SACRUS

This is the area/ energy to watch

Caught between two ridges look in the Day 8 - 10 period - Ridge west , trough east, Atlantic ridge = any tropical system threatens the EC. Depsite the trough - warmer look as heat from west and north heads east.

78 / 58 clear. Great day on tap and the few day reprieve from the higher dewpoints. Mid - upper 80s, warmer/drier spots may touch 90. Sunday a repeat with increasing humidity. Cut off low backs NW later Mon , clouds and showers NE sections. Front approached Tue (7/30). Hotter once to Wed (7/31) with next heatwave in the works - hottest stays north and inland. Overall warm / hot and humid. Both the GFS and Euro drive a Tropical systems towards Florida and up or recurving off the East coast in the 8/5 - 8/7 period. 7/27 - 7/28 : Gorgeous stretch near normal - dry 7/29 - 7/30 : Cut off backs in / warm front pushes north - clouds - showers <1.00 7/31 - beyond : Hotter overall - humid - tropics - storm chances - strongest heat north and west (<100)

Records: Highs: EWR: 99 (2005) NYC: 98 (1940) LGA: 98 (1940) JFK: 94 (1982) Lows: EWR: 57 (1953) NYC: 55 (1920) LGA: 62 (1976) JFK: 58 (1976) Historical: 1819 - Twin cloudbursts of fifteen inches struck almost simultaneously at Catskill, NY, and Westfield, MA. Flash flooding resulted in enormous erosion. (David Ludlum) 1874: Torrential rainfall brought flash flooding to Pittsburg, Pennsylvania. 1890: During the morning hours, an estimated F3 tornado went through the southern part of Lawrence, Massachusetts. The tornado left 500 people homeless as the tornado destroyed 35 homes and damaged 60 others. 1897: Jewel, Maryland received 14.75 inches of rain in a 24 hour period. This record is currently the oldest, state rainfall record in the United States. All other state rainfall records are in the 1900s and 2000s. 1931: A swarm of grasshoppers descends on crops throughout the American heartland, devastating millions of acres. Iowa, Nebraska, and South Dakota, already in the midst of a bad drought, suffered tremendously from this disaster. 1943 - Tishomingo, OK, baked in the heat as the mercury soared to 121 degrees, a state record. (The Weather Channel) 1960 - The temperature at Salt Lake City, UT, hit 107 degrees, an all-time record high for that location. (The Weather Channel) 1979: Tropical Storm Claudette stalled over Alvin, Texas, inundating the town with 45 inches of rain in 42 hours. The total included 43 inches in 24 hours, which is the maximum 24-hour rainfall in American history. 1987 - Thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced hail two inches in diameter in McHenry County, IL, and wind gusts to 70 mph at Auburn, ME. A wind gust of 90 mph was recorded at Blairstown, NJ, before the anemometer broke. The high winds were associated with a small tornado. The record high of 88 degrees at Beckley, WV, was their sixth in a row. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms produced large hail and damaging winds in the Middle Atlantic Coast Region, and in the south central U.S. Eight cities in the northwestern and north central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Salem, OR, hit 103 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Morning thunderstorms produced heavy rain in southeastern Texas, with more than three inches reported at the Widllife Refuge in southwestern Chambers County. Evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in Montana, with wind gusts to 62 mph reported at Helena. Eight cities from Maine to Minnesota reported record high temperatures for the date, including Newark, NJ, with a reading of 99 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

Highs: EWR: 86 JFK: 86 New Brnswck: 85 PHL: 85 ACY: 85 TEB: 85 TTN: 84 BLM: 84 NYC: 84 ISP: 83 LGA: 82

Much of this dependent on the backing NW closed low Monday overnight. Then convection Tue / Wed . Summer theme keeps the MW/GL wet- Monsoon very active this year in the desert SW

75 / 53 and very nice out. A 72 hour stretch of really great weather this weekend. Mid / upper 80s today and Sat and Sun with the warmer spot reaching 90. Cut off low as the ridge builds north backs in Mon (7/29) to spoil the nice stretch. Continue a bit cloudy by Tue as front clears through. Hotter by the 31s with heat aimed north and inland initially and next heatwave. Tropics becoming forecast active, especially on the European. Ridge west / North and Atlantic ridge keep us caught between - warm - hot and humid with potential rain / storm chances.

