SACRUS

84 / 70 The heat is on. Some locations started the next heat spell yesterday, other just missed, today most get there. Heat peakingg with a blast of 850 MB temps of >20C and with enough clear conditions send temps to the upper 90s / low 100s. Chance of storms both Mon and Tue look widely scattered and more to the north. Main front comes through Wed evening with more widespread storms with a break in the heat by Thu (7/18) - Sat (7/20), before ridging pushes warm + humid air north next weekend. GFS more of a push of the Atlantic ridge and the euro more caught bewtween, overall warm to hot beyond the 20th. 7/13 - 7/17 : Hot, potential strong (95+) heat with locations near 100 or higher, scattered storms - front late7/17 7/18 - 7/20 : Break in the heat 7/21 - beyond : Overall warm - hot / humid - perhaps increased storm chances - watch tropics.

Records: Highs: EWR: 100 (1966) NYC: 101 (1966) LGA: 99 (1966) JFK: 94 (1992) Lows: EWR: 57 (1940) NYC: 54 (1888) LGA: 58 (1990) JFK: 58 (1990) Historical: 1895 - A tornado struck Cherry Hill in New Jersey causing fifty thousand dollars damage. It also descended into the Harlem and Woodhaven areas of New York City killing one person, and finally ended as a waterspout in Jamaica Bay. (David Ludlum) 1951: Rivers across eastern Kansas crest well above flood stage, causing the most significant destruction from flooding in the Midwestern United States at that time. Five-hundred-thousand people were left homeless, and 24 people died in the disaster. Click HERE for more information from the History Channel. 1975 - Dover, DE, was deluged with 8.50 inches of rain to establish a 24 hour record for the state. (The Weather Channel) 1977 - Lightning struck a key electrical transmission line in Westchester County of southeastern New York State plunging New York City into darkness. (David Ludlum) 1980 - Afternoon highs of 108 degrees at Memphis, TN, 108 degrees at Macon, GA, and 105 degrees at Atlanta, GA, established all-time records for those three cities. The high of 110 degrees at Newington, GA, was just two degrees shy of the state record. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Unseasonably cool weather prevailed across the Midwest. Ten cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Casper, WY, with a reading of 39 degrees. By way of contrast, record heat was reported in the eastern U.S., with highs of 93 degrees at Burlington, VT, and 101 degrees around Miami, FL. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - There were just three reports of severe weather across the country, and just one record high temperature reported. Thunderstorms brought much needed rains to the Tennessee Valley area, producing nine inches at Senatobia, MS. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - A thunderstorm at Albany, GA, produced 1.40 inches of rain in forty minutes, along with wind gusts to 82 mph. Afternoon highs of 98 degrees at Corpus Christi, TX, 110 degrees at Tucson, AZ, and 114 degrees at Phoenix, AZ, equalled records for the date. Greenwood, MS, reported 55.65 inches of precipitation for the year, twice the amount normally received by mid July. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

Highs: TTN: 92 New Brnswck: 91 PHL: 91 EWR: 89 TEB: 88 BLM: 88 LGA: 87 NYC: 87 ACY: 85 JFK: 82 ISP: 81

Highs: TTN: 92 New Brnswck: 91 PHL: 91 EWR: 89 TEB: 88 BLM: 88 LGA: 87 NYC: 87 ACY: 85 JFK: 82 ISP: 81

2003: What may be the world's highest dew point temperature was recorded at Dhahran, Saudi Arabia, in the Persian Gulf. A dew point of 95 degrees was recorded at 3 PM while the air temperature was 108 degrees. The apparent temperature at that time would have been 172 degrees.

