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75 / 67 and the start of what should be a mainly rain free, sunny and near normal 5 - 6 days. Heat remains out west with trough into the east and Atlantic ridge wanes back. Tropics (Ernesto) into the Atlantic during the period and expected to ride near the NE coast. warmer by the 17th and western heat pushes north then east beyond there.
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Records: Highs: EWR: 105 (2001) NYC: 103 (2001) LGA: 104 (2001) JFK: 98 (2001) Lows: EWR: 58 1944) NYC: 57 (1989) LGA: 61 (1962) JFK: 57 (1989) Historical: 1878 - The second most deadly tornado in New England history struck Wallingford CT killing 34 persons, injuring 100 others, and completely destroying thirty homes. The tornado started as a waterspout over a dam on the Quinnipiac River. It was 400 to 600 feet wide, and had a short path length of two miles. (The Weather Channel) 1969 - A tornado hit Cincinnati OH killing four persons and causing fifteen million dollars property damage. The tornado moved in a southeasterly direction at 40 to 50 mph. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Florida baked in the summer heat. Nine cities reported record high temperatures for the date, including Jacksonville with a reading of 101 degrees. Miami FL reported a record high of 98 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Tropical Storm Beryl deluged Biloxi with 6.32 inches of rain in 24 hours, and in three days drenched Pascagoula MS with 15.85 inches of rain. Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in the Southern Plains Region and over the Central High Plains Region. Thunderstorms in Oklahoma producedwind gusts to 92 mph at Harrah. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Evening thunderstorms in Arizona deluged Yuma with record torrential rains for the second time in two weeks. The rainfall total of 5.25 inches at the Yuma Quartermaster Depot established a state 24 hour record, and was nearly double the normal annual rainfall. Some of the homes were left with four feet of water in them. Seventy-six cities in the south central and eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. Lake Charles LA equalled their record for August with a low of 61 degrees. Canaan Valley WV was the cold spot in the nation with a low of 32 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1992 - A tornado packing winds estimated between 113 and 157 mph caused significant damage to the town of Chester, South Dakota. Shortly after 7 pm CDT a tornado tore right through the heart of Chester causing considerable damage. Four businesses were destroyed, three others had significant damage, and five had minor damage. An elevator and new grain bin were leveled, and another bin was heavily damaged. Most of the building housing the fire department was demolished. Also, many houses and vehicles sustained damage, and large trees were uprooted or broken off. In one instance a steel beam was thrust through a garage and into the car inside. One mile north of Chester, an entire house was moved off the foundation. The town had to be evacuated for 19 hours after the tornado because the tornado damaged a 12,000-gallon ammonia tank releasing 4,000 gallons of the liquid gas into the air. The ammonia was a health hazard forcing residents out. To the south of Chester, the storm destroyed a new convenience store and blew two fuel tanks over 100 yards.
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Highs: TEB: 87 PHL: 86 EWR: 85 New Brnswck: 85 TTN: 84 LGA: 84 ISP: 84 JFK: 83 ACY: 83 BLM: 82 NYC: 80
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Next wave
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sun and clouds se wind 84 / 75
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Next contestant on the Tropics is ripe
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Wind : 6 MPH 134° (SE) DT: up to 77
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79 / 76 and cloudy with a strong SE wind and some areas of rain. Debby and the remnants working through with the heaviest rains focused into PA with a line of storms and showers as the front clears through overnight. A 5 -6 day dry out with pleasant summer weather near normal for this time of the season with trough and weakness into the EC and ridge out west. Next weekend we watch the tropics in the Atlantic and other waves in the Caribbean and Gulf. Heat cappes west till after mid month with a hotter last 1/3 of the month once any tropical systems work out.
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Add this one to the classics
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Records: Highs: EWR: 101 (2001) NYC: 99 (2001) LGA: 98 (2001) JFK: 99 (2001) Lows: EWR: 56 (1989) NYC: 54 (1903) LGA: 59 (1989) JFK: 58 (1989) Historical: 1874: Swarms of Rocky Mountain locust invaded Denver, Colorado. Millions were seen cruising through the air. The insects were picked up by a thunderstorm gust front and carried into the city. The grasshoppers ravaged crops in surrounding counties for the last month. 1878 - The temperature at Denver, CO, soars to an all-time record high of 105 degrees. (The Weather Channel) 1881 - A cloudburst and flash flood occurred at Central Springs, CO, and Idaho Springs, CO. (David Ludlum) 1882 - An August snowstorm was reported by a ship on Lake Michigan. A thick cloud reportedly burst on the decks covering them with snow and slush six inches deep. Snow showers were observed at shore points that day. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1983 - The temperature at Big Horn Basin, WY, reached 115 degrees to establish a state record. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorm rains in eastern Nebraska sent the Wahoo River and Ithica River above flood stage. Thunderstorm rains in western Iowa sent the Nishnabotna River over flood stage. Up to seven inches of rain deluged the Council Bluffs area Friday evening and Saturday morning. Thunderstorms produced 4.4 inches of rain in three hours Friday evening, along with golf ball size hail. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms developing along a slow moving cold front produced severe weather from central Kansas to southern Wisconsin late in the day. Thunderstorms in Iowa produced hail three inches in diameter at Vinton, and produced wind gusts to 75 mph at Donohue and near Mount Pleasant. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - A total of ninety-nine cities in the central and eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Alpena MI with a reading of 40 degrees. Mount Mitchell NC was the cold spot in the nation with a morning low of 35 degrees. Early evening thunderstorms around Las Vegas NV produced wind gusts to 116 mph. The high winds damaged or destroyed about eighty- two aircraft at Henderson Sky Harbor Airport and McCarran International Airport, causing fourteen million dollars damage. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 2007: A tornado bounces across Staten Island and Brooklyn, New York, ripping off roofs and damaging dozens of buildings. The EF-2 twister hop-scotched through Brooklyn's Bay Ridge and Sunset Park neighborhoods around 6:30 am.
