SACRUS
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66 / 51. Overall dry and near normal the next 72 hours. Warmth and some heat build in by Thu (6/13) / Fri (6/14) some 90s especially in the warmer spots. Turn to hotter by the 17th where a sustained ridge into the east with heat and potential first heatwave in the cards. Monthly departures pushing +5 or more the 20th. Beyond there the close of the month looking overall warm - hot.
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Records: Highs: EWR: 102 (2011) first 100 NYC: 97 (1933) LGA: 99 (2008) JFK: 96 (1984) Lows: EWR: 47 (1957) NYC: 47 (1980) LGA: 49 (1980) JFK: 48 (1980) Historical: 1953 - A tornado hit the town of Worcester MA killing ninety persons. The northeastern states usually remain free of destructive tornadoes, however in this case a low pressure system, responsible for producing severe thunderstorms in Michigan and Ohio the previous day, brought severe weather to New Hampshire and central Massachusetts. The tornado, up to a mile in width at times, tracked 46 miles through Worcester County. It mangled steel towers built to withstand winds of 375 mph. Debris from the tornado fell in the Boston area, and adjacent Atlantic Ocea. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1966: Hurricane Alma made landfall over the eastern Florida panhandle becoming the earliest hurricane to make landfall on the United States mainland. 1972 - A cloudburst along the eastern slopes of the Black Hills of South Dakota produced as much as 14 inches of rain resulting in the Rapid City flash flood disaster. The rains, which fell in about four hours time, caused the Canyon Lake Dam to collapse. A wall of water swept through the city drowning 237 persons, and causing more than 100 million dollars property damage. (David Ludlum) 1987 - Lightning struck Tire Mountain near Denver CO, destroying two million tires out of a huge pile of six million tires. Thunderstorms spawned three tornadoes around Denver, and a man was killed at Conifer CO when strong thunderstorm winds lifted up a porch and dropped it on him. A thunderstorm near Compton MD produced two inch hail, and high winds which destroyed twenty barns and ten houses injuring five persons. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from North Carolina to the Central Gulf Coast Region. Hail in North Carolina caused more than five million dollars damage to property, and more than sixty million dollars damage to crops. Hail three and a half inches in diameter was reported at New Bern NC. Thunderstorms in the Central High Plains produced eighteen inches of hail at Fountain CO. The temperature at Del Rio TX soared to an all-time record high of 112 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Severe weather abated for a date, however, showers and thunderstorms continued to drench the eastern U.S. with torrential rains. Milton, FL, was deluged with 15.47 inches in 24 hours. Record heat and prolonged drought in south central Texas left salt deposits on power lines and insulators near the coast, and when nighttime dew caused arcing, the city of Brownsville was plunged into darkness. (The National Weather Summary)
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Highs: PHL: 82 EWR: 80 ACY: 79 BLM: 79 New Brnswck: 78 JFK: 78 TTN: 78 TEB: 76 LGA: 76 ISP: 74 NYC: 74
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Clouds breaking and partly sunny
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Euro now with less troughing NE in the 7- 10 day
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69 / 60 , a bit more humid than yesterday. Cloudy and showers around in the northern sections and passing through NJ. Should get breaks in the clouds to make way for a very nice part of the day between 11M - 1PM with upper 70s / low 80s. The trough and UL in the GL was bound to send some clouds / showers this way. Overall dry and near normal through Wed with chance for showers / storm on Tue PM (6/11) - Wed (6/12). Heat for the warmer spots by Thu (6/13) before all areas get there Fri (6./14) - maybe the park too. Looks like a quick black of >18C 850 MB temps. May see showers storms Sat (6/15) before hotter by Fathers day Sun (6/17). Beyond there looking overall warm to hot as heights reman elevated.
