SACRUS
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tropical flow + Beryl starting to tick up weekly rainfall forecasts - Tue ate / Wed/Thu early look wettest
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79 / 75. Hot and humid. Heatwave for serveral today, others tomorrow. Enough sun will push mid - upper 90s on a more N flow today. The Florida style pattern and high humidity will raise DT into the mid - upper 70s (has raised) the next 3-5 days. Trough west / Atlantic Ridge on roids balloons west 600 DM pushing >590 DM along the EC. Remnants of Beryl keep the already prone to drenchers more drenching mid week. Rain/ clouds and Beryl will spoil heatwave extending beyond Tue,. Overall warm - hot and stormy pattern the through the 12th. Peice of western heat on the move mid month, poised for a continued hotter second half. 7/5 - 7/12 : Humid/ Hot storms (drenchers possible Tue night - Wed) 7/13 - beyond : continues overall warm - hot - potential stronger heat.
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Records: Highs: EWR: 103 (1999) NYC: 101 (1999) LGA: 100 (1999) JFK: 102 (1999) Lows: EWR: 54 (1979) NYC: 53 (1979) LGA: 56 (1979) JFK: 56 (1979) Historical: 1891 - Sixteen horses were killed by hail, and many more have to be put to death due to injuries from a hailstorm at Rapid City, SD. (The Weather Channel) 1900 - A spectacular three day fire began when a bolt of lightning struck a refinery in Bayonne NJ. (David Ludlum) 1916 - A hurricane produced 82 mph winds, an 11.6 foot tide, and a barometric pressure of 28.92 inches at Mobile, AL. (David Ludlum) 1937 - The temperature at Medicine Lake, MT, soared to 117 degrees to establish a state record. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1937 - Midale and Yellow Grass in Saskatchewan hit 113 degrees to establish an all-time record high for Canada that same day. (The Weather Channel) 1970 - The morning low at Death Valley CA was 103 degrees, and the high that afternoon was 120 degrees. (The Weather Channel) 1980: The “More Trees Down” started in western Iowa and tracked eastward affecting several states along its past before dissipating in eastern Virginia. 1987 - Severe thunderstorms raked south central Kansas for the second morning in a row. Thunderstorm winds again gusted to 80 mph at Clearwater, and in the Wichita area reached 100 mph. Twenty-five persons were injured at a trailer park at El Dorado Lake. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms spawned eleven tornadoes in Montana and three in North Dakota. Baseball size hail was reported at Shonkin, MT, and wind gusts to 85 mph were reported south of Fordville, ND. Twenty cities in the north central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Fargo ND with a reading of 106 degrees. Muskegon, MI, equalled their July record with a high of 95 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Moisture from what once was Tropical Storm Allison triggered thunderstorms over the Middle Atlantic Coast Region, which deluged Wilmington, DE, with a record 6.83 inches of rain in 24 hours, including 6.37 inches in just six hours. Up to ten inches of rain was reported at Claymont, northeast of Wilmington. July 1989 was thus the wettest month in seventy years for Wilmington, with a total of 12.63 inches of rain. Alamosa CO reported an all-time record high of 94 degrees, and Pierre, SD, hit 113 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
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Highs: PHL: 95 TTN: 95 EWR: 91 ACY: 91 TEB: 90 BLM: 90 NYC: 90 LGA: 90 JFK: 83 ISP: 82
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Highs: PHL: 95 TTN: 95 EWR: 91 ACY: 91 TEB: 90 BLM: 90 NYC: 90 LGA: 90 JFK: 83 ISP: 82
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South wind- dry park. SW/W , NW, N flow typical 3-5 degrees contrast.
