SACRUS
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Tue highs - warmest for a while (at least mid dec and potentially beyond) TEB: 64 ACY: 63 EWR: 62 JFK: 62 PHL: 62 New Brnswck: 61 BLM: 60 TTN: 59 LGA: 58 NYC: 58 ISP: 57
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Up to 62 - likely the warmest through at least Dec 12th and perhaps beyond.
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Sunday potentially the coldest day since Feb 17th as Dec opens below normal with cold not seen since 2010 for the first 7 - 10 days as currently forecast.
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0.17 in the bucket here. Looks just about over, some clearing and breaks in the clouds working into C/E PA
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Records: Highs: EWR: 68 (2011) NYC: 67 (1946) LGA: 67 (2020) JFK: 66 (2020) Lows: EWR: 15 (1938) NYC: 16 (1938) LGA: 24 (1940) JFK: 24 (1993) Historical: 1888 - A late season hurricane brushed the East Coast with heavy rain and gale force winds. The hurricane passed inside Nantucket and over Cape Cod, then crossed Nova Scotia. (David Ludlum) 1896 - Snow and high winds hit the Northern Plains and the Upper Mississippi Valley, with a Thanksgiving Day blizzard across North Dakota. The storm was followed by a severe cold wave in the Upper Midwest. The temperature at Pokegama Dam MI plunged to 45 degrees below zero. (David Ludlum) 1987 - A Thanksgiving Day storm in the northeastern U.S. produced heavy snow in northern New England and upstate New York. Snowfall totals in Maine ranged up to twenty inches at Flagstaff Lake. Totals in New Hampshire ranged up to 18 inches at Errol. Gales lashed the coast of Maine and New Hampshire. A second storm, over the Southern and Central Rockies, produced nine inches of snow at Kanosh UT, and 13 inches at Divide CO, with five inches reported at Denver CO. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather over the Central Gulf Coast States during the late morning and afternoon hours. Five tornadoes were reported in Mississippi, with the tornadoes causing a million dollars damage at Ruleville, and in Warren County. In Utah, the town of Alta was blanketed with 15 inches of snow overnight, and during the day was buried under another 16.5 inches of snow. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - A massive storm over the western U.S. produced heavy snow in Utah, Colorado, Wyoming and Montana. The storm produced more than two feet of snow in the higher elevations of northern and central Utah, bringing more than sixty inches of snow to the Alta Ski Resort in the Wasatch Mountains. Winds in Utah gusted to 60 mph at Bullfrog. The storm brought much needed snow to the ski resorts of Colorado, with 19 inches reported at Beaver Creek. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)
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50 / 49 light rain moving through. Warmest day of at least the next week to 10 days and likely beyond. Next chance of rain Thursday with a moderate rainfall around one inch for most. Colder starting Thanksgiving weekend and through the first 7 - 10 days of December. Coldest Dec opening since 2010 being forecast, peaking Dec 2 - 7 as of current forecasts.
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2017 opended above normal with the strong cold between the 8th and 16th. Cold opening being forecast is closer to the 2010 start, or coldest since then.