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Highs: ACY: 84 EWR: 83 PHL: 82 BLM: 81 JFK: 81 New Brnswck: 79 TEB: 79 ISP: 79 LGA: 79 TTN: 79 NYC: 76
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Clouds splitting the area NJ in half
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Last below normal daily departure at EWR was May 13th (-5)
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Records: Highs: EWR: 99 (2011) NYC: 95 (1933) LGA: 97 (2011) JFK: 96 (1999) Lows: EWR: 44 (1932) NYC: 47 (1932) LGA: 50 (1977) JFK: 50 (1997) Historical: 1951: A tornado was captured on motion pictures for the first time in the USA. 1953 - The worst tornado of record for the state of Michigan killed 116 persons. Flint MI was hardest hit. The tornado, half a mile in width, destroyed 200 homes on Coldwater Road killing entire families. (The Weather Channel) 1966 - A tornado ripped right through the heart of the capitol city of Topeka KS killing sixteen persons and causing 100 million dollars damage. The tornado, which struck during the evening, cut a swath of near total destruction eight miles long and four blocks wide. It was the most destructive tornado of record up until that time. (David Ludlum) 1974 - Severe thunderstorms spawned at least twenty-three tornadoes in Oklahoma during the afternoon and evening hours. One of the tornadoes struck the town Drumright killing sixteen persons and injuring 150 others. A tornado struck the National Weather Service office in Oklahoma City, and two tornadoes hit the city of Tulsa. Thunderstorms in Tulsa also produced as much as ten inches of rain. Total damage from the storms was around thirty million dollars. It was the worst natural disaster of record for Tulsa. (Storm Data) 1987 - Thunderstorms in the northeastern U.S. produced large hail and damaging winds in Vermont injuring two persons. Thunderstorms in Ohio produced wind gusts to 75 mph near Akron, and deluged Pittsfield with two inches of rain in thirty minutes. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Overnight thunderstorms in Iowa produced 5.20 inches of rain at Coon Rapids. Thunderstorms in the Florida Keys drenched Tavernier with 7.16 inches of rain in 24 hours. Eleven cities in the central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather over the Central Gulf Coast Region during the day and evening. Severe thunderstorms spawned 17 tornadoes, including one which injured ten persons and caused a million dollars damage at Orange Beach, AL. Thunderstorm winds gusting to 90 mph killed three persons and injured four others at Mobile AL. Thunderstorms also deluged Walnut Hill and Avalon Beach, FL, with eight inches of rain. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 2001: Tropical Storm Allison hits Houston, Texas, for the second time in three days. Louisiana and southern Texas were inundated with rain. Baton Rouge received 18 inches over just a couple of days. Some portions of Texas racked up 36 inches by June 11.
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Jun temp dep :Through the first week (6/7) EWR: +6.8 JFK: +6.4 PHL: +6.3 LGA: +5.4 TTN: +5.4 NYC: +4.9
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68 / 54 off a low of 53. Gorgeous day ahead - low 80s. Overall near normal and dry the next 5 days, still would watch Tue pm and into Wed for trend for showers but latest forecast keeps much or all rain well south. Ridging builds in spurts with signal for a fast push and surge of heat into the area Fri (6/14) and next Sat (6/15) before a brief trough/front moves in. Then much warmer by 6/17 - the extent of ridging to be determined - tendency for weakness into the NE may persist a bit longer and keep the heat in / out rather than sustained but overall warmer / hotter once to mid month. Ridge should bounce back much of the second half for a day or 2 of heat before sustained heat etsablishes late int he month
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Records: Highs: EWR: 99 (1999) NYC: 96 (1925) LGA: 97 (1999) JFK: 92 (1999) Lows: EWR: 48 (1945) NYC: 47 (1879) LGA: 50 (2000) JFK: 50 (2000) Historical: 1816 - A famous June snow occurred in the northeastern U.S. Danville VT reported drifts of snow and sleet twenty inches deep. The Highlands were white all day, and flurries were observed as far south as Boston MA. (David Ludlum) 1816: The following is found on page 31, from the book, "History of the American Clock Business for the Past Sixty Year, and Life of Chauncey Jerome," written by Chauncey Jerome. The book was published in 1860. "The next summer was a cold one of 1816, which none of the old people will ever forget, and which many of the young have heard a great deal about. There was ice and snow in every month of the year. I well remember on the seventh of June, while on my way to work, about a mile from home, dressed throughout with thick woolen clothes and an overcoat on, my hands got so cold that I was obliged to lay down my tools and put on a pair of mittens which I had in my pocket. It snowed about an hour that day." This bitter cold event occurred in Plymouth, Connecticut. 1972 - Richmond VA experienced its worst flood of record as rains from Hurricane Agnes pushed the water level at the city locks to a height of 36.5 feet, easily topping the previous record of thirty feet set in 1771. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms in the Laramie Mountains of eastern Wyoming produced golf ball size hail, and up to five inches of rain in just one hour. Half a dozen cities in the Upper Mississippi Valley reported record high temperatures for the date, including La Crosse, WI, with a reading of 97 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)(Storm Data) 1988 - Snow whitened some of the mountains of northern California and northwestern Nevada. Twenty-six cities in the central and eastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Rapid City SD with a reading of 104 degrees, and Miles City, MT, with a high of 106 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from southern Oklahoma and eastern Texas to northwestern Florida through the day and night. Thunderstorms spawned 22 tornadoes, including a dozen in Louisiana, and there were 119 reports of large hail and damaging winds. A strong (F-2) tornado at Gross Tete LA killed two persons, injured thirty others, and another strong (F-2) tornado injured 60 persons at Lobdell LA. Softball size hail was reported at Hillsboro TX. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
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Highs: ACY: 89 EWR: 88 PHL: 87 New Brnswck: 85 BLM: 85 TEB: 85 LGA: 85 TTN: 85 ISP: 84 JFK: 83 NYC: 82
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77 / 59 and looking like a truly spectacular day today and a very beautiful weekend. Looking mainly dry and near normal the next week, could see some showers and rain trend in the Tue night (6/11) - Wed (6/12) period. Warmer by mid month with ridging building east. IF we do remain mainly dry the next week - the heat could turn impressive in the 6/16 and beyond period. Will need to watch for cutoffs undercutting the ridge. First week of the month near +5 for many - next 7 shoould shave that down to closer to +2 then the second half looking above normal lines June up similar to May or stronger +3.
