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Highs: TEB: 88 EWR: 86 PHL: 85 ACY: 85 BLM: 84 LGA: 84 New Brnswck: 83 NYC: 83 ISP: 82 JFK: 81
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The GFS builds the Atlantic ridge back west further than most guidance and pushes Debby into the Pan Handle, Debby would have to come back north at some point 13/14th. The heaviest rains come Wed-Fri from the tropical flow/ boundary Predecessor Rain Event (PRE). NHC seems to have slowed their forecast down from earlier and has Debby west of Myrtle Beach Fri PM.
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EWR cell approaching
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to 83 ahead of clouds and showers now.
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My bad i read that as 90 degree day departures. Lets look at that map Aug 11th
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Thanks i read too quick - lol
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78 / 74 here and some brightening skies but think clearing isnt long enough to push 90, we'll wee. THe wetter prior two days also hindering. Tomorrow one day heat this week and perhaps into the following week.
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Not sure how this is calculated but EWR, PHL, TTN, New brnswck all above th average # 90 degree days through AUg 3
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Could see some 96-97 tomorrow in the warm spots. Its probably the highest mas through 8/14 and maxes come down but would never rule out a day or two of stronger heat later past the mid month period.
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Id vote this warrants its own thread - we could be on Floyd/Irene level flooding with some of the more severe forecasts being modeled.
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Rainfall amounts > 6 inches starting to ring of Irene and Floyd flooding levels. Talking strictly rainfall and flooding not track or storm / wind, surge etc
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Certainly for the next 10 days f not till next year once we get passed Monday. 2006 had the deluges and still had heat and you wonder if that western furnace comes east after mid month. We'll need a 3 week period to dry out.
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Good thing we had some "drier" under performing weeks. Even if half of this falls - its an excessive rainfall
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76 / 72 and 1.59 in the bucket yesterday. Cloudy and more storms later today, perhaps some breaks in the clouds but mostly cloudy keeping it in the mid 80s. Driest and sunniest day tomorrow and the hottest day for the next week to 10 days. Mid to upper 90s in the warm spots. By Tue showers and storms return but remaining warm / humid clouds keeping it in the mid - upper 80s and a few stray 90 readings. Wed (8/7) - Sat (8/10) very wet with tropical moisture and remnants of Debby meandering around the Southeast slowly creeping north as its blocked from the Atlantic Ridge expanding west. Track of Debby and its remnants could lead to >5 inches of rain by Sunday. Heat is capped till mid month when western ridge and heat expand east with next hot signal towards / after mid month.
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1.54 inches here today.
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Records: Highs: EWR: 101 (2006) NYC: 97 (2005) LGA: 100 (2006) JFK: 99 (2006) Lows: EWR: 57 (1953)/ NYC: 55 (1927) LGA: 59 (1953) JFK: 56 (1964) HIstorical: 1885 - A tornado hit Philadelphia and Camden along its eight mile path. (David Ludlum) 1970 - Hurricane Celia struck the coast of Texas producing wind gusts to 161 mph at Corpus Christi, and estimated wind gusts of 180 mph at Arkansas Pass. The hurricane was the most destructive of record along the Texas coast causing 454 million dollars damage, and also claimed eleven lives. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1987 - A severe thunderstorm moved across Cheyenne, WY, during the mid afternoon. The thunderstorm produced hailstones up to two inches in diameter causing more than 37 million dollars damage. The eastern U.S. sweltered in the heat. A dozen cities reported record high temperatures for the date, including Paducah KY with a reading of 102 degrees. Beckley WV established an all- time record with an afternoon high of 93 degrees. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Thunderstorms developing ahead of a slow moving cold front produced severe weather from the Central High Plains to the Upper Great Lakes Region. Thunderstorms around Fort Collins, CO, produced wind gusts to 74 mph along with marble size hail. Sixteen persons were injured in the storm, most of whom were accidently locked out of their office building, having evacuated it when the fire alarm went off, apparently triggered by lightning. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms representing what remained of Hurricane Chantal drenched Wichita, KS, with 2.20 inches of rain in four hours during the early morning. Thunderstorms developing in Minnesota produced wind gusts to 85 mph at Baudette during the afternoon, and softball size hail at Lake Kabetogama, during the evening. Jamestown, ND, reported a record hot afternoon high of 103 degrees. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)
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Highs 8/3 Highs: EWR: 94 New Brnswck: 93 NYC: 93 PHL: 93 TEB: 92 LGA: 92 BLM: 92 ACY: 91 TTN: 91 JFK: 88 ISP: 88
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Highs: EWR: 94 New Brnswck: 93 NYC: 93 PHL: 93 TEB: 92 LGA: 92 BLM: 92 ACY: 91 TTN: 91 JFK: 88 ISP: 88
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good week to head west. Horrible beach week FL - Carolinas - New England. Dry pattern only last so long into the east
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dejavu
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At some point it'll even and tip back wetter than normal looks like this week Tue - Sat cold do it.
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Just hit 90 here.
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"Debby to be" slow one - suspect it may be north of this by Thu the 8th
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