Records: Highs: EWR: 99 (2016) NYC: 97 (1999) LGA: 97 (1999) JFK: 93 (2010) Lows: EWR: 57 (1932) NYC: 57 (1953) LGA: 59 (1997) JFK:59 (2007) Historical: 1891 - The mercury hit 109 degrees at Los Angeles, CA, marking the peak of a torrid heat wave. (David Ludlum) 1936: Lincoln, Nebraska saw an all-time high temperature of 115 degrees. The low only dropped to 91 degrees and the average temperature was 103. Many people spent the night sleeping outside to escape the heat. 1956 - The Andrea Doria sank in dense fog near Nantucket Lightship, MA. The ship was rammed by the Swedish-American liner, Stockholm, forty-five miles off the coast of Massachusetts. Fifty-two persons drowned, or were killed by the impact. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1986 - Tremendous hailstones pounded parts of South Dakota damaging crops, buildings and vehicles. Hail piled two feet deep at Black Hawk and northern Rapid City. Hail an inch and a quarter in diameter fell for 85 minutes near Miller and Huron, piling up to depths of two feet. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Sixteen cities in the eastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Beckley, WV, equalled their all-time record high of 91 degrees, established just the previous day. It marked their fourth day in a row of 90 degree heat, after hitting 90 degrees just twice in the previous 25 years of records. The water temperature of Lake Erie at Buffalo, NY, reached 79 degrees, the warmest reading in 52 years of records. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from central Kansas to western Kentucky and southern Illinois during the day. Thunderstorms produced tennis ball size hail at Union, MO, and winds gusts to 65 mph at Sedalia, MO. Five cities in Washington and Oregon reported record high temperatures for the date. Medford, OR, hit 107 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Early afternoon thunderstorms over west central Missouri drenched the town of Ferguson with four inches of rain. Early evening thunderstorms in Pennsylvania produced more than two inches of rain north of Avella in one hour. (The National Weather Summary) 2005: The citizens of Sand Point, Alaska saw a rare tornado touchdown on two uninhabited islands. Sand Point is part of the Aleutian Chain and is located about 570 miles southwest of Anchorage.

Highs: JFK: 87 EWR: 87 BLM: 86 TEB: 86 TTN: 85 LGA: 85 ISP: 85 PHL: 85 New Brnswck: 84 NYC: 83 ACY: 82

83/68 the start of some clearing working through

It is a loser to endure mainly cloudy skies and not have the rain or storms, might as well hae been sunny. Cut off low backing NW Tue could trigger some storms.

Core of the heat (top 5) has been west of the city in parts of NJ / PHL, and record heat has been near the Balt/DC area. Perhaps another push of stronger heat 7/31 - early next month.

77 / 70 and cloudy. Continued one more day stuck in the muck - scattered showers. Ridge building north of us, dry out Fri (7/26). Weekend looks very nice near normal, warm spots near / low 90s Sun (7/28). Some Southerly / onshore component next week sees dewpoints rise as we sit between the influence of the ridge to the north and expanding Atlantic ridge later in the week. Pieces of the heat expanding east focus north and inland areas. Stronger heat later next week and beyond. Tropics could come active as well. The pattern would also trigger daily storms scattered mainly.