Some may reconvene the 90s today

Quickly to a muggy 87/722

Rainfall NYC: 1.39 LGA: 1.39 JFK: 0.75 TTN: 0.17 EWR: 1.28

81 / 74 Sun coming out NW - SE

74 / 72 with 0.39 in the bucket. Rain / showers look to persist through the afternoon beofore drying and ending tonight. Hot Sun (7/14) - Wed (7/17), peaking Tue with upper 90s and perhaps higher in the warmer spots NE-/CNJ. Storms potential Mom PM and with the front on Wed evening. Break in the heat Thu - next weekend before warming by the following early week. Overall warm beyond there with ridging into the WC and EC and pieces of western heat coming east.

Records: Highs: EWR: 99 (2011) NYC: 99 (1966) LGA: 98 (1966) JFK: 98 (2011) Lows: EWR: 52 (1945) NYC: 57 (1926) LGA: 58 (1940) JFK: 58 (1973) Historical: 1951 - The Kaw River flood occurred. The month of June that year was the wettest of record for the state of Kansas, and during the four days preceding the flood much of eastern Kansas and western Missouri received more than ten inches of rain. Flooding in the Midwest claimed 41 lives, left 200 thousand persons homeless, and caused a billion dollars property damage. Kansas City was hardest hit. The central industrial district sustained 870 million dollars property damage. (The Kansas City Weather Alamnac) 1980 - Lightning struck a large broiler house in Branford, FL, and the ensuing fire broiled 11,000 nearly ready broilers. Firemen were able to save a few thousand chickens, however. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Cool air invaded the High Plains Region. Eight cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Sheridan, WY, with a reading of 37 degrees. Thunderstorms developing along the cold front in the central U.S. produced 6.5 inches of rain at Fort Dodge, IA, and 2.5 inches in one hour at St. Joseph MO. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Evening thunderstorms produced severe weather over the Dakotas, including baseball size hail at Aberdeen, SD, and softball size hail near Fullerton, ND. Thunderstorms produced heavy rain in Arkansas and northeastern Texas, with 6.59 inches reported at Mesquite, TX, in just an hour and fifteen minutes. Garland, TX, reported water up to the tops of cars following a torrential downpour. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Early morning thunderstorms over eastern Kansas deluged McFarland with more than six inches of rain. Afternoon thunderstorms in Wyoming produced up to eighteen inches of dime size hail near Rock Springs, along with torrential rains, and a three foot high wall of mud and water swept into the town causing more than 1.5 million dollars damage. Evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in Oklahoma and Arkansas, deluging Dardanelle, AR, with 3.50 inches of rain in less than twenty minutes. About seventy cows were killed when lightning struck a tree in Jones County, TX. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1995: An intense heat wave affected much of the Midwest for a 4-day period beginning on this day. The worst effects of the heat were noted in the Chicago metropolitan area, where 583 people died from the heat. Temperatures across the region reached as high as 104 degrees, overnight lows on falling to the upper 70s to low 80s. Dew point temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s created heat indexes peaking at 125 degrees. Electricity and water usage reached record levels, causing periodic outages. 1996: Hurricane Bertha makes landfall near Wrightsville Beach, NC with maximum winds of 105 mph, but the storm surge dealt the most devastation. The U.S. Virgin Islands, along with North Carolina, were declared federal disaster areas. Surveys indicate that Bertha damaged almost 2,500 homes on St. Thomas and St. John. For many, it was the second hit in the ten months since Hurricane Marilyn devastated the same area. The primary effects in North Carolina were to the coastal counties and included storm surge flooding and beach erosion, roof damage, piers washed away, fallen trees and damage to crops. Over 5,000 homes were damaged, mostly from storm surge. Storm total rainfall amounts ranged from 5 to 8 inches along a coastal strip from South Carolina to Maine. Overall, as many as 12 deaths resulted with 8 in the U.S. and territories.

Highs: TEB: 87 LGA: 86 EWR: 85 NYC: 84 New Brnswck: 83 TTN: 82 JFK: 82 ISP: 82 BLM: 81 PHL: 80 ACY: 79

Some breaks in the clouds and up to 83

Heaviest rain/storms over DE/ near Cape May in Southern NJ

Rain / storm chances Monday evening as well could have some local strong storm.

