SACRUS

Highs: EWR: 100 LGA: 97 BLM: 96 TEB: 96 New Brnswck: 95 ACY: 94 NYC: 94 TTN: 94 PHL: 94 JFK: 91 ISP: 88

Highs: EWR: 100 LGA: 97 BLM: 96 TEB: 96 New Brnswck: 95 ACY: 94 NYC: 94 TTN: 94 PHL: 94 JFK: 91 ISP: 88

https://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/img/vis_nj_anim.gif

98 / 67 here

89/68 here at 11AM Wind : 221° (SW)direction

Current Global SST anomaly

July 4th coming into range and most guidance showing ridging into the east SW/SSW flow - warm/humid for the period.

81 / 67 and sunny SW flow. Off to the proverbial races temp-wise mid - upper 90s, recent dryness enhancing heating. Storms fire north each of the next two nights and we'll see if any get or make their way down to North Jersey. Heat is on through Sunday and only scattered showers storms, clouds or debris clouds from northern storms would limit the heat. Trough pushes first meaningful front through on Mon but still remaining hot and with enough sun another day of the heatwave. Tue dries out and bit cooler but warm spots should touch 90. A quick surge of hotter by Wed (6/26) before the next trough moves in with cooler period for 2 days. Ridgiing and warmth building back to close the month on the 30th and setting up the next hot period / heatwave. 6/17 -6/26 : Hot 6/27 - 6/29: brief cooldown 6/30 - beyond : hotter/ humid

Clouds or shower, pop up storms only issue for higher on Sat / Sun,most model keep the bulk of the activity north but we'll see. Surge of >20C 850 MB temperatures late Saturday and Sunday.

Highs: EWR: 97 TEB: 95 LHA: 94 New Brnswck: 93 TTN: 92 BLM: 92 NYC: 91 PHL: 91 ACY: 90 ISP: 85 JFK: 84

Records: Highs: EWR: 98 (2012) NYC: 98 (1923) LGA: 98 (2012) JFK: 94 (2012) Lows: EWR: 52 (1956) NYC: 49 (1914) LGA: 55 (1959) JFK: 55 (2005) Historical: 1682 - A major tornado ripped through southwestern Connecticut, passing through Stratford, Milford, and New Haven, and then into Long Island Sound. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1921 - Circle, MT, received 11.5 inches of rain in 24 hours, a record for the state. The town of Circle received a total of 16.79 inches of rain that month to establish a rainfall record for any town in Montana for any month of the year. (The Weather Channel) 1928 - A farmer near Greensburg, KS, looked up into the heart of a tornado. He described its walls as rotating clouds lit with constant flashes of lightning and a strong gassy odor with a screaming, hissing sound . (The Weather Channel) 1964 - A squall line producing large hail swept through central Illinois. A second squall line moved through during the early morning hours of the 21st, and a third one moved through shortly after dawn. The series of hailstorms caused nine million dollars damage. Hailstones as large as grapefruit caused heavy damage to trees, utility lines, crops and buildings. The thunderstorms also produced as much as five inches of rain in an eight hour period. (David Ludlum) 1987 - Thunderstorms prevailed east of the Rockies, producing severe weather in the Central High Plains Region. Thunderstorms spawned four tornadoes in Colorado, and produced wind gusts to 70 mph at Goodland, KS. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thirty-eight cities in the central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Afternoon highs of 97 degrees at Flint, MI, and 104 degrees at Chicago, IL, equalled records for the month of June. Thunderstorms in North Dakota produced baseball size hail near Kief, and wind gusts to 100 mph near McGregor. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - An early morning thunderstorm produced wind gusts to 61 mph at Pierre, SD, and the hot thunderstorm winds raised the temperature from 86 degrees at midnight to 96 degrees by 1 AM, and 104 degrees by 2 AM. Butte, MT, and Yellowstone Park, WY, reported snow that afternoon. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989:A meteorological "hot flash" hit Pierre. Descending air from collapsing thunderstorms caused the temperature in Pierre to warm from 86 degrees at midnight to 96 at one a.m. and to 104 at 2 a.m. Pierre's record high for the date of 105 degrees in 1974. 2001: Large hail driven by strong thunderstorm winds raked Denver International and front-range airports. Wind gusting to 54 mph along with hail as large as 2 inches in diameter punched at least 14 thousand holes and cracks in the flat roofs of several buildings at Denver International Airport. Also, 93 planes and hundreds of cars were damaged. About 100 flights had to be canceled stranding 1500 travelers. The Airport was completely shut down for about 20 minutes. The storm also damaged ground avoidance radar used to track planes on the ground to prevent collisions. Damage was estimated at 10 million dollars not counting the cost to the 93 airliners. The storm moved south and struck Watkins Colorado with hail as large as 2 1/2 inches in diameter and winds gusting to 60 mph.

Highs: EWR: 97 TEB: 95 LHA: 94 New Brnswck: 93 TTN: 92 BLM: 92 NYC: 91 PHL: 91 ACY: 90 ISP: 85 JFK: 84

Up to 94 here DT 67. Wind; 266° (W) - hence the hotter readings everywhere today.

1PM ROund up EWR: 94 LGA: 92 (first of the season) TEB: 92 ACY: 89 BLM: 89 New Brnswck: 89 NYC: 88 TTN: 88 PHL: 86 ISP: 82 JFK: 82 https://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/img/vis_nj_anim.gif

Think there are two possibilities to end the heat wave there and other parts of NJ - Sat (clouds / showers) if not then there is a sharp cooldown between 27-30th that should push temps back into the 80s before ridge rebuilds.

86 / 66 Wind: 239° (WSW)

Tropical wave to crash into NE-FL this Fri into the weekend, probaly wont have enough time to organize (be named)

Late month trough 6/28 - 6/30 with ridging building behind. CMC the warmest

80 / 66 and off to a faster launch pad. Flow still with an around the ridge onshore component keeping those east and coastal on the fringe of theirr first / elusive 90s, but think some will get there, otherwise for inland places day 3 or 4 (the warmest spits). Only clouds and showers could break the heat streak Sat but looking very warm. Mid - upper 90s today/ tomorrow, recent dryness and full sun could push near records highs on Sun as the > 20C 850mb come in on a strong SW flow ahead of the trough pushing front through Sun PM. Mon in between day but still warm upper 80s to 90s. A warmer push Tue (6/25) before a trough pushes through another front and cooler air breaks the heat by Wed (6/26) / Thu (6/28). A brief cooldown before warmer returns as ridging builds east. Looks more warm - humid so we'll see if its more stormy. Hot ; 6/17 - 6/27 Cooler : 6/28 - 6/30 Warmer - humid (hot) : beyond.

EWR: 93 New Brnswck: 92 TTN: 90 TEB: 90 PHL: 90 NYC: 89 LGA: 89 BLM: 88 ACY: 87 ISP: 82 JFK: 82

Highs: EWR: 93 New Brnswck: 92 TTN: 90 TEB: 90 PHL: 90 NYC: 89 LGA: 89 BLM: 88 ACY: 87 ISP: 82 JFK: 82

Beyond this ridging is forcest to build bac east, perhaps a more warm-humd flow (storm?)

Seemed to be a May / Jun tendency the last few seasons. Was it May of 21 or 22 where the heat went over the top and recently in Jun.

Snow west MT/WY