SACRUS
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46 / 34 off a low of 41. Assuming we get sun, temps will out perform guidance and get to the low 60s. low 40s tonight and 30s inland (frost). Coolest day tomorrow (Game 3 citifield 40s). Temps in sunshine will out perform and radiational cooling will too. Warmer by Fri, perhaps touching near 80 in the warmer spots Sun and monday. Dry lingers and overall warmer, although guidance is a bit cut off-ish now towards later next week with easterly flow.
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Touched 70 now 67 / 34
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Records: Highs: EWR: 85 (1975) NYC: 84 (1920) LGA: 82 (1975) JFK: 82 (1990) Lows: EWR: 32 (1932) NYC: 37 (1988) LGA: 40 (1993) JFK: 37 (1993) Historical: 1909: An F3 tornado struck Pittsburg Landing and Stantonville, TN killing 23 people and injuring 80 others. 1941: America's first television weather forecast was broadcast on New York's WNBT (later WNBC). There weren’t many televisions at that time, so viewers were limited to perhaps a few hundred people. The weathercast consisted of a sponsor's message followed by a text screen containing the next day's forecast. 1957 - Floodwaters roared through a migrant labor camp near the town of Picacho AZ flooding fifty cabins and a dozen nearby homes. 250 migrant workers lost their shelters. The month was one of the wettest Octobers in Arizona weather history. (The Weather Channel) 1965 - Heavy rains hit the coastal areas of southeastern Florida. In a 24 hour period rains of twenty inches were reported from Deerfield Beach to Fort Lauderdale, with 25.28 inches on the Fort Lauderdale Bahia-Mar Yacht Basin. Flooding that resulted caused considerable damage to roads and streets. The rains inundated numerous newly planted vegetable fields, and some residences. Ten miles away just 4.51 inches of rain was reported. (14th- 15th) (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1981 - Four days of heavy rain across northern Texas and southern Oklahoma came to an end. The heaviest rains fell in a band from southwest of Abilene TX to McAlester OK, with up to 26 inches reported north of Gainesville, in north central Texas. The heavy rains were the result of decaying Hurricane Norma, which also spawned thirteen tornadoes across the region. Seven deaths were attributed to the flooding. (Storm Data) 1984 - Dense fog contributed to a 118 vehicle accident on I-94, just south of Milwaukee WI. It was the seventh day of an eight day stretch of dense fog. At the time of the accident the visibility was reportedly close to zero. (Storm Data) 1987 - Sixteen cities, mostly in the Appalachain Region, reported record low temperatures for the date. Record lows included 43 degrees at Lake Charles LA, 35 degrees at Augusta GA, and 27 degrees at Asheville NC. Gale force winds buffeted the Carolina coast. Light snow fell across parts of Wyoming, Colorado, and western South Dakota. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Forty cities in the eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. Elkins WV was the cold spot in the nation with a record low of 18 degrees above zero. Thunderstorms in Arizona drenched Phoenix with nine inches of rain in nine hours, the fifth highest total for any given day in ninety-two years of records. Carefree AZ was soaked with two inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather over Michigan during the morning, and over New York State and Connecticut during the afternoon and evening hours. Thunderstorms spawned two tornadoes, and there were ninety reports of large hail or damaging winds, including seventy reports of damaging winds in New York State. A tornado at McDonough NY killed one person and injured three other people. Strong thunderstorm winds gusted to 105 mph at Somerset. Temperatures warmed into the 80s and lower 90s over much of the nation east of the Rockies, with eleven cities reporting record high temperatures for the date. Afternoon highs of 81 degrees at Beckley WV and Bluefield WV equalled October records. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)
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Warmer look / dry continues into next week
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56 / 50 front moving through and its been dry south of the NJ/NY border. Coolest of the season Tue - Thu, first frosts inland, perhaps freezes in NW sections, and upper 30s metro. Dryness will lead to highs above forecast and radiational cooling and recent dryness will see lows beat foreceast. Warm up Fri and the coming weekend to above normal, back to the 70s and better in the warmer spots. The dry period continues and an overall warmer into the followinng week and beyond.
