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SACRUS

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  1. 06GFS recurves but way out there,Euro would imply risk to Carolinas
  2. Euro and gfs both have storm threats in the Atlantic next week Aug 15 - Aug 22
  3. 68 / 67 light rain and cloudy. More of the same the next 12 hours with showers, light rain. Debby goes west tomorrow, warm humid flow gets us back to the 80s. Sat should see clearing and may be the warmest day of the week. Great stretch of weather overall, near normal dry and lower humidity on a N-NNW flow. Heat capped out west through mid month. Beyond there , warmer and more humid flow and potential heat coming east, along with additional Tropical threats. 8/8 - 8/10 Debby's remnants, 8/10 - 8/16 : Near normal, dry 8/17 - beyond : warmer more humid, tropical risk, heat potential
  4. Records: Highs: EWR: 100 (2001) NYC: 104 (1918) LGA: 99 (2001) JFK: 96 (2001) Lows EWR: 57 (1948) NYC: 57 (1994) LGA: 61 (1975) JFK: 59 (2004) Historical: 1904 - A flash flood near Pueblo, CO, washed a train from the tracks killing 89 passengers. A bridge, weakened by the floodwaters sweeping through the valley below, gave way under the weight of the train dashing all but the sleeping cars into the torrent drowning the occupants. Rail service was frequently interrupted in the Rocky Mountain Region and southwestern U.S. that summer due to numerous heavy downpours which washed out the railroad beds delaying trains as much as five days. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1918 - Philadelphia, PA, established an all-time record with a high of 106 degrees. New York City experienced its warmest day and night with a low of 82 degrees and a high of 102 degrees. Afternoon highs of 108 degrees at Flemington NJ and Somerville NJ established state records for the month of August. (The Weather Channel) (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1924: A tornado caused estimated F4 damage moved southeast from south of Osseo, WI to Black River Falls, WI. One person was killed as a home was leveled and a boy was killed running to the storm cellar near the start of the path. Two people died as farm homes were swept away near the northeast edge of Black River Falls. Damage totaled $200,000 as 50 farms were hit and buildings were unroofed in the town of Northfield. The tornado followed the present route of Interstate 94. 1980: Hurricane Allen bottomed out at 899 millibars (26.55 inches of mercury) while moving through the Yucatan Channel in the southeastern part of the Gulf of Mexico. Allen was the second lowest pressure ever recorded in the Western Hemisphere up to that time. Allen's winds at the time were sustained at 190 mph. 1984 - El Paso, TX, normally receives 1.21 inches of rain in August. They got it in forty-five minutes, with four more inches to boot, during a storm which left Downtown El Paso under five feet of water. (The Weather Channel) 1986 - A rare outbreak of seven tornadoes occurred in New England. One tornado carved its way through Cranston RI and Providence RI causing twenty injuries. Rhode Island had not reported a tornado in twelve years, and three touched down in 24 hours. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1987 - Morning thunderstorms drenched Goldsboro, NC, with 3.37 inches of rain. Late morning thunderstorms in Arizona produced dime size hail, wind gusts to 50 mph, and two inches of rain, at Sierra Vista. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - A dozen cities in the central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Waco, TX, with a reading of 107 degrees. The record high of 88 degrees at Marquette, MI, was their twenty-third of the year. Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in Nebraska, Minnesota and Wisconsin, with wind gusts to 81 mph reported at McCool, NE. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Forty cities in the central U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Valentine, NE, with a reading of 40 degrees, and Belcourt ND with a low of 37 degrees. Martin SD was the cold spot in the nation with a morning low of 30 degrees. Unseasonably hot weather prevailed over Florida and Washington State, with record highs of 100 degress at Daytona Beach, FL, 101 degrees at Walla Walla, WA, and 103 degrees at Hanford, WA. (The National Weather Summary)
  5. From anther round of heavy rains to being warm sectored and tonado watch
  6. 75 so far fo their high. misty cloudy onshore flow keeping it lower liekly.
  7. EWR has only hit 100 or more on two days in Sep 9/3, 9/4 (1954, 1993) Came close in with either 99 or 98 in 18,15, 10, 83 most recently.
  8. We'll see if the ridge tends more east once past the 16/17th as Jun/Jul and a warmer / humid progression evolves. Next week looks marvelous with a imuch needed dry out if it evolves as forecasted.
  9. Looks heat free for the next 10 days or more. Perhaps a similar progression from early periods in Jun and Jul before western heat pushes east north first, as we close the last 7 - 10 days of Aug. Or it could see a day or two of low 90s and if the wetter pattern resumes with any future tropical influences.
