SACRUS

72 / 68 highest dew points in a while. Another period of 72 - 96 hours of mainly cloudy conditions coinciding with a weekend. Showers / pop up storms Sat - Sun - Mon - Tue with 0.50 - 1.00+ heaviest storms spots as frontal boundary lingers over or nearby. Clears out and warms up Wed - Fri with next chance of 90 in the hotter areas of C-n _NJ of this regional group. Next front arriving next weekend 6/14 - 6/15. Beyond there overall warm with heat from west building north and east towards the 20th along with heights. 6/7 - 6/10 : Cloudy wet - rain chances 6/11 - 6/13 : Much warmer - dry perhaps stray 90 6/14 - 6/17 : Front nearby - more clouds / rain -storms 6/18 - Byond : Hotter by the 20th - overall warmer than normal

Highs: TEB: 93 ** (seem error) New Brnswck: 89 PHL: 87 EWR: 86 TTN: 86 LGA: 85 BLM: 84 NYC: 84 ACY: 83 ISP: 82 JFK: 81

Another 89 here as partly - mostly cloudy now. Rain/storms to the north.

1PM Roundup TEB: 88 New Brnswck: 87 PHL: 88 TTN: 86 EWR: 84 BLM: 84 ACY: 83 NYC: 82 LGA: 81 JFK: 79 ISP: 77

84 and rising. So far so clear

Front looks to be pegged for next weekend as well 6/14-15.