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Records: Highs: EWR: 97 (2021) NYC: 98 (1925) LGA: 95 (2021) JFK: 90 (1968) Lows: EWR: 43 (1945) NYC: 47 (1945) LGA: 49 (1945) JFK: 51 (2000) Historical: 1816 - The temperature reached 92 degrees at Salem MA during an early heat wave, but then plunged 49 degrees in 24 hours to commence the famous year without a summer . (David Ludlum) 1816: The temperature reached 92 degrees at Salem, Massachusetts during an early heat wave, but then plunged 49 degrees in 24 hours to commence the famous "year without a summer." Snow fell near Quebec City, Quebec Canada from the 6th through the 10th and accumulated up to a foot with "drifts reaching the axle trees of carriages." 1894 - One of the greatest floods in U.S. history occurred as the Williamette River overflowed to inundate half of the business district of Portland OR. (David Ludlum) 1894: One of the greatest floods in U.S. history occurred as the Willamette River overflowed to inundate half of the business district of Portland, Oregon. The river crested at 33.5 feet, the worst flood ever recorded in the city. 1975 - A tornado, reportedly spinning backwards (spinning clockwise), was sighted near Alva, OK. (The Weather Channel) 1977 - Severe thunderstorms with large hail and winds to 100 mph caused one million dollars damage around Norfolk, VA. A forty-two foot fishing boat capsized near the Chesapeake Bay Bridge Tunnel drowning 13 of the 27 persons on board. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms in southern California produced one inch hail at Mount Pinos, and marble size hail at Palmdale. Thunderstorms in southeastern Arizona produced heavy rain leaving some washes under four feet of water. Six cities in the north central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date as readings soared into the upper 90s. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Seventeen cities in the north central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Williston ND with a reading of 104 degrees. Thunderstorms in Florida produced wind gusts to 65 mph which damaged two mobile homes northwest of Melbourne injuring six people. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing during the late morning hours produced severe weather through the afternoon and night. Thunderstorms spawned 13 tornadoes, and there were 154 reports of large hail and damaging winds. A strong (F-3) tornado injured six persons at Lorenzo, TX, and thunderstorm winds gusting to 100 mph killed one person at Glasscock City, TX. Softball size hail was reported at Lipscomb and Glen Cove TX. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)
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Highs: ACY: 88 EWR: 87 PHL: 87 BLM: 86 New Brnswck: 86 TEB: 85 TTN: 84 JFK: 83 LGA: 83 NYC: 81 ISP: 80
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1.12 in the bucket. A warm, cloudy and humid 73/72 out now. Clouds could break at times and a steamy low 80s today with more scattered storms later this PM and evening. Clearing out Fri and this weekend is so far looking dry - no hear but near normal (80s/60s). Overall a gentle trough keeping it near normal to slightly above. Warmer by mid month with ridgng nosing into the east. Caveat for heat would be onshore flow as this pattern has tendency for cutoff lows to develop, otherwise much warmer by mid month and heat the second half looking in the 6/17 period and on.