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Highs: PHL: 84 TTN: 80 ACY: 80 BLM: 77 EWR: 74 New Brnswck: 74 JFK: 73 TEB: 71 ISP: 70 NYC: 69 LGA: 68
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The old familiar map of the last 7 weeks (aside from the week of clouds, mist)
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7 Day
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Records: Highs: EWR: 89 (1954) NYC: 87 (1954) LGA: 86 (1995) JFK: 79 (1995) Lows; EWR: 34 (2012) NYC: 34 (1875) LGA: 39 (1988) JFK: 37 (2012) Historical: 1846 - A great hurricane tracked across Cuba, Florida, Georgia, the Carolinas, Virginia and Pennsylvania. The hurricane inflicted major damage along its entire path, which was similar to the path of Hurricane Hazel 108 years later. The hurricane caused great damage at Key West FL, and at Philadelphia PA it was the most destructive storm in thirty years. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1983: Severe weather in Falls Church, VA, produced 2-3 tornadoes and caused $1 million in damages. 1986 - Four tornadoes struck southeastern Virginia late in the night causing three million dollars damage. Tornadoes at Falls Church VA caused a million dollars damage. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders) 1987 - Fifteen cities in the eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. Record lows included 34 degrees at Meridian MS, 28 degrees at Paducah KY, and 26 degrees at Beckley WV. Another surge of arctic air entered the north central U.S. bringing snow to parts of Wyoming and Colorado. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - A total of forty-three cities in the eastern U.S. and the Upper Midwest reported record low temperatures for the date, including Elkins WV and Marquette MI where the mercury dipped to 18 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Sixteen cities reported record high temperatures for the date as readings warmed into the 80s and low 90s from the Southern and Central Plains to the Southern and Middle Atlantic Coast. Evansville IND and North Platte NE reported record highs of 91 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)
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A few games of old school POst season Mets Game 3 : Wed Oct 16 game time looks to be in the mid 40s - dropping - Citifield Yanks Game 3 : Thu Oct 17 game time looks 40s to upper 40s , light rain - CLE
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65 / 45 some clouds (just north of here). Enough sun matches yesterday upper 70s / near 80, clouds keep areas in the upper 60s / low 70s - rain just north of the NJ/NY border. Cooler 10/15 - 10/17, warmer beyond there into next weekend. Dry looks to continue into the lats half of the month, with an overall ridging look into the east and above normal temps.
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Highs: ACY: 79 PHL: 79 New Brnswck: 78 JFK: 78 EWR: 78 BLM: 77 TEB: 76 ISP: 76 TTN: 76 LGA: 74 NYC: 74
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Up to 76 - temps continue to overperform on bright sunny days and dryness.