Records: Highs: EWR: 97 (2021) NYC: 98 (1925) LGA: 95 (2021) JFK: 90 (1968) Lows: EWR: 43 (1945) NYC: 47 (1945) LGA: 49 (1945) JFK: 51 (2000) Historical:: 1816 - The temperature reached 92 degrees at Salem MA during an early heat wave, but then plunged 49 degrees in 24 hours to commence the famous year without a summer . (David Ludlum) 1816: The temperature reached 92 degrees at Salem, Massachusetts during an early heat wave, but then plunged 49 degrees in 24 hours to commence the famous "year without a summer." Snow fell near Quebec City, Quebec Canada from the 6th through the 10th and accumulated up to a foot with "drifts reaching the axle trees of carriages." 1869: Snail shells fell from the sky at Chester, PA during a rain shower. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1894 - One of the greatest floods in U.S. history occurred as the Williamette River overflowed to inundate half of the business district of Portland OR. (David Ludlum) 1894: One of the greatest floods in U.S. history occurred as the Willamette River overflowed to inundate half of the business district of Portland, Oregon. The river crested at 33.5 feet, the worst flood ever recorded in the city. 1906: A tornado causing F4 damage moved east-northeast from 3 miles southwest of Caledonia, MN, crossing the Mississippi River about 12 miles south of La Crosse, WI. A mother and two children were killed as their farm near Freeburg, MN was leveled. One child was carried about half a mile. 15 people were injured in rural Minnesota homes. An F3 tornado moved east-northeast out of Winneshiek County, Iowa destroying a large brick home southeast of Newhouse, MN just inside the Minnesota border. Clothes from the home were found over three miles away. One boy was severely injured, and may have died later. He had been closing windows on the second floor when the tornado struck. Also, on this date, an F2 tornado touched down just southeast of Sparta, WI and it moved north-northeast to near the Jackson County, Wisconsin border. The worse damage was east of Angelo, where "trees and barns were torn to shreds". (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1907: A tornado causing F4 damage killed 5 people and injured 20 others in Washington County in Illinois. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1925: Boston, MA recorded its highest temperature of 100 °F and its warmest low temperature, 80 °F for the month of June. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events) 1937: Dome Lake, MT in the Bighorn Mountains, was buried under 32 inches of snow. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1944 D-Day: What did the D stand for ?? Answer The designated Day (To keep the real date hidden) Weather played a critical role in the decision of when to invade Normandy Beach in northern France. Each element of the allied forces needed a certain type of phenomena that best suited their needs. The navy and army needed high tides so the invading soldiers would not get hung up in the water. Further inland, the paratroopers needed a moonless sky so they would not be seen. Dates in May and very early June were set which met those criteria, but were called off because of very bad weather. On the early morning on this date, the weather was once again atrocious with high winds and rain. It was either invade now, or wait until late June when all the elements of moon and tide were together again. But this would risk the Germans fortifying their positions at Normandy. So the decision was made to attack on June 6th. The waves were high, and many soldiers got sea- sick, but the mission was a success. As a matter of fact, the weather was even worse in late June for the alternate landing than it was on this date. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1953: On June 4th, the center of Tropical Storm Alice passed about 60 miles west of Dry Tortugas and moved very near parallel to west coast of Florida and passed inland a short distance west of Panama City, about noon on this date. Winds remained below hurricane force during entire history of this storm and highest winds experienced on land were 40 to 45 mph. The storm produced beneficial rainfall. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1963: Three lightning deaths occurred during the afternoon across Florida: At Tampa: Lightning killed a small child in a bathtub and lightning killed a person repairing a roof. At Lake Seminole: Lightning killed a fisherman standing on the lake bank. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1975 - A tornado, reportedly spinning backwards (spinning clockwise), was sighted near Alva, OK. (The Weather Channel) 1977 - Severe thunderstorms with large hail and winds to 100 mph caused one million dollars damage around Norfolk, VA. A forty-two foot fishing boat capsized near the Chesapeake Bay Bridge Tunnel drowning 13 of the 27 persons on board. (The Weather Channel) 1978: Severe thunderstorms developed along a strong cold front during the afternoon and continued into the following morning across parts of South Dakota. The storms stretched from Meade County in the west central to Roberts County in the northeast. Numerous reports of golf ball size were reported, damaging crops across the north. Thunderstorm winds also gusted to 70 mph in many areas. Total crop and property damage from the night's storms was estimated to be near $7 million dollars. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1984: An unseasonable storm buried portions of the Colorado Rockies between the 5th and the 8th with as much as two feet of snow with 18 inches in 24 hours ending on the 7th at Climax. Their storm total was 22.3 inches. June storm records set included 3 inches at Eagle, 15.5 inches at Aspen, and 16 inches at Breckenridge. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1986: The Great Salt Lake in Utah reached its historic high water level with the surface level at 4,211.85 feet, exceeding the previous record of 4,211.60 feet by 3 inches. The previous record was set in June of 1873 before the building of any causeways or dikes.(Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1987 - Thunderstorms in southern California produced one inch hail at Mount Pinos, and marble size hail at Palmdale. Thunderstorms in southeastern Arizona produced heavy rain leaving some washes under four feet of water. Six cities in the north central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date as readings soared into the upper 90s. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Seventeen cities in the north central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Williston ND with a reading of 104 degrees. Thunderstorms in Florida produced wind gusts to 65 mph which damaged two mobile homes northwest of Melbourne injuring six people. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing during the late morning hours produced severe weather through the afternoon and night. Thunderstorms spawned 13 tornadoes, and there were 154 reports of large hail and damaging winds. A strong (F-3) tornado injured six persons at Lorenzo, TX, and thunderstorm winds gusting to 100 mph killed one person at Glasscock City, TX. Softball size hail was reported at Lipscomb and Glen Cove TX. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1994: In west central Kansas, hail five inches in diameter knocked holes in roofs and damaged windshields and farm machinery 7 miles south of Tribune. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2001: Feeder bands from Tropical Storm Allison dumped heavy rains over Southeast Louisiana. By the 8th, many locations from Baton Rouge south to Thibodeaux were deluged with 10 to 18 inches of rain, which produced tremendous flooding. Another round of heavy rains erupted on the 10th and 11th as Allison's remnants moved directly over the same area. By the end of the second round, up to 30 inches had fallen in the area around Thibodeaux, LA. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2008: Strong thunderstorms pushed across southeast Illinois during the early morning, producing widespread rainfall of 3 to 7 inches. The highest total of 9.10 inches occurred south of Martinsville, in Clark County. Nearly 100 homes in the county were damaged from the resulting flash flooding, and every county road as well as portions of I-70 was closed due to high water. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2010: Tornadoes and thunderstorms tore through the Midwest USA, killing at least seven people in Ohio and triggering the automatic shutdown of a nuclear power plant in Michigan. In northwest Ohio, seven people were confirmed dead in mostly rural Lake Township south of Toledo. Severe storms caused the automatic shutdown of the Fermi 2 nuclear power plant on the shore of Lake Erie in southeast Michigan after a key area of the plant lost its power feed. Tornadoes also touched down in several locations in central Illinois around Peoria, with reports of dozens of injuries and damaged buildings.(Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

74 / 65 clouds to the lest , clouds to the right stuck in the middle with some sun. Warm / humid clouds are lined up to arrive later this afternoon capping most in the mid - upper 80s, but with enough sun could see a stray 90 or two (readings). Some isolated / scattered shower - storms later. Moving into another 72 - 96 hours of mainly grey / cloudy with chance of showers /storms each of the next 4 days Fri - Mon / Tue AM. Front / boundary slow to clear and hang by the area and coast eventually through Tuesday. Clear out Wed and warm up to / with the next shot at some 1-2 days heat Thu (6/12) / Fri (6/13) befor next front come through timing - weekend 6/14. Beyond there overall warm heat is focussed west with heights and more sustained heat heading east by the week of the 22.