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NYC Thanksgiving Weather https://www.weather.gov/media/okx/Climate/CentralPark/Thanksgivingwx.pdf
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1950 Storm - Appalachian Storm of the Century https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/news/great-appalachian-snowstorm-november-1950
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Records: Highs: EWR: 73 (1979) NYC: 73 (1979) LGA: 68 (1979) JFK: 67 (1979) Lows; EWR: 19 (1938) NYC: 19 (1938) LGA: 23 (2005) JFK: 22 (2005) Historical: 1950 - A great storm hit the Northern and Central Appalachians with snow and high winds. Winds reached hurricane force along eastern slopes of the Appalachians, with gusts to 100 mph at Hartford CT, 110 mph at Concord NH, and 160 mph at Mount Washington NH. Heavy rain also hit the eastern slopes, with eight inches reported at Slide Mountain NY. The western slopes were buried under heavy snow. The storm produced record snowfall totals of 27.7 inches at Pittsburgh PA, and 36.3 inches at Steubenville OH. The snow, and record cold temperatures, resulted in 160 deaths. (25th-26th) (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1950: Called the "storm of the century" this storm impacted the eastern part of the US, killing hundreds and causing millions of dollars in damages. New York City recorded a 94 mph wind gust and Bear Mountain, just north of the city recorded a 140 mph gust. Record low temperatures were reported on the southern end of this storm in Tennessee and North Carolina. This storm was unique as Pittsburgh saw 30 inches of snow, while Buffalo saw 50 degrees with 50 mph wind gusts. 1970 - The temperature at Tallahassee, FL, dipped to 13 degrees, following a high of 40 degrees the previous day. The mercury then reached 67 degrees on the 26th, and highs were in the 70s the rest of the month. (The Weather Channel) 1983 - The Great Thanksgiving Weekend Blizzard hit Denver, CO. The storm produced 21.5 inches of snow in 37 hours, closing Stapleton Airport for 24 hours. The snow and wind closed interstate highways around Denver. Visibility at Limon CO was down to zero for 24 hours. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - An early morning thunderstorm in southeastern Texas produced high winds which rolled a mobile home east of Bay City killing two of the four occupants. Thunderstorms produced locally heavy rains in central and eastern Texas, with nine inches reported at Huntsville, and 8.5 inches at Wimberly. Snow fell across northern and central Lower Michigan, with totals ranging up to nine inches at Cadillac. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in Arkansas, eastern Oklahoma and northwest Texas during the day and into the night. Thunderstorms in Texas produced softball size hail at Alba, and wind gusts to 80 mph at Krum. Hail and high winds caused nearly five million dollars damage at Kaufman TX, and strong downburst winds derailed twenty-eight freight cars at Fruitvale TX. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
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42 / 32 clear. Warmest two days (Mon / Tue) of the next 2 weeks potentially. Mid 50s today, mid - upper 50s, to 60 in the warmer spots on Tuedsy with clouds and light rain. Clouds remain Wed before some moderate rainfall Thu >1.00 inch likely. Much colder by Thanksgiving weekend with a strong rd=idge into the PNW and deep trough into the east to open Dec (1 - 7th / 10 daya). Coldest start to Dec with current forecasts, since 2010. Could yield some snow. Beyond there moderating towards mid month, but near to below normal till then.
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Looks to end for sure and the period to open Dec looks potentially well below normal. I went back a bit but would need some confirmation that the current forecasts would be the coldest open (1-7th) of Dec since 2010.
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Records: Highs: EWR: 75 (1979) NYC: 73 (1979) LGA: 68 (1989) JFK: 64 (2014) Lows: EWR: 20 (1989) NYC: 14 (1880) LGA: 22 (1956) JFK: 21 (2001) Historical: 1812 - Southwesterly winds of hurricane force sank ships and unroofed buildings at Philadelphia and New York City. (David Ludlum) 1863 - The battle above the clouds was fought on Lookout Mountain near Chattanooga. Pre-frontal clouds obscured the upper battle- field aiding a Union victory. (David Ludlum) 1950 - The temperature at Chicago, IL, dipped to 2 below zero to equal their record for the month established on the 29th in 1872. On the first of the month that year Chicago established a record high for November with a reading of 81 degrees. (The Weather Channel) 1982 - Hurricane Iwa lashed the Hawaiian Islands of Niihau, Kauai, and Oahu with high winds and surf. Winds gusting to 120 mph caused extensive shoreline damage. Damage totalled 150 million dollars on Kauai, and fifty million dollars on Oahu. The peak storm surge on the south shore was six to eight feet. It marked the first time in 25 years that Hawaii had been affected by a hurricane. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Showers and thunderstorms produced heavy rain in southern Missouri, southeast Kansas and northeastern Oklahoma. Flooding was reported in Greene County of southwestern Missouri. Springfield MO was drenched with more than six inches of rain. Thunderstorms over southern Texas produced more than eight inches of rain in Caldwell County and Hayes County, and thunderstorms over south central Oklahoma produced one inch hail at Temple twice within an hour. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Low pressure brought heavy snow and high winds to the Northern and Central Rockies. Snowfall totals in Colorado ranged up to 40 inches at Wolf Creek Pass, with 27 inches falling in 24 hours. Telluride CO received 32 inches of snow, and winds atop Mines Peak gusted to 95 mph. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
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47 / 36 winds calming. Near to slightly above normal Sun - Tue low to mid 50s, near 60 Mon and Tue in the warm spots. Light rain Tue <0.25 for most. Then the next system Thu into Friday. >1.00 (1-2 inches of rain). Colder starting Thanksgiving weekend and into the first week to 10 days of Dec - peak (core) of the cold looks around Dec 2 - 5. Storm chances would bring risk of snow. Coldest open to Dec since 2010 potentially Dec 1 - 7.