Records: Highs: EWR: 102 (2022) NYC: 97 (2010) LGA: 98 (2022) JFK: 97 (2010) Lows: EWR: 55 (1947) NYC: 56 (1893) LGA: 59 (1992) JFK: 58 (1997) Historical: 1886 - Rain fell at Lawrence, KS, for the first time in four weeks. Rain fell over much of the state of Kansas that day relieving a severe drought which began in May. The very dry weather ruined crops in Kansas. (David Ludlum) 1936 - A record all time Kansas state high temperature set just 6 days earlier was tied in the town of Alton, located in Osborne County. (US National Weather Service Wichita) 1942 - The temperature at Las Vegas, NV, hit 117 degrees to set an all-time record for that location. The record was tied on July 19, 2005. 1947 - One of the most powerful strokes of lightning ever measured yielded 345,000 amperes of electricity in Pittsburgh, PA. (The Weather Channel) 1952 - The temperature at Louisville, GA, soared to 112 degrees to establish a state record. (The Weather Channel) 1980 - Claudette, a weak tropical storm, deluged southeastern Texas with torrential rains. The Houston suburb of Alvin received 43 inches, a 24 hour record for the U.S. (David Ludlum) 1987 - Twenty-one cities in the eastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. The high of 91 degrees at Beckley, WV, was their hottest reading in 25 years of records, and marked their third straight day of record 90 degree heat. Bakersfield, CA, dipped to 60 degrees, marking their eighth straight morning of record cool weather. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced large hail and damaging winds in Oklahoma, and over Nebraska and Wisconsin. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 75 mph at Brainerd, NE. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Afternoon thunderstorms produced some flash flooding in New Mexico. Albuquerque, NM, was deluged with an inch and a half of rain in forty minutes. Evening thunderstorms soaked Whie Pine, PA, with two inches of rain in one hour. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2008: A tornado fluctuated between the category EF1 and the more destructive EF2 strikes Northwood and Pittsfield, as well as nine other towns in New Hampshire. It first touches down in Deerfield, then travels through Northwood, Epsom, Pittsfield, Barnstead, and Alton. From there, it rages through New Durham, Wolfeboro, Freedom, Ossipee, and Effingham. The storm destroys several homes, damaged dozens of others and kills at least one person.

Highs: EWR: 85 TEB: *83 JFK: 83 New Brnswck: 83 ACY: 82 PHL: 82 ISP: 81 BLM: 81 NYC: 81 TTN: 80 LGA: 77

78 / 72 cloudy with some shower around. Another 36 hours caught up near the boundary with more scattered storms and showers. Clears up and dries out Fri (7/26) and through the weekend. Warmer by Sun - upper 80s - low 90s. Cut off low meandering offshore next week Mon - Wed. Ridge building north and heat expanding east - onshore component keep the strongest heat north /west (inland initially) overall hotter by the 31st and beyond. Tropical activity may kick in later next week.

Records: Highs: EWR: 102 (2002) NYC: 97 (2010) LGA: 98 (2022) JFK: 97 (2010) Lows: EWR: 55 (1947) NYC: 56 (1893) LGA: 58: (1992) JFK: 58 (1997) Historical: 1788 - A weather diary kept by George Washington recorded that the center of a hurricane passed directly over his Mount Vernon home. The hurricane crossed eastern North Carolina and Virginia before moving into the Central Appalachians. Norfolk, VA, reported houses destroyed, trees uprooted, and crops leveled to the ground. (David Ludlum) 1788: Called the George Washington's Hurricane, this storm originated near Bermuda on the 19th before making landfall in Virginia. It passed directly over the Lower Chesapeake Bay and Mount Vernon, the home of George Washington. This track is very similar to the path of the Chesapeake-Potomac hurricane of 1933. At Norfolk, winds increased at 5 p.m. on the 23rd with the wind originating from the northeast. At 12:30 a.m., the wind suddenly shifted to the south and "blew a perfect hurricane, tearing down chimneys, fences"...some corn was also leveled. Also, large trees were uprooted, and houses were moved from their foundations. Port Royal and Hobb's Hole experienced a violent northeast gale which drove several vessels ashore. In Fredricksburg, vast quantities of corn, tobacco, and fruit were destroyed. Houses and trees fell in significant numbers across Northumberland, Lancaster, Richmond, and Westmoreland counties. Crops were destroyed, and many livestock perished in Lower Mathews County. Many plantations saw their houses leveled. Homes were flooded with water six feet deep, and several inhabitants drowned. Historical figures of the time logged the storm's antics. George Washington noted the sinking of the small ship Federalist and uprooted trees. Colonel James Madison, the father of the future president, experienced the passing of great winds and rains near Orange. In Alexandria, damage to wheat, tobacco, and corn was "beyond description." The information above is from the Weather Prediction Center and noted American historian David Ludlum. 1898 - A two hour thunderstorm deluged Atlanta, GA, with 4.32 inches of rain. More than a foot of water flooded Union Depot. Many street car motors burned out while trying to run through flooded streets. It grew so dark before the afternoon storm that gas lights were needed. (The Weather Channel) 1923 - Sheridan, WY, was drenched with 4.41 inches of rain, an all-time 24 hour record for that location. Associated flooding washed out 20 miles of railroad track. (22nd-23rd) (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms produced a record ten inches of rain in six and a half hours at Minneapolis, MN, including 5.26 inches in two hours. Flash flooding claimed two lives and caused 21.3 million dollars damage. Streets in Minneapolis became rushing rivers, parking lots became lakes, and storm sewers spouted like geysers. A tornado hit Maple Grove, MN, causing five million dollars damage. Baseball size hail was reported at Olivia, MN. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in Lower Michigan and northern Ohio, over eastern sections of the Dakotas, and over the Central High Plains Region. Showers and thunderstorms soaked Wilmington, NC, with another two inches of rain, following six and a half inches the previous day. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Morning thunderstorms in the central U.S. drenched central Oklahoma with up to six inches of rain. Afternoon thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 85 mph at Fort Smith, AR. Evening thunderstorms over Florida spawned a tornado which touched down three times in south Fort Myers causing nearly three quarters of a million dollars damage. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2011: Chicago set an all-time daily record rainfall when 6.86 inches fell during the early morning hours of Saturday, July 23, 2011, at O'Hare airport. The previous daily record was 6.64 inches set on September 13, 2008.