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79 / 74. Cloudy and hazy. Breaks in the clouds heats it up to the upper 80s / low 90s. Scattered storms - Florida Style today, and the rest of the weekend, but hazy hot and humid. Ridge WC (centered in E-CA/NV) - trough into the MW and ridging into the East by way of the Atlantic ridge ballooning to 600 DM. Overall, warm - hot but strong heat will be limited to a few days as predominant S/SW flow keeps storms popping through the 11-13. Beyond there heat from the west ejects east and setting up a hotter second half. 7/5 - 7/12 : Humid / Humid storms almost daily (hottest 7/6, 9th) 7/13 beyond : Hotter
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Records: Highs: EWR: 105 (1949) NYC: 102 (1949) LGA: 100 (1949) JFK: 101 (2010) Lows: EWR: 58 (1945) NYC: 55 (1986) LGA: 57 (1940) JFK: 59 (2021) Historical: 1776 - Thomas Jefferson paid for his first thermometer, and signed the Declaration of Independence. According to his weather memorandum book, at 2 PM it was cloudy and 76 degrees. (David Ludlum) 1911 - The northeastern U.S. experienced sweltering 100 degree heat. The temperature soared to 105 degrees at Vernon, VT, and North Bridgton ME, and to 106 degrees at Nashua NH, to establish all-time records for those three states. Afternoon highs of 104 at Boston, MA, 104 at Albany, NY, and 103 at Portland, ME, were all-time records for those three cities. (The Weather Channel) 1911: Record temperatures are set in the northeastern United States as a deadly heat wave hits the area that would go on to kill 380 people. In Nashua, New Hampshire, the mercury peaked at 106 degrees. Other high-temperature records were set all over New England during an 11-day period. 1956 - A world record for the most rain in one minute was set at Unionville, MD, with a downpour of 1.23 inches. (The Weather Channel) (The National Severe Storms Forecast Center) 1987 - Thunderstorms around the country provided extra fireworks for Independence Day. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 82 mph at Clearwater, KS, eight inches of rain in four hours at Menno SD, and three inches of rain in just fifteen minutes at Austin, KY. Morning thunderstorms drenched Oneonta AL with 8.6 inches of rain, their greatest 24 hour total in thirty years of records. The heavy rain caused mudslides and serious flooding, claiming two lives. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms produced heavy rain over the Central Gulf Coast Region for the second day in a row. Monroe, LA, was deluged with 3.75 inches in two hours. Aberdeen and Rapid City, SD, reported record high temperatures for the date, with readings of 105 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Independence Day was hot as a firecracker across parts of the country. Nineteen cities, mostly in the north central U.S., reported record high temperatures for the date, including Williston ND with a reading of 107 degrees. In the southwestern U.S., highs of 93 at Alamosa, CO, 114 at Tucson, AZ, and 118 at Phoenix, AZ, equalled all-time records for those locations. (The National Weather Summary)
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Highs: TTN: 92 New Brnswck: 91 PHL: 91 NYC: 89 EWR:89 BLM: 88 ACY: 87 TEB: 87 LGA: 86 JFK: 82 ISP: 81
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Warm look overall - storms should keep extreme heat at bay till the 12thhh
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TX rains from Beryl nd its remnants. Continue look for EC rains from Florida styler storms
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This month first 3 days opening very similar to near identical to the 2015 season with a -1 to -3 departure. The seasons looks to divert bit as we move into this warmer/humid period. That year had very hot second half.
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77 / 67 and partly cloudy. Hazy, hot, humid, upper 80s to low 90s where the most sun stays/comes out. Scattered storms are stubborn to popup later this evening and pm, but should be scattered north and west. Overall think 85% of the area is rain free and get to enjoy the day. The Western Atlantic Ridge is ballooning and nosing in from the east, keeping the EC warm. Overall, warm - hot and humid on a S/SW flow with rain chances and heatwave potential through next weekend or mid month. Heat in the west ejects east with stronger heat potential in the second half of the month. Happy Fourth
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Records: Highs: EWR: 105 (1966) NYC: 103 (1966) LGA: 107 (1966) JFK: 104 (1966) Lows: EWR: 57 (1953) NYC: 54 (19r53) LGA: 57 (1969) JFK: 56 (2001) Historical: 1873: A tornado in Hancock County, in far west central Illinois, destroyed several farms. From a distance, witnesses initially thought the tornado was smoke from a fire. A child was killed after being carried 500 yards; 10 other people were injured. 1966 - The northeastern U.S. was in the midst of a sweltering heat wave. The temperature at Philadelphia reached 104 degrees. Afternoon highs of 102 degrees at Hartford CT, 105 degrees at Allentown PA, and 107 degrees at LaGuardia Airport in New York City established all-time records for those two locations. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1975: Up to 3 inches of rain caused flash flooding throughout Las Vegas, NV. The main damage occurred to vehicles at Caesars Palace with approximately 700 damaged or destroyed with several cars found miles away. North Las Vegas was hardest hit with $3.5 million in damage. Two people drowned in the flood waters. 1987 - Lightning struck and killed three men playing golf on a course near Kingsport TN. The three men had sought shelter from the rain under a tall tree on a small hill. Showers and thunderstorms produced heavy rain in New Jersey, with 5.2 inches reported at Trenton State College. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Thunderstorms around Fort Worth, TX, produced wind gusts to 76 mph at Burleson, along with two inches of rain in thirty minutes. The record low of 46 degrees at Youngstown OH was their sixth in a row. (The National Weather Summary)(Storm Data) 1989 - Showers and thunderstorms produced locally heavy rain in the eastern U.S. Bowling Green, KY, was soaked with 4.99 inches of rain during the morning hours, and up to ten inches of rain deluged Oconee County SC. The temperature at Alamosa, CO, soared to a record warm reading of 91 degrees, following a record low of 35 degrees the previous day. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
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Highs: TTN: 86 New Brnswck: 85 PHL: 85 TEB: 84 LGA: 83 EWR: 83 NYC: 83 ACY: 82 BLM: 81 JFK: 80 ISP: 79
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87 for a splendid early July summer high.
