde County. Flooding caused nine million dollars damage in Real County. A thunderstorm at Perryton, TX, produced golf ball size hail and 70 mph winds, and spawned a tornado which struck a mobile killing one person and injuring the other four occupants. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thirty cities in the central and eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including El Dorado, AR, with a reading of 48 degrees. Canaan Valley WV and Thomas WV dipped to 30 degrees. Flagstaff AZ was the cold spot in the nation with a low of 30 degrees. Coolidge, just 180 miles away, was the hot spot in the nation with an afternoon high of 105 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the south central and southeastern U.S. during the day and night. Thunderstorms spawned eleven tornadoes, including one which tore the roof off a restaurant at Bee Branch, AR, injuring six persons. The tornado tossed one car into the restaurant, and another car over it. Temperatures soared into the 90s across much of Florida. Lakeland reported a record high of 99 degrees for the second day in a row. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990: One of the most expensive hailstorms in U.S. history occurred as $625 million of damage was caused along the Colorado Front Range from Colorado Springs to Estes Park. Golf to baseball sized hail fell along with heavy rain. 60 people were injured in the storm.

70 / 50 with variable cloudy (coolest day of the next while). Warmer Wed (6/12) and by Thu (6/13) upper 80s to perhaps a 90/91 in the warmer spots if sunnier with recent dryness. Fri (6/14) near 90 and for some the first 90s, again depending on clouds and showers. Trough in /out Sat - Sun before warming. Overnight models are just hot vs near records heat next week with low - mid 90s and >17c 850MB with the +19C a bit south. Overall warming trend beings Wed with hotter period starting Mon (6/17). We'll see if the ridge centers more west or east and more southerly flow returns some rains with the heat.

Highs: ACY: 83 EWR: 78 BLM: 78 New Brnswck: 77 JFK: 77 ISP: 77 PHL: 77 TEB: 76 LGA: 76 NYC: 75 TTN: 75

Records: Highs: EWR: 99 (2008) NYC: 96 (2008) LGA: 100 (2008) JFK: 94 (1959) Lows: EWR: 49 (1972) NYC: 49 (1972) LGA: 48 (1972) JFK: 51 (1988) Historical: 1752 - It is believed that this was the day Benjamin Franklin narrowly missed electrocution while flying a kite during a thunderstorm to determine if lightning is related to electricity. (David Ludlum) 1957 - A dust devil at North Yarmouth, ME, lifted a 600 to 1000 pound chicken shelter into the air and carried it 25 feet. It landed upright with only slight damage. It is unknown whether any eggs were scrambled. (The Weather Channel) 1958 - A woman was sucked through the window of her home in El Dorado, KS, by a powerful tornado, and was carried sixty feet away. Beside her was found a broken phonograph record entitled Stormy Weather . (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms produced 2 to 4 inch rains in southern Texas. Two and a half inches of rain at Juno TX caused flooding and closed a nearby highway. Flooding on the northwest side of San Antonio claimed one life as a boy was swept into a culvert. Thunderstorms in the north central U.S. produced an inch and a half of small hail at Monida Pass MT. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Three dozen cities, mostly in the eastern U.S., reported record low temperatures for the date, including Elkins, WV, with a reading of 33 degrees. Unseasonably hot weather continued in the Northern High Plains Region. The record high of 105 degeees at Williston, ND, was their seventh in eight days. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather through the day and night across much of the southern half of the Great Plains Region. Thunderstorms spawned 14 tornadoes, and there were 142 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Hail three inches in diameter caused three millions dollars damage at Carlsbad, NM. Hail four inches in diameter was reported at Estelline TX and Stinnett, TX. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 80 mph at Odessa TX. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1997: Flash Flooding occurred in many locations in Mississippi. Highway 80 and many other streets were flooded in and around Vicksburg. Water engulfed one person's car, but the person was rescued. This event caused $300,000 in property damages. Over 6 inches of rain fell in Lexington in a little over 3 hours. The torrential rains caused Bear Creek to overflow and flood much of the town of Lexington. 45 businesses were affected by the flooding and 30 of these suffered major losses. As many as 300 homes had water damage. This event caused 10 million dollars in property damages. Portions of Jones County experienced flash flooding as 3 inches of rain fell in just 1.5 hours over saturated ground.

If you like rain - head to Southern Florida

Euro is the hottest in the 7 day and beyond http://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/CMCNA_0z/test8.gif

66 / 51. Overall dry and near normal the next 72 hours. Warmth and some heat build in by Thu (6/13) / Fri (6/14) some 90s especially in the warmer spots. Turn to hotter by the 17th where a sustained ridge into the east with heat and potential first heatwave in the cards. Monthly departures pushing +5 or more the 20th. Beyond there the close of the month looking overall warm - hot.