Highs BLM: 88 ACY: 87 New Brnswck: 87 EWR: 86 PHL: 86 JFK: 85 TTN: 84 TEB: 82 NYC: 81 ISP: 79 LGA: 79

Last time heaviest rains went north, as ridge was stronger, this time front/boundary best rain is south

84 / 70 a bit more sun now

Atlantic ridge trended a bit weaker, heaviest rains were south

75 / 71 cloudy. Scattered showers today, some breaks in the clouds and a warm/muggy mid - upper 80s. Hung up front next 3 days clouds and chance at more heavier rains. Clear and dry out by Fri (7/26) and through the weekend, warming by Sat (7/27) and Sun (7/28). Ridge and heat expanding north and a hotter look by Mon (7/29) and beyond. Onshore component of ridge position favors inland nd northern heat initially with flow turning and stronger heat reaching the area.

Records: 7/22 Highs: EWR: 108 (2011) NYC: 104 (2011) LGA: 104 (2011) JFK: 103 (2011) Lows: EWR 56 (1944) NYC: 58 (1890) LGA: 62 (1956) JFK: 59 (1966) Historical: 1918 - A single bolt of lightning struck 504 sheep dead in their tracks at the Wasatch National Forest in Utah. Sheep often herd together in storms, and as a result the shock from the lightning bolt was passed from one animal to another. (David Ludlum) 1986 - Hurricane Estelle passed 120 miles south of the Hawaiian Islands creating a ten to twenty foot surf. The large swells resulted from a combination of high tides, a full moon, and 50 mph winds. The hurricane also deluged Oahu Island with as much as 6.86 inches of rain on the 24th and 25th of the month. (Storm Data) 1987 - Barrow, AK, receives 1.38 inches in 24 hours on the 21st and 22nd, an all-time record for that location. The average annual precipitation for Barrow is just 4.75 inches. Thunderstorms in Montana produced 4 to 6 inches of rain in Glacier County causing extensive flooding along Divide Creek. Missoula, MT, received 1.71 inches of rain in 24 hours, a record for the month of July. (The National Weather Summary) (The Weather Channel) 1988 - Six cities in the south central U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Pueblo, CO, with a reading of 48 degrees. Thunderstorms over the Atlantic Coast Region drenched Wilmington, NC, with 6.49 inches of rain in about eight hours. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Showers and thunderstorms prevailed across the southeastern third of the country. Afternoon thunderstorms in Florida produced wind gusts to 86 mph at Zephyrhills, and gusts to 92 mph at Carrollwood and Lutz. Thunderstorm winds gusting to 69 mph at Crystal Lake damaged nineteen mobile homes. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1993: The levee, holding back the flooding Mississippi River at Kaskaskia, Illinois, ruptures, forcing the town's people to flee on barges. The incident at Kaskaskia was the most dramatic event of the flood. At 9:48 a.m., the levee broke, leaving the people of Kaskaskia with no escape route other than two Army Corp of Engineers barges. By 2 p.m., the entire town was underwater.

Highs: TEB: 87 EWR: 85 New Brnswck: 85 TTN: 84 PHL: 84 NYC: 84 LGA: 84 BLM: 83 ISP: 83 JFK: 82 ACY: 82