  10. Western track has kept the focus of the remnants of Debby west into PA, saving additional flooding Fri into sat. Mos of that additional 1 - 1.75 comes later today and Thu (tomorrow AM)
  11. Monthly rainfall totals TTN: 5.54 LGA: 4.03 ISP: 3.94 NYC: 3.54 EWR: 3.53 JFK: 2.47
  12. 73/71 cloudy, 4.10 in the bucket. Cloudy onshore SSE flow keeping it in the 70s with scattered showers. Last time the temp didn't reach 80 was Jun 28th for many. Thu the same as Debby slowly drifts north. Fri Debby/remnants are centered into VA and heading NNE through C/E PA keeping the brunt of additional rains focused into PA. Sat will dry out and clear up, warming back near normal. Sun (8/11) begins a stretch of very nice , drier, near normal allowing the area to dry out. Looking mainly dry and sunny. Heat capped to the west through mid month. Warming and next potential heat after 8/17 and beyond.
  13. Highs: EWR: 94 TEB: 93 BLM: 93 TTN: 92 New Brnswck: 92 PHL: 91 LGA: 91 NYC: 90 ACY: 90 JFK: 87 ISP: 84
  14. Records: Highs: EWR: 97 (2001) NYC: 97 (1955) LGA: 95 (2018) JFK: 91 (2010) Lows: EWR: 54 (1934) NYC: 56 (1869) LGA: 57 (1994) JFK: 57 (1994) Historical: 1890 - Thunderstorms left four inches of hail covering the ground in Adair County and Union County in Iowa. The hail drifted into six foot mounds, and in some places remained on the ground for twenty- six days. (The Weather Channel) 1918 - Unusually hot weather began to overspread the Atlantic Coast States, from the Carolinas to southern New England. The temp- erature soared to an all-time record high of 106 degrees at Washington D.C., and Cumberland and Keedysville hit 109 degrees to establish a state record for Maryland. Temperatures were above normal east of the Rockies that month, with readings much above normal in the Lower Missouri Valley. Omaha NE reached 110 degrees. (David Ludlum) 1959 - A bucket survey showed that thunderstorms dropped 16.70 inches of rain on parts of Decatur County IA. The total was accepted as Iowa's 24 hour rainfall record. (The Weather Channel) 1959: Hurricane Dot crossed Kauai in the Hawaiian Islands producing sustained winds of 105 mph with gusts to 125 mph. Over 6 inches of rain fell with over 9 inches on the big island of Hawaii. The sugar cane crop on Kauai sustained $2.7 million in damages. 1986 - Evening thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 100 mph at Winner SD damaging two hundred homes. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1987 - Afternoon thunderstorms deluged Milwaukee, WI, with 6.84 inches of rain, including more than five inches in two hours, breaking all previous rainfall records for the city. Floodwaters were four feet deep at the Milwaukee County Stadium, and floodwaters filled the basement of the main terminal at the airport. Flooding caused 5.9 million dollars damage, and claimed the life of one person. Death Valley, CA, reported a morning low of 97 degrees. A midday thunderstorm deluged Birmingham AL with nearly six inches of rain in one hour. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Severe thunderstorms produced large hail and damaging winds in Pennsylvania and New York State. A cold front crossing the northwestern U.S. produced wind gusts to 66 mph at Livingston MT. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing ahead of a cold front produced severe weather from northwestern Texas to the Southern Appalachians, and in the northeastern U.S. There were 136 reports of large hail or damaging winds during the day and evening. Thunderstorms in the Southern Plains Region produced tennis ball size hail northwest of Buffalo OK, and wind gusts to 100 mph at Pampa TX. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1993: Virginia experienced its worst tornado outbreak ever as 18 tornadoes ripped through the state in 5 hours. The most devastating tornado caused severe damage in the historic part of Petersburg. The storm then moved on to Pocahontas Island and into Colonial Heights. There, the storm ripped apart a WalMart store, killing three people and injuring nearly 200. The F4 twister was the first known violent tornado in Virginia history. It killed a total of 4 people and injured 246 along its 12-mile path. Total damages were near $50 million.
  15. Highs: EWR: 94 TEB: 93 BLM: 93 TTN: 92 New Brnswck: 92 PHL: 91 LGA: 91 NYC: 90 ACY: 90 JFK: 87 ISP: 84
  16. Atlantic ridge proving stronger than forecast and Debby pumping heights slowed the fronts progression.
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