PA Storms to fizzle but cloud debris may linger into tomorrow

Highs: TEB: 90 EWR: 90 New Brnswck: 89 LGA: 88 NYC: 87 PHL: 87 BLM: 86 TTN: 86 ACY: 84 ISP: 83 JFK: 81

How does the ECMWF season run , is it monthly?

81 here seeing near or the same in C-N - NJ

SST Anomaly

Not nearly as sunny as yesterday - i counted 0 clouds the majority of the day. Warmer start - slightly warmer 850 MB temps itll will be close the 90 degree mark - warm regardless. Wondwer how much breaks or clouds we have Sat - Sun.

Records: Highs: EWR: 95 (2021) NYC: 99 (1925) LGA: 94 (2021) JFK: 90 (2010) Lows: EWR: 48 (1947) NYC: 47 (1945) LGA: 49 (1945) JFK: 50 (2023) Historical: Posted June 5, 2024 Records: Highs: EWR: 95 (2021) NYC: 99 (1925) LGA: 94 (2021) JFK: 90 (2010) Lows: EWR: 48 (1947) NYC: 47 (1945) LGA: 49 (1945) JFK: 50 (2023) Historical: 1805: A group of tornadoes tracked from southeast Missouri across the southern third of Illinois, and may also have moved into Indiana. These moved across the Mississippi River about 20 miles downstream from St. Louis, MO. Fish were reportedly "scattered all over the prairie" on the Illinois side of the river. Some pine tree tops, not native to that area of Illinois, were believed to have been blown in from at least 50 miles away. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1859 - Frost was reported from Iowa to New England. The temperature dipped to 25 degrees in New York State, and up to two inches of snow blanketed Ohio. The cold and snow damaged the wheat crop. (David Ludlum) 1908 - Helena MT was deluged with 3.67 inches of rain to establish their all-time 24 hour rainfall record. (4th-5th) (The Weather Channel) 1916 - A tornado struck the town of Warren AR killing 83 persons. There were 125 deaths that day in a tornado outbreak across Missouri and Arkansas. (David Ludlum) 1917 - Residents near Topeka KS reported disk-shaped hailstones six to ten inches in diameter, and two to three inches thick. The hailstorm was accompanied by a tornado. (The Weather Channel) 1925: Earliest 100° in Washington, DC. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA) 1945: Unusually cold air moved in to parts of the upper Midwest. Chicago, IL dropped to 37° after setting a record low the previous morning with 35° while Rockford, IL dropped to 35° on both mornings. Both 35 degree readings established June record lows. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1987 - International Falls, MN, dipped to a record low reading of 34 degrees during the morning. Williston, ND, and Glasgow, MT, reported record warm afternoon highs of 94 degrees. Major flooding was reported along the Guadelupe River in South Texas, with the water level at Cuero reaching 18 feet above flood stage. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Twenty cities in the south central and eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Asheville NC with a reading of 40 degrees. Fifteen cities in the north central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. The high of 108 degrees at Glasgow MT was a record for June. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from the Lower Mississippi Valley to the Southern Atlantic Coast during the day and into the night. Four tornadoes were reported, and there were 87 reports of large hail and damaging winds. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1995: The Hurricane name was not retired in 1995 thus a different Hurricane Allison is named as the 2001 Hurricane Allison below. Hurricane Allison became the earliest hurricane on record to cross the Florida coast at when it came ashore in Taylor County at Apalachee Bay with 75 mph winds. Hurricane Allison crossed the coast near Alligator Point in the Florida Big Bend area at 0900z on the 5th. At landfall, maximum sustained winds were 69 mph with a minimum central pressure of 990 millibars. Maximum rainfall amounts were between 4 and 6 inches. Storm surge heights were estimated at 6 to 8 feet from Dixie through Wakulla counties. Total storm damage in Florida was estimated at $860,000 dollars. The 1995 Atlantic Hurricane Season went down in the record books as one of the busiest hurricane seasons since 1871. There were a total of 19 named storms, 11 of which reached hurricanes. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1998: An F1 tornado touched down near the town of New Hope, MS creating a path one mile long and 50 yards wide. 13 houses had major damage and another 129 homes had minor damage. 22 mobile homes were either damaged or destroyed. Damages were estimated near $250,000 dollars. Another F1 tornado created a path two miles long and 50 yards wide 10 miles southeast of Hattiesburg, MS. 45 people were injured and two people were killed. The two fatalities were both in automobiles which ran into falling trees or the trees fell on them. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

Clouds the caveat today.