74 / 70 - 0.20 in the bucket. Showers, rain, clouds keep it in the 70s for many. Rain totals 1-3 inches with some spots to >4 inches. Clear out by Sat night. Heat returns Sun (7/14) - Wed (7/17, peaking Tue (7/16) with upper 90s in the warm spots and potential 100 degree reading. Break in the heat comes Thu (7/17) into next weekend. Beyond there overall warm to hot and humid as western heat comes east and ridging continues to persist along the EC. 7/12 - 7/13 : Storms / rain 7/14 - 7/17 : Hot / humid - potential strong heat peaking tue) 7/18 - 7/21 : break in heat - near normal 7/22 - beyond ; Overall warm - hot / humid- heat comeing east)

Highs: EWR: 93 BLM: 92 New Brnswck: 91 TEB: 90 LGA: 90 NYC: 89 TTN: 89 PHL: 89 JFK: 88 ACY: 88 ISP: 86

Records: Highs: EWR: 100 (1988) NYC: 98 (1988) LGA: 98 (1988) JFK: 98 (1966) Lows: EWR: 58 (1934) NYC: 57 (1898) LGA: 62 (1945) JFK: 61 (2002) Historical: 1888 - Heavy snow reached almost to the base of Mt. Washington, NH, and the peaks of the Green Mountains were whitened. (David Ludlum) 1936: From July 5-17, temperatures exceeding 111 degrees in Manitoba and Ontario claimed 1,180 lives (mostly the elderly and infants) during the most prolonged, deadliest heat wave on record. Four hundred of these deaths were caused by people who drowned seeking refuge from the heat. In fact, the heat was so intense that steel rail lines and bridge girders twisted, sidewalks buckled, crops wilted and fruit baked on trees. Some record temperatures include; 112 degrees at St. Albans and Emerson, Manitoba, 111 at Brandon, Manitoba, 108 at Atikokan, Ontario, and Winnipeg, Manitoba. 1987 - Early morning thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 90 mph at Parkston, SD, and wind gusts to 87 mph at Buffalo, MN. Later in the day strong thunderstorm winds at Howard WI collapsed a circus tent injuring 44 persons. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms produced heavy rain in southern Texas, with totals ranging up to 13 inches near Medina. Two men drowned when their pick-up truck was swept into the Guadalupe River, west of the town of Hunt. Ten cities in the eastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Baltimore, MD, reported a record high reading of 102 degrees for the second day in a row. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather from North Dakota to Indiana. Thunderstorms in North Dakota produced tennis ball size hail at Carson. Thunderstorms in Indiana produced wind gusts to 75 mph at Fort Wayne. Five cities in the Southern Atlantic Coast Region reported record high temperatures for the date, including Lakeland, FL, with a reading of 100 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990: The costliest hailstorm in U.S. history occurred along the Front Range of the Colorado Rockies. (Denver, Colorado): Softball-sized hail destroyed roofs and cars, causing more than $600 million in total damage.

Highs: EWR: 93 BLM: 92 New Brnswck: 91 TEB: 90 LGA: 90 NYC: 89 TTN: 89 PHL: 89 JFK: 88 ACY: 88 ISP: 86

That Atantic ridge is forecast to soar to a >630DM 500MB height and act like a proverbial wall as the boundary has waves of moisture ride up it. Would think we have some +6 inches jack pots in the MA

86 / 64 237° (WSW) EWR: 87 NYC: 86

Clouds to the left us and clouds to the right - stuck in the middle with sun (for now) 82 / 63 https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/NE/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-NE-GEOCOLOR-600x600.gif

Cut off low SW of Bermuda will pushed and ride the expanding ridge, enhancing rainfall Fri/Sat?

Majority (90%) Thu later - Sat evening, some storms Mon / Wed night