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Records: Highs: EWR: 88 (1954) NYC: 86 (1954) LGA: 86 (1954) JFK: 83 (1969) Lows: EWR: 35 (1996) NYC: 35 (1876) LGA: 41 (1964) JFK: 38 (1996) Historical: 1836 - A third early season storm produced heavy snow in the northeastern U.S. Bridgewater NY received 18 inches, a foot of snow fell at Madison NY, and for the third time all the mountains of the northeastern U.S. were whitened. (David Ludlum) 1918 - Forest fires ravaged parts of Minnesota from the Duluth area northeastward, claiming the lives of 600 persons. Smoke with a smell of burnt wood spread to Albany NY and Washington D.C. in 24 hours. Smoke was noted at Charleston SC on the 14th, and by the 15th was reported in northeastern Texas. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1918: On October 10, 1918, two men working near a railroad siding northwest of Cloquet, Minnesota, saw a passenger train pass by the siding, and soon after, that discovered a fire burning through grass and piles of wood. The fire could not be contained, and by October 12, fires had spread through northern Minnesota. At least 450 lives were lost, and 52,000 people were injured or displaced, 38 communities were destroyed, 250,000 acres were burned. 1962 - The "Columbus Day Big Blow" occurred in the Pacific Northwest. It was probably the most damaging windstorm of record west of the Cascade Mountains. Winds reached hurricane force, with gusts above 100 mph. More than 3.5 billion board feet of timber were blown down, and communications were severely disrupted due to downed power lines. The storm claimed 48 lives, and caused 210 million dollars damage. (David Ludlum) 1962: The Columbus Day Storm of 1962 was a Pacific Northwest windstorm that struck the West Coast of Canada and the Pacific Northwest Coast of the United States. It is considered the benchmark of extratropical wind storms. The storm ranks among the most intense to strike the region since at least 1948, likely since the January 9, 1880 "Great Gale" and snowstorm. Click HERE for more information from the University of Washington. 1979: The lowest barometric pressure ever recorded occurs in the center of Typhoon Tip on this day. A fly reconnaissance mission recorded the low pressure of 870 hPa or 25.69 inHg. Typhoon Tip was the most extensive tropical cyclone on record with a wind diameter of 1380 miles at its peak. 1987 - Floyd, the only hurricane to make landfall the entire season, moved across the Florida Keys. Floyd produced wind gusts to 59 mph at Duck Key, and up to nine inches of rain in southern Florida. Sixteen cities in the Ohio Valley and the Middle Mississippi Valley reported record low temperatures for the date. Record lows included 27 degrees at Paducah KY, and 24 degrees at Rockford IL and Springfield IL. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Twenty cities in the Upper Midwest reported record low temperatures for the date, including International Falls MN with a reading of 17 degrees. The town of Embarass MN reported a morning low of 8 degrees. Snow showers in the northeastern U.S. produced five inches at Corry PA. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Temperatures again warmed into the 80s in the Central Plains Region and the Middle Mississippi Valley, with 90s in the south central U.S. Six cities reported record high temperatures for the date, including Fort Smith AR with a reading of 92 degrees. Strong winds along a cold front crossing the Great Lakes Region and the Ohio Valley gusted to 61 mph at Johnstown PA. (The National Weather Summary)
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Bit of a back and forth once to th end of next week then looking overall above normal, ridge shifting east, will any rain materialize later this month
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Dry through day 7
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55 / 43 off a low of 45. Mid 70s today, perhaps some upper 70s in the warmer spots in NJ, same tomorrow some areas may touch 80, ehnced ny the dry. Scattered showers, drizzle perhaps with the front passage later overnight sunday and monday but otherwise a dry front. Coolest period of the season (since this past tue-thu) comes 10/51 - 10/17, frost inland 30s to metro - wed the coolest day. Cold one at Flushing / Citi field for Game 3. Warmer by the 18/19 and through the rest of the month overall above normal. Dry will continues at least through the next 7 days.
