SACRUS

Quickly to a muggy 87/722

Rainfall NYC: 1.39 LGA: 1.39 JFK: 0.75 TTN: 0.17 EWR: 1.28

81 / 74 Sun coming out NW - SE

74 / 72 with 0.39 in the bucket. Rain / showers look to persist through the afternoon beofore drying and ending tonight. Hot Sun (7/14) - Wed (7/17), peaking Tue with upper 90s and perhaps higher in the warmer spots NE-/CNJ. Storms potential Mom PM and with the front on Wed evening. Break in the heat Thu - next weekend before warming by the following early week. Overall warm beyond there with ridging into the WC and EC and pieces of western heat coming east.

Records: Highs: EWR: 99 (2011) NYC: 99 (1966) LGA: 98 (1966) JFK: 98 (2011) Lows: EWR: 52 (1945) NYC: 57 (1926) LGA: 58 (1940) JFK: 58 (1973) Historical: 1951 - The Kaw River flood occurred. The month of June that year was the wettest of record for the state of Kansas, and during the four days preceding the flood much of eastern Kansas and western Missouri received more than ten inches of rain. Flooding in the Midwest claimed 41 lives, left 200 thousand persons homeless, and caused a billion dollars property damage. Kansas City was hardest hit. The central industrial district sustained 870 million dollars property damage. (The Kansas City Weather Alamnac) 1980 - Lightning struck a large broiler house in Branford, FL, and the ensuing fire broiled 11,000 nearly ready broilers. Firemen were able to save a few thousand chickens, however. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Cool air invaded the High Plains Region. Eight cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Sheridan, WY, with a reading of 37 degrees. Thunderstorms developing along the cold front in the central U.S. produced 6.5 inches of rain at Fort Dodge, IA, and 2.5 inches in one hour at St. Joseph MO. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Evening thunderstorms produced severe weather over the Dakotas, including baseball size hail at Aberdeen, SD, and softball size hail near Fullerton, ND. Thunderstorms produced heavy rain in Arkansas and northeastern Texas, with 6.59 inches reported at Mesquite, TX, in just an hour and fifteen minutes. Garland, TX, reported water up to the tops of cars following a torrential downpour. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Early morning thunderstorms over eastern Kansas deluged McFarland with more than six inches of rain. Afternoon thunderstorms in Wyoming produced up to eighteen inches of dime size hail near Rock Springs, along with torrential rains, and a three foot high wall of mud and water swept into the town causing more than 1.5 million dollars damage. Evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in Oklahoma and Arkansas, deluging Dardanelle, AR, with 3.50 inches of rain in less than twenty minutes. About seventy cows were killed when lightning struck a tree in Jones County, TX. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1995: An intense heat wave affected much of the Midwest for a 4-day period beginning on this day. The worst effects of the heat were noted in the Chicago metropolitan area, where 583 people died from the heat. Temperatures across the region reached as high as 104 degrees, overnight lows on falling to the upper 70s to low 80s. Dew point temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s created heat indexes peaking at 125 degrees. Electricity and water usage reached record levels, causing periodic outages. 1996: Hurricane Bertha makes landfall near Wrightsville Beach, NC with maximum winds of 105 mph, but the storm surge dealt the most devastation. The U.S. Virgin Islands, along with North Carolina, were declared federal disaster areas. Surveys indicate that Bertha damaged almost 2,500 homes on St. Thomas and St. John. For many, it was the second hit in the ten months since Hurricane Marilyn devastated the same area. The primary effects in North Carolina were to the coastal counties and included storm surge flooding and beach erosion, roof damage, piers washed away, fallen trees and damage to crops. Over 5,000 homes were damaged, mostly from storm surge. Storm total rainfall amounts ranged from 5 to 8 inches along a coastal strip from South Carolina to Maine. Overall, as many as 12 deaths resulted with 8 in the U.S. and territories.

Highs: TEB: 87 LGA: 86 EWR: 85 NYC: 84 New Brnswck: 83 TTN: 82 JFK: 82 ISP: 82 BLM: 81 PHL: 80 ACY: 79

Some breaks in the clouds and up to 83

Heaviest rain/storms over DE/ near Cape May in Southern NJ

Rain / storm chances Monday evening as well could have some local strong storm.