Records: Highs: EWR: 102 (2011) first 100 NYC: 97 (1933) LGA: 99 (2008) JFK: 96 (1984) Lows: EWR: 47 (1957) NYC: 47 (1980) LGA: 49 (1980) JFK: 48 (1980) Historical: 1953 - A tornado hit the town of Worcester MA killing ninety persons. The northeastern states usually remain free of destructive tornadoes, however in this case a low pressure system, responsible for producing severe thunderstorms in Michigan and Ohio the previous day, brought severe weather to New Hampshire and central Massachusetts. The tornado, up to a mile in width at times, tracked 46 miles through Worcester County. It mangled steel towers built to withstand winds of 375 mph. Debris from the tornado fell in the Boston area, and adjacent Atlantic Ocea. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1966: Hurricane Alma made landfall over the eastern Florida panhandle becoming the earliest hurricane to make landfall on the United States mainland. 1972 - A cloudburst along the eastern slopes of the Black Hills of South Dakota produced as much as 14 inches of rain resulting in the Rapid City flash flood disaster. The rains, which fell in about four hours time, caused the Canyon Lake Dam to collapse. A wall of water swept through the city drowning 237 persons, and causing more than 100 million dollars property damage. (David Ludlum) 1987 - Lightning struck Tire Mountain near Denver CO, destroying two million tires out of a huge pile of six million tires. Thunderstorms spawned three tornadoes around Denver, and a man was killed at Conifer CO when strong thunderstorm winds lifted up a porch and dropped it on him. A thunderstorm near Compton MD produced two inch hail, and high winds which destroyed twenty barns and ten houses injuring five persons. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from North Carolina to the Central Gulf Coast Region. Hail in North Carolina caused more than five million dollars damage to property, and more than sixty million dollars damage to crops. Hail three and a half inches in diameter was reported at New Bern NC. Thunderstorms in the Central High Plains produced eighteen inches of hail at Fountain CO. The temperature at Del Rio TX soared to an all-time record high of 112 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Severe weather abated for a date, however, showers and thunderstorms continued to drench the eastern U.S. with torrential rains. Milton, FL, was deluged with 15.47 inches in 24 hours. Record heat and prolonged drought in south central Texas left salt deposits on power lines and insulators near the coast, and when nighttime dew caused arcing, the city of Brownsville was plunged into darkness. (The National Weather Summary)

Highs: PHL: 82 EWR: 80 ACY: 79 BLM: 79 New Brnswck: 78 JFK: 78 TTN: 78 TEB: 76 LGA: 76 ISP: 74 NYC: 74

Clouds breaking and partly sunny

Euro now with less troughing NE in the 7- 10 day

69 / 60 , a bit more humid than yesterday. Cloudy and showers around in the northern sections and passing through NJ. Should get breaks in the clouds to make way for a very nice part of the day between 11M - 1PM with upper 70s / low 80s. The trough and UL in the GL was bound to send some clouds / showers this way. Overall dry and near normal through Wed with chance for showers / storm on Tue PM (6/11) - Wed (6/12). Heat for the warmer spots by Thu (6/13) before all areas get there Fri (6./14) - maybe the park too. Looks like a quick black of >18C 850 MB temps. May see showers storms Sat (6/15) before hotter by Fathers day Sun (6/17). Beyond there looking overall warm to hot as heights reman elevated.

Highs: ACY: 84 EWR: 83 PHL: 82 BLM: 81 JFK: 81 New Brnswck: 79 TEB: 79 ISP: 79 LGA: 79 TTN: 79 NYC: 76

Clouds splitting the area NJ in half

Last below normal daily departure at EWR was May 13th (-5)

Records: Highs: EWR: 99 (2011) NYC: 95 (1933) LGA: 97 (2011) JFK: 96 (1999) Lows: EWR: 44 (1932) NYC: 47 (1932) LGA: 50 (1977) JFK: 50 (1997) Historical: 1951: A tornado was captured on motion pictures for the first time in the USA. 1953 - The worst tornado of record for the state of Michigan killed 116 persons. Flint MI was hardest hit. The tornado, half a mile in width, destroyed 200 homes on Coldwater Road killing entire families. (The Weather Channel) 1966 - A tornado ripped right through the heart of the capitol city of Topeka KS killing sixteen persons and causing 100 million dollars damage. The tornado, which struck during the evening, cut a swath of near total destruction eight miles long and four blocks wide. It was the most destructive tornado of record up until that time. (David Ludlum) 1974 - Severe thunderstorms spawned at least twenty-three tornadoes in Oklahoma during the afternoon and evening hours. One of the tornadoes struck the town Drumright killing sixteen persons and injuring 150 others. A tornado struck the National Weather Service office in Oklahoma City, and two tornadoes hit the city of Tulsa. Thunderstorms in Tulsa also produced as much as ten inches of rain. Total damage from the storms was around thirty million dollars. It was the worst natural disaster of record for Tulsa. (Storm Data) 1987 - Thunderstorms in the northeastern U.S. produced large hail and damaging winds in Vermont injuring two persons. Thunderstorms in Ohio produced wind gusts to 75 mph near Akron, and deluged Pittsfield with two inches of rain in thirty minutes. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Overnight thunderstorms in Iowa produced 5.20 inches of rain at Coon Rapids. Thunderstorms in the Florida Keys drenched Tavernier with 7.16 inches of rain in 24 hours. Eleven cities in the central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather over the Central Gulf Coast Region during the day and evening. Severe thunderstorms spawned 17 tornadoes, including one which injured ten persons and caused a million dollars damage at Orange Beach, AL. Thunderstorm winds gusting to 90 mph killed three persons and injured four others at Mobile AL. Thunderstorms also deluged Walnut Hill and Avalon Beach, FL, with eight inches of rain. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 2001: Tropical Storm Allison hits Houston, Texas, for the second time in three days. Louisiana and southern Texas were inundated with rain. Baton Rouge received 18 inches over just a couple of days. Some portions of Texas racked up 36 inches by June 11.

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Jun temp dep :Through the first week (6/7) EWR: +6.8 JFK: +6.4 PHL: +6.3 LGA: +5.4 TTN: +5.4 NYC: +4.9