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Records: Highs: EWR: 88 (1949) NYC: 85 (1949) LGA: 86 (1955) JFK: 80 (1960) Lows: EWR: 36 (1979) NYC: 34 (1964) LGA: 36 (1964) JFK: 37 (1979) Historical: 1846: A major hurricane, possibly a Category 5, moved through the Caribbean Sea. This Great Havana Hurricane struck western Cuba on 10 October. It hit the Florida Keys on 11 October, destroying the old Key West Lighthouse and Fort Zachary Taylor. 1906: Games 1 and 2 of all Chicago World Series were played amid snow flurries. Snow would not happen again in a World Series until 1997. The high temperature for game 3 played on this day was 43 degrees. 1925 - Widespread early season snows fell in the northeastern U.S., with as much as two feet in New Hampshire and Vermont. The heavy snow blocked roads and cancelled football games. (David Ludlum) 1954 - A deluge of 6.72 inches of rain in 48 hours flooded the Chicago River, causing ten million dollars damage in the Chicago area. (9th-11th) (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1987 - More than thirty cities in the Upper Midwest reported record low temperatures for the date, including Waterloo IA and Scottsbluff NE where the mercury dipped to 16 degrees. Tropical Storm Floyd brought heavy rain to southern Florida, moisture from Hurricane Ramon produced heavy rain in southern California, and heavy snow blanketed the mountains of New York State and Vermont. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Low pressure brought gale force winds to the Great Lakes Region, with snow and sleet reported in some areas. Unseasonably warm weather prevailed in the north central U.S. The mercury hit 84 degrees at Cutbank MT and Worland WY. The temperature at Gunnison CO soared from a morning low of 12 degrees to a high of 66 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Much of the nation enjoyed "Indian Summer" type weather. Nine cities in the central U.S. reported record highs for the date as temperatures warmed into the 80s and 90s. Record highs included 90 degrees at Grand Island NE and 97 degrees at Waco TX. Strong winds along a cold front crossing the Northern High Plains Region gusted to 80 mph at Ames Monument WY during the early morning. (The National Weather Summary)
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38 to 71 today now down to 59
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Dryness and full sun aiding temps (max) vs forecast up to 72 here. Likely have the effect with lows and radiational cooling vs forecast too.
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70 / 38 gorgeous here not so much here
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Records: Highs: EWR: 88 (2011) NYC: 86 (1916) LGA: 85 (2011) JFK: 87 (2011) Lows: EWR: 35 (1988) NYC: 37 (1988) LGA: 40 (1988) JFK: 35 (2001) Historical: 1804: The famous Snow Hurricane moved ashore near Atlantic City on this day. After briefly passing through Connecticut and into Massachusetts, cold air was entrained in the circulation with heavy snow falling between New York to southern Canada. Berkshires Massachusetts and Concord New Hampshire record two feet of snow with this hurricane. This storm produced the first observation of snow from a hurricane, but not the last. Hurricane Ginny of 1963 brought up to 18 inches (400 mm) of snow to portions of Maine. 1903 - New York City was deluged with 11.17 inches of rain 24 hours to establish a state record. Severe flooding occurred in the Passaic Valley of New Jersey where more than fifteen inches of rain was reported. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1981 - The temperature at San Juan, Puerto Rico, soared to 98 degrees to establish an all-time record for that location. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Eighteen cities in the southeastern U.S. and the Middle Atlantic Coast Region reported record low temperatures for the date. Asheville NC dipped to 29 degrees, and the record low of 47 degrees at Jacksonville FL marked their fourth of the month. A second surge of cold air brought light snow to the Northern Plains, particularly the Black Hills of South Dakota. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Ten cities in the northeastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Hartford CT with a reading of 28 degrees. Snow continued in northern New England through the morning hours. Mount Washington NH reported five inches of snow. Warm weather continued in the western U.S. Los Angeles CA reported a record high of 102 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Unseasonably cold weather continued in the Upper Midwest. Thirteen cities in Ohio, Michigan and Indiana reported record low temperatures for the date, including Marquette MI with a reading of 20 degrees. Unseasonably warm weather continued in the western U.S. as the San Francisco Giants won the National League pennant. San Jose CA reported a record high of 91 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 2001: An unusually strong fall outbreak of tornadoes spawned at least 23 twisters across parts of Nebraska and Oklahoma. Hardest hit was the town of Cordell, OK, but a 22 minute lead time led to an amazingly low casualty count: only nine injuries and no fatalities.
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53 / 45 off a low of 43. Near / low 70s and sunny today. Falling to the 40s metro tonight perhaps a few upper 30s inland. Cooler Thu / Fri (AM)> Warmer Sat - Sun before the coolest period of the season arrives 10/15 - 10/17 first frosts outside of metro. Beyond there warmer to potentially much warmer. Overall drier period continues,
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Coolest ais of the season so far is being forecast between the 15th / 17th. Much warmer post that cool down on consecutive runs. 90% of the US remains dry in the next week outside Florida current storms then Milton.