74 / 70 - 0.20 in the bucket. Showers, rain, clouds keep it in the 70s for many. Rain totals 1-3 inches with some spots to >4 inches. Clear out by Sat night. Heat returns Sun (7/14) - Wed (7/17, peaking Tue (7/16) with upper 90s in the warm spots and potential 100 degree reading. Break in the heat comes Thu (7/17) into next weekend. Beyond there overall warm to hot and humid as western heat comes east and ridging continues to persist along the EC. 7/12 - 7/13 : Storms / rain 7/14 - 7/17 : Hot / humid - potential strong heat peaking tue) 7/18 - 7/21 : break in heat - near normal 7/22 - beyond ; Overall warm - hot / humid- heat comeing east)

Highs: EWR: 93 BLM: 92 New Brnswck: 91 TEB: 90 LGA: 90 NYC: 89 TTN: 89 PHL: 89 JFK: 88 ACY: 88 ISP: 86

Records: Highs: EWR: 100 (1988) NYC: 98 (1988) LGA: 98 (1988) JFK: 98 (1966) Lows: EWR: 58 (1934) NYC: 57 (1898) LGA: 62 (1945) JFK: 61 (2002) Historical: 1888 - Heavy snow reached almost to the base of Mt. Washington, NH, and the peaks of the Green Mountains were whitened. (David Ludlum) 1936: From July 5-17, temperatures exceeding 111 degrees in Manitoba and Ontario claimed 1,180 lives (mostly the elderly and infants) during the most prolonged, deadliest heat wave on record. Four hundred of these deaths were caused by people who drowned seeking refuge from the heat. In fact, the heat was so intense that steel rail lines and bridge girders twisted, sidewalks buckled, crops wilted and fruit baked on trees. Some record temperatures include; 112 degrees at St. Albans and Emerson, Manitoba, 111 at Brandon, Manitoba, 108 at Atikokan, Ontario, and Winnipeg, Manitoba. 1987 - Early morning thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 90 mph at Parkston, SD, and wind gusts to 87 mph at Buffalo, MN. Later in the day strong thunderstorm winds at Howard WI collapsed a circus tent injuring 44 persons. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms produced heavy rain in southern Texas, with totals ranging up to 13 inches near Medina. Two men drowned when their pick-up truck was swept into the Guadalupe River, west of the town of Hunt. Ten cities in the eastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Baltimore, MD, reported a record high reading of 102 degrees for the second day in a row. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather from North Dakota to Indiana. Thunderstorms in North Dakota produced tennis ball size hail at Carson. Thunderstorms in Indiana produced wind gusts to 75 mph at Fort Wayne. Five cities in the Southern Atlantic Coast Region reported record high temperatures for the date, including Lakeland, FL, with a reading of 100 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990: The costliest hailstorm in U.S. history occurred along the Front Range of the Colorado Rockies. (Denver, Colorado): Softball-sized hail destroyed roofs and cars, causing more than $600 million in total damage.

Highs: EWR: 93 BLM: 92 New Brnswck: 91 TEB: 90 LGA: 90 NYC: 89 TTN: 89 PHL: 89 JFK: 88 ACY: 88 ISP: 86

That Atantic ridge is forecast to soar to a >630DM 500MB height and act like a proverbial wall as the boundary has waves of moisture ride up it. Would think we have some +6 inches jack pots in the MA

86 / 64 237° (WSW) EWR: 87 NYC: 86

Clouds to the left us and clouds to the right - stuck in the middle with sun (for now) 82 / 63 https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/NE/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-NE-GEOCOLOR-600x600.gif

Cut off low SW of Bermuda will pushed and ride the expanding ridge, enhancing rainfall Fri/Sat?