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Records: Highs: EWR: 95 (2021) NYC: 99 (1925) LGA: 94 (2021) JFK: 90 (2010) Lows: EWR: 48 (1947) NYC: 47 (1945) LGA: 49 (1945) JFK: 50 (2023) Historical: 1859 - Frost was reported from Iowa to New England. The temperature dipped to 25 degrees in New York State, and up to two inches of snow blanketed Ohio. The cold and snow damaged the wheat crop. (David Ludlum) 1908 - Helena MT was deluged with 3.67 inches of rain to establish their all-time 24 hour rainfall record. (4th-5th) (The Weather Channel) 1916 - A tornado struck the town of Warren AR killing 83 persons. There were 125 deaths that day in a tornado outbreak across Missouri and Arkansas. (David Ludlum) 1917 - Residents near Topeka KS reported disk-shaped hailstones six to ten inches in diameter, and two to three inches thick. The hailstorm was accompanied by a tornado. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - International Falls, MN, dipped to a record low reading of 34 degrees during the morning. Williston, ND, and Glasgow, MT, reported record warm afternoon highs of 94 degrees. Major flooding was reported along the Guadelupe River in South Texas, with the water level at Cuero reaching 18 feet above flood stage. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Twenty cities in the south central and eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Asheville NC with a reading of 40 degrees. Fifteen cities in the north central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. The high of 108 degrees at Glasgow MT was a record for June. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from the Lower Mississippi Valley to the Southern Atlantic Coast during the day and into the night. Four tornadoes were reported, and there were 87 reports of large hail and damaging winds. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)
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Highs: PHL: 85 TTN: 84 NewBrnswck: 81 EWR: 81 LGA: 81 ACY: 80 NYC: 79
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Saw that which leads to a tendency for cut offs - we;ll see how the progression goes - also key is if we can gain some water in the bucket or remain overall near / drier than normal the next 2 weeks.
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69 / 65 and some low clouds over the area. Mainly cloudy today with some breaks in the clouds - humid and upper70s / low 80s. Showers / rain - storms overnight and into tomorrow. Clears out Fri (6/7) and the weekend looks dry - near normal but still have suspicion it could turn unsettled - heres hoping to be wrong. Overall near normal as ridge - west - weakness East continues through the next week or so. Mid month step to warmer with perhaps a hotter close to the month.
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Records Highs: EWR: 97 (1943) NYC: 99 (1925) LGA: 96 (1943) JFK: 91 (1971) Lows: EWR: 48 (1964) NYC: 48 (1926) LGA: 51 (2023) JFK: 49 (2023) Historical : 1825 - A hurricane struck Long Island NY leveling trees and causing damage to ships. The early season hurricane, which originated around Cuba, caused major damage along the Atlantic coast from Charleston SC to New York City. Many were lost at sea. (David Ludlum) 1825: A severe storm of tropical origin swept up the Atlantic Coast during the first week of June 1825 with reports of significant damage from Florida to New York City. Shipping logs told of a disturbance at Santo Domingo on May 28th and Cuba on June 1st. Gales were reported at St. Augustine, Florida on the 2nd. The Norfolk and Portsmouth Herald reported "undiminished violence" from the gale force winds for 27 hours, ending on June 4th. The effect of the storm reached well inland. Washington had cold, heavy rain all day on the 4th with high winds laying the crops in the vicinity. The wind also tore up trees by the roots in front of the State House in Philadelphia. This storm impacted the New Jersey Coast and the Long Island area as well with high winds and a two-foot storm surge. A Columbian frigate was driven ashore as were many smaller boats. The largest loss of life occurred along the Long Island shore when a schooner capsized. The entire crew of seven was lost. 1860 - Iowa's Commanche Tornado , with wind speeds estimated in excess of 300 mph, was unquestionably one of the worst experienced by early settlers, with nearly a million dollars damage. (The Weather Channel) 1877: A tornado of estimated F4 intensity touched down just west of Mt. Carmel, Illinois and moved east-northeast, devastating the town. 20 businesses and 100 homes were damaged or destroyed. At least 16 people and as many as 30 were killed, with 100 others injured. 1982 - A four day storm began over New England which produced up to 14 inches of rain in southern Connecticut breaching twenty-three dams and breaking two others. Damage was estimated at more than 276 million dollars. (David Ludlum) 1987 - Early morning thunderstorms in south Texas produced 6.5 inches of rain at Hockheim, and five inches at Hallettsville, in just a few hours. Afternoon thunderstorms in Virginia deluged northern Halifax County with 5.5 inches of rain in two hours. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 76 mph at Dusty WA, and wind gusts to 88 mph at Swanquarter NC. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - A dozen cities in the eastern U.S. reported record low temp- eratures for the date, including Atlantic City NJ with a reading of 40 degrees. Fifteen cities in the north central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Glasgow MT and Havre MT with readings of 102 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from the Southern Plains Region and the Lower Mississippi Valley to the Southern Atlantic Coast Region during the day and into the night. Just four tornadoes were reported, but there were 87 reports of large hail and damaging winds. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
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Highs PHL: 89 TEB: 84 TTN: 84 EWR: 82 New Brnswck: 82 LGA: 81 ACY: 80 NYC: 79 JFK: 78 BLM: 76 ISP: 74