74 / 64 partly cloudy. Warmest day since Aug 26th last year. Pending on clouds the warm areas in C/N/NE-NJ get first 90s of the year otherwise mid - upper 80s and a few 89's with dewpoints in the mid 60s. Warm Friday but clouds again limiting widespread 90s - enough sung gets some warmer spots to 90. Front is slow and hangs around nearby Fri night - Mon AM wit clouds popup storms and showers but the previously forecast frontal passage with widespread storms has been muted with less than 0.75 and only scattered sponts picking that up with storms. 6/ 9 - 6/14 overall warmer than normal with trough back to our west in the GL/MW and onshore component along the coast should keep the opportunity for storms and limit highs shy of 90. GFS lost its persistent long range tropical development. Beyond there mid month 6/16 week heights building east and the heat is moving north and east looking overall warm - hotter that week.

Highs: TEB: 89 PHL: 88 New Brnswck: 88 ACY: 86 BLM: 86 EWR: 86 TTN: 85 NYC: 83 LGA: 82 JFK: 76 ISP: 76

Not sure about the re-analysis if any but here is another account "It raked Norfolk with "undiminished violence" for 27 hours from the morning of the 3rd, as the storm passed by to the east. The wind came in "flaws". Trees were uprooted. At noon on the 4th, stores on the wharves were flooded up to five feet in depth. High winds howled through Washington, DC. Along with a cold rain, winds leveled crops. The storm then moved northeast past Nantucket on the 5th. An account of the storm was given by Ann Waller Tazewell, wife of the then governor of Virginia in a letter to her son. She describes the storm as such "....The rain commenced on Friday morning (3rd), and continued pretty steadily all day, at night the wind blew so hard that this house rocked considerably. I was so much alarmed as to be unable to sleep but very little - I thought of my flowers, but could not expect anyone so much as to look after my cows or anything, as the rain fell in torrents, and the wind came in flaws, which made it like thunder yesterday (4th) the storm continued until five in the evening, there was a strong northwest wind all day, and the highest tide I ever saw in my life. The wind and tide together tore down all our enclosures at the other lot, upset our cow-house and then dashed it to pieces, tore up some of the wharf logs, upset the Temple there, and drifted it into the flower garden. We sat at the front windows witnessing the destruction all the time it was going on. Our front lot was two thirds covered by the tide. Some vessels that we saw pass rapidly by, were driven ashore at the Hospital Point (Portsmouth)........" Ann Tazewell later compares the storm to the great gale of September 1821 in this following passage: " ....Such a storm was never experienced here before, by anyone that I have heard speak of it. It is thought to have been far worse than the September gale of 1821. " Mrs. Tazewell's letter also mentions that they could not prepare dinner since the tide level was even with the kitchen floor. An account of the storm as given by the Norfolk and Portsmouth Herald described the storm as such. .....It is uncommon to hear of violent storms and hurricanes on any part of our extensive coast in the month of June; but we have to notice a visitation of stormy weather, which commenced about 9 o'clock on Friday night (3rd), rarely if ever equaled within the life span of the oldest inhabitant. The storm of the 3rd of September 1821 was perhaps more violent but it only lasted three or four hours, while this storm continued with undiminished violence, from the hour we have stated until 12 o'clock on Saturday night (4th), or about 27 hours. The wind at the commencement of the storm was northeast and so continued until about 12 o'clock on Saturday, when it began to haul gradually to the northwest and westward, and held up at southwest.... According to this account, the tides in this storm were higher than those in the September gale of 1821."

Smoke / haze has cleard NJ and most of the 5 boroughs slowly fading east. Tomorrow clouds from the mess around N-FL - GA could drift north - we'll see if any impacts on us as a potential limiting factor on highs.

Noon Round up New Brnswck: 82 EWR: 82 LGA: 80 ACY: 80 NYC: 79 TEB: 79 PHL: 79 TTN: 79 BLM: 78 ISP: 74 JFK: 72

to 78 (add 10) gets to 88 for here. Smoke mainly cleared through Jersey. Hot spots look low 90s tomorrow

Hazy smoke slowly clearing east in NJ