Majority (90%) Thu later - Sat evening, some storms Mon / Wed night

77 / 67 partly cloudy 0.04 in the bucket. A few degrees off the last two days but should still get the warm spots to 90s. Two day refrain from the heat Fri (7/12) and Sat (7/13) as the Atlantics ridge western extent butts up against boundary and southerly tropical flow leads to some drnching rains. Heat back Sun (7/14) - Wed (7/17) with peak heat Tue (7/16) and wed with a blast of 850 temps of > 20C. Looks like some storm potential on Monday may limit the stronger heat mid-upper 90s, but we'll see the timing. Break in the heat Thu (7/18) into next weekend ahead of next round as western heat pushes east. 7/11 : Hot / humid storms 7/12 - 7/13 : Storms - potential drenchers +2.00 7/14 - 7/17 : Hot, mid - upper 90s - potential 100 degree readings Tue and Wed ahead of front/trouh 7/18 - 7/21 : Repreive from heat - near normal 7/22 and beyond : Overall warm to hot - next push of heat from west

Records: Highs: EWR: 105 (1993) NYC: 102 (1993) LGA: 99 (1993) JFK: 100 (1993) Lows: EWR: 58 (2009) NYC: 55 (1890) LGA: 60 (1953) JFK: 58 (2009) Historical: 1911: The mercury hit 105 degrees at North Bridgton, Maine the hottest reading of record for Maine. North Bridgton also reached 105 degrees on the 4th of July in 1911. 1913 - The mercury hit 134 degrees at Greenland Ranch in Death Valley, CA, the hottest reading of record for the North American continent. Sandstorm conditions accompanied the heat. The high the previous day was 129 degrees, following a morning low of 93 degrees. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1926 - A lightning bolt struck an ammunition magazine in northern New Jersey, and a big red ball of fire leaped into the air triggering a series of explosions. All buildings within a half mile radius were destroyed, and debris fell as far as twenty-two miles away. Sixteen persons were killed, and property damage was seventy million dollars. (David Ludlum) 1936 - Afternoon highs of 112 degrees at Martinsburg, WV, 109 degrees at Cumberland, MD, and Frederick, MD, 110 degrees at Runyon, NJ, and 111 degrees at Phoenixville, PA, established all-time record highs for those four states. It was the hottest day of record for the Middle Atlantic Coast Region. (The Weather Channel) 1979 - The temperature at El Paso, TX, hit 112 degrees, an all-time record for that location. The next day was 110 degrees. (The Weather Channel) 1980 - The temperature in downtown Kansas City, MO, hit 109 degrees, following a sultry overnight low of 89 degrees. The daily low of 89 degrees was the warmest of record for Kansas City, and overall it was the hottest July day of record. It was the seventh of a record seventeen consecutive days of 100 degree heat, and the mean temperature for the month of 90.2 degrees was also an all-time record for Kansas City. 1987 - An early morning thunderstorm in Minnesota produced wind gusts to 91 mph at Waseca. Later that day, thunderstorms in South Dakota produced wind gusts to 81 mph at Ipswitch, and baseball size hail near Hayes and Capa. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms brought welcome rains to parts of the central U.S., but produced severe weather along the New England coast, in the Great Lakes Region, in North Carolina, and in the Southern Plateau Region. Strong thunderstorm winds gusting to 80 mph at Bullfrog, UT, sank three boats on Lake Powell. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Severe thunderstorms spawned seventeen tornadoes in the northeastern U.S. A powerful (F-4) tornado struck Hamden CT and New Haven, CT, causing 100 million dollars damage at Hamden, and another 20 million dollars damage around New Haven. Forty persons were injured in the tornado. Seventy persons were injured in a tornado which traveled from Watertown, CT, to Waterbury, CT, and another powerful (F-4) tornado touched down near Ames NY injuring twenty persons along its 43.5 mile track. It was the strongest tornado of record for eastern New York State. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 2005 - Hurricane Dennis landed near Pensacola, Florida as a category 3 storm. Maximum sustained winds at the time of landfall were near 120 mph. There were nine hurricane-related fatalities in the U.S. and preliminary estimates of insured losses ranged from $1 to $1.5 billion.

Highs: TTN: 95 TEB: 94 New Brnswck: 94 EWR: 94 PHL: 93 NYC: 91 LGA: 89 BLM: 88 ACY: 86 JFK: 84 ISP: 83

Highs: TTN: 95 TEB: 94 New Brnswck: 94 EWR: 94 PHL: 93 NYC: 91 LGA: 89 BLM: 88 ACY: 86 JFK: 84 ISP: 83