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Tue AM light rain and moderate rainfall Thu - another 1 - 2 for the week
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Records: Highs: EWR: 74 (1931) NYC: 72 (1931) LGA: 70 (1992) JFK: 71 (1992) Lows: EWR: 13 (2018) NYC: 14 (1880) LGA: 17 (2018) JFK: 15 (2018) Historical: 1909 - Rattlesnake Creek was deluged with 7.17 inches of rain in 24 hours to establish a record for the state of Idaho. (The Weather Channel) 1912: The Rouse Simmons was a three-masted schooner famous for sinking during a violent storm on Lake Michigan on this day. The ship was bound for Chicago with a cargo of Christmas trees when it foundered off the coast of Two Rivers, Wisconsin, killing all on board. 1943 - Northern New Hampshire was in the grips of a record snowstorm which left a total of 55 inches at Berlin, and 56 inches at Randolph. The 56 inch total at Randolph established a 24 hour snowfall record for the state. In Maine, Middle Dam received a record 35 inches of snow in 24 hours. (David Ludlum) 1987 - Rain and gale force winds prevailed along the Northern Pacific coast. Quillayute, WA, received 1.57 inches of rain in 24 hours, including nine tenths of an inch in six hours. Heavy snow fell over northern Oregon and the Cascade Mountains of Washington State. Temperatures began to moderate in the eastern U.S. following a bitterly cold weekend. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Low pressure crossing the Great Basin brought wintry weather to parts of the western U.S. Up to a foot of snow blanketed Yellowstone Park, and winds gusted to 70 mph at casper WY, and reached 95 mph near Reno NV. Up to seven inches of rain was reported in the Grass Valley and Nevada City area of California. Paradise CA was soaked with 5.37 inches of rain in 24 hours. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Low pressure tracking across the Carolinas brought heavy rain to parts of the Southern Atlantic Coast Region for Thanksgiving Day, and blanketed the Middle Atlantic Coast States and southern New England with heavy snow. The storm produced up to nine inches of snow over Long Island NY, and up to 14 inches over Cape Cod MA, at Yarmouth. Totals of 4.7 inches at New York City and 6.0 inches at Newark NJ were records for Thanksgiving Day, the 8.0 inch total at Providence RI was a record for any given day in November, and the 6.5 inch total at Strasburg CT was a record for the month of November as a whole. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2004 - An outbreak of severe thunderstorms produced reports of 54 tornadoes across portions of Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas and Alabama. In Texas's Hardin county, one person was killed with three injured when a tornado struck during the afternoon (Associated Press).