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83 / 53 what a gorgeous day,
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Storm timing on models cruel for 4th of Jul fireworks but suspect its more isolated/scattered (N+W)
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Nudge that west and the focus of the rain would favor PA/HV also a cut off low meandering offshore a few days.
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Storms firing - brunt of storms chances Fri - Sat , then again Tue As BW pointed out Florida style heat/humidity and popup soakers
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76 / 63 partly cloudy. Warmer regime moving in with higher humidity creeping up. Mid / upper 80s in the warmer spots ad the ridge expands northeast. Overall warm / hot and humid with rain storms chances the next 7 - 10 days with a ridge into the SW - trough into the MW / and the Western Atlantic Ridge nosing higher heights along the east coast with a humid tropical flow. 7/3 - 7/11 : Warm-hot (at times) humid and rain / storm chances 7/12 and beyond : western / rockies ridge ejects pieces of stonger heat east.
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Records: Highs: EWR: 102 (1966) NYC: 100 (1966) LGA: 101 (1966) JFK: 101 (1966) Lows: EWR: 56 (2001) NYC: 56 (2001) LGA: 58 (2001) JFK: 56 (2001) Historical: 1833 - An unusually large New England tornado, one half to three quarters of a mile wide, went from Salem Pond to Norton Pond, VT, and then into Canada. It prostrated nearly everything in its path. (The Weather Channel) 1833: The following is from the "History and Description of New England" published in 1860: "On the 2nd of July, 1833, this town (Holland, Vermont) was visited by a violent tornado, which commenced on Salem Pond in Salem, and passed over this place in a northeasterly direction. It was from half to three-quarters of a mile wide and prostrated and scattered nearly all the trees, fences, and buildings in its course. It crossed the outlet of Norton Pond and passed into Canada, and its path could be traced through the forests nearly to Connecticut River." 1843 - An alligator reportedly fell from the sky onto Anson Street in Charleston, SC, during a thunderstorm. (David Ludlum) 1987 - Thunderstorms in Colorado produced hail as large as golf balls northwest of Kiowa, which accumulated to a depth of twelve inches. Hail two and a half inches in diameter was reported at Black Forest. Hail damaged 900 acres of crops south of the town of Wiggins. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Twenty-six cities in the eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. The morning low of 47 degrees at Roanoke, VA, broke the July record set the previous day. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the south central U.S., with 158 reports of large hail and damaging winds through the day. Evening thunderstorms in northeastern Texas produced softball size hail which caused more than five million dollars damage at Allen, and wind gusts to 90 mph at Dallas, which injured eight persons and caused seven million dollars damage. Winnfield LA reported 29.52 inches of rain in six days, for a total of 62.50 inches for the first six months of the year. Midland, TX, reported an all-time record high of 112 degrees. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 2001: In Michigan, frost and freezing temperatures were observed in some locations with Grant dropping to 29 degrees. Muskegon reported their coldest July temperature on record with 39 degrees. Other daily record lows included: Lansing: 38, Muskegon: 39, Flint: 40, Youngstown, Ohio: 40, and Grand Rapids, Michigan: 43 degrees.