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Pesty sheet rain
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06GFS recurves but way out there,Euro would imply risk to Carolinas
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Euro and gfs both have storm threats in the Atlantic next week Aug 15 - Aug 22
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68 / 67 light rain and cloudy. More of the same the next 12 hours with showers, light rain. Debby goes west tomorrow, warm humid flow gets us back to the 80s. Sat should see clearing and may be the warmest day of the week. Great stretch of weather overall, near normal dry and lower humidity on a N-NNW flow. Heat capped out west through mid month. Beyond there , warmer and more humid flow and potential heat coming east, along with additional Tropical threats. 8/8 - 8/10 Debby's remnants, 8/10 - 8/16 : Near normal, dry 8/17 - beyond : warmer more humid, tropical risk, heat potential
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Records: Highs: EWR: 100 (2001) NYC: 104 (1918) LGA: 99 (2001) JFK: 96 (2001) Lows EWR: 57 (1948) NYC: 57 (1994) LGA: 61 (1975) JFK: 59 (2004) Historical: 1904 - A flash flood near Pueblo, CO, washed a train from the tracks killing 89 passengers. A bridge, weakened by the floodwaters sweeping through the valley below, gave way under the weight of the train dashing all but the sleeping cars into the torrent drowning the occupants. Rail service was frequently interrupted in the Rocky Mountain Region and southwestern U.S. that summer due to numerous heavy downpours which washed out the railroad beds delaying trains as much as five days. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1918 - Philadelphia, PA, established an all-time record with a high of 106 degrees. New York City experienced its warmest day and night with a low of 82 degrees and a high of 102 degrees. Afternoon highs of 108 degrees at Flemington NJ and Somerville NJ established state records for the month of August. (The Weather Channel) (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1924: A tornado caused estimated F4 damage moved southeast from south of Osseo, WI to Black River Falls, WI. One person was killed as a home was leveled and a boy was killed running to the storm cellar near the start of the path. Two people died as farm homes were swept away near the northeast edge of Black River Falls. Damage totaled $200,000 as 50 farms were hit and buildings were unroofed in the town of Northfield. The tornado followed the present route of Interstate 94. 1980: Hurricane Allen bottomed out at 899 millibars (26.55 inches of mercury) while moving through the Yucatan Channel in the southeastern part of the Gulf of Mexico. Allen was the second lowest pressure ever recorded in the Western Hemisphere up to that time. Allen's winds at the time were sustained at 190 mph. 1984 - El Paso, TX, normally receives 1.21 inches of rain in August. They got it in forty-five minutes, with four more inches to boot, during a storm which left Downtown El Paso under five feet of water. (The Weather Channel) 1986 - A rare outbreak of seven tornadoes occurred in New England. One tornado carved its way through Cranston RI and Providence RI causing twenty injuries. Rhode Island had not reported a tornado in twelve years, and three touched down in 24 hours. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1987 - Morning thunderstorms drenched Goldsboro, NC, with 3.37 inches of rain. Late morning thunderstorms in Arizona produced dime size hail, wind gusts to 50 mph, and two inches of rain, at Sierra Vista. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - A dozen cities in the central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Waco, TX, with a reading of 107 degrees. The record high of 88 degrees at Marquette, MI, was their twenty-third of the year. Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in Nebraska, Minnesota and Wisconsin, with wind gusts to 81 mph reported at McCool, NE. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Forty cities in the central U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Valentine, NE, with a reading of 40 degrees, and Belcourt ND with a low of 37 degrees. Martin SD was the cold spot in the nation with a morning low of 30 degrees. Unseasonably hot weather prevailed over Florida and Washington State, with record highs of 100 degress at Daytona Beach, FL, 101 degrees at Walla Walla, WA, and 103 degrees at Hanford, WA. (The National Weather Summary)
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From anther round of heavy rains to being warm sectored and tonado watch
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75 so far fo their high. misty cloudy onshore flow keeping it lower liekly.
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Perhaps Sat is mostly dry and salvable
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EWR has only hit 100 or more on two days in Sep 9/3, 9/4 (1954, 1993) Came close in with either 99 or 98 in 18,15, 10, 83 most recently.
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We'll see if the ridge tends more east once past the 16/17th as Jun/Jul and a warmer / humid progression evolves. Next week looks marvelous with a imuch needed dry out if it evolves as forecasted.
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