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Rainfall totals: NYC: 2.12 LGA: 1.80 JFK: 1.70 EWR: 1.47 TTN: 1.45
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38 / 35 1.99 in the bucket Wed PM - Fri PM, most since August. Near normal to slightly above normal through Tue. Next shot at light rain Overnight Monday into Tue then the later in the day Thursday into Black Friday. Much colder look starting thanksgivigng weekend into the first week to 10 days of December looking likely, with various storm threats possible.
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Sunny in DE and Baltimore between the ULL
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48 / 45 1.02 in the bucket. Looks like another round of steady rain later this pm adding an additional 0.50 - 1.00, clearing out by Sat morning. Colder week ahead. Track next potential sizeable storm and rainfall towards good Friday.
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61 / 42 here. Wetter 36 - 48 hours looking good for 1 - 3 inches of rain. Drier and colder the next week.
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Highs: EWR: 64 New Brnswck: 63 TEB: 62 LGA: 62 JFK: 61 BLM: 61 TTN: 61 ACY: 61 ISP: 60 PHL: 60 NYC: 60
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Records: Highs: EWR: 70 (1957) NYC: 72 (1921) LGA: 70 (1953) JFK: 64 (1994) Lows: EWR: 19 (1936) NYC: 18 (1936) LGA: 22 (2014) JFK: 23 (2014) Historical: 1921 - The Columbia Gorge ice storm finally came to an end. In Oregon, 54 inches of snow, sleet and glaze blocked the Columbia River Highway at the Dalles. Apart from traffic on the river itself, all transportation between Walla Walla WA and Portland OR came to a halt. Nine trains were stopped as railroads were blocked for several days. (David Ludlum) 1930: A rare, estimated F4 tornado struck the town of Bethany, Oklahoma. Between 9:30 am and 9:58 am CST, it moved north-northeast from 3 miles west of the Oklahoma City limits, and hit the eastern part of Bethany. About 110 homes and 700 other buildings, or about a fourth of the town, were damaged or destroyed. Near the end of the damage path, 3.5 miles northeast of Wiley Post Airfield, the tornado hit the Camel Creek School. Buildings blew apart just as the students were falling to the floor and looking for shelter, and five students and a teacher were killed. A total of 23 people were killed and another 150 injured, with 77 being seriously injured. Damage estimates were listed at $500,000. 1957 - Nineteen inches of snow covered the ground at Cresco, IA, a record November snow depth for the state. (The Weather Channel) 1981 - An unusually early snowstorm struck the Twin Cities of Minnesota, with as much as a foot of snow reported. The weight of the heavy snow caused the newly inflated fabric dome of the Hubert Humphrey Metrodome in downtown Minneapolis to collapse and rip. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - A sharp cold front pushed across the Great Lakes Region and the Mississippi Valley. Northwest winds gusting to 50 mph in Iowa caused some property damage around Ottumwa, and wind chill readings reached 16 degrees below zero at Hibbing MN. Showers and thunder- storms over Florida produced 5.80 inches of rain in six hours at Cocoa Beach. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Strong thunderstorms developed during the mid morning hours and produced severe weather across eastern Texas and the Lower Mississippi Valley into the wee hours of the night. Thunderstorms spawned twenty-one tornadoes, including thirteen in Mississippi. One tornado killed two persons and injured eleven others at Nettleton MS, and another tornado injured eight persons at Tuscaloosa AL. Thunderstorms produced baseball size hail in east Texas and northern Louisiana, and Summit MS was deluged with six inches of rain in four hours. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Gale force winds continued to produce squalls in the Lower Great Lakes Region early in the day. Snowfall totals in western New York State reached 24 inches in southern Lewis County, with 21 inches reported at Highmarket. Unseasonably warm weather prevailed across the Northern and Central Plains Region. Eight cities reported record high temperatures for the date, including Denver CO with a reading of 79 degrees. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 2003 - Flooding affected the central Appalachians and Eastern Seaboard, with some isolated 8-inch rainfall totals across mountainous areas. There were 11 deaths caused by flooding in the region (Associated Press).
