SACRUS

Later Friday (8/5) and through the coming weekend looks a bit difficult to forecast in advance. Could see a hung up boundary between the building WAR and the rim of the Plains ridge. Not sure where that setsup and how long it linger before a more sw flow develops into next week. One does see mich increased and improved widespread rain chances, even if that front / boundary is west, pop up Florida style storms are looking likely.

E/NE flow and clouds slow to erode. 80 looking to be out of reach. I remember the 2015 streak of plus 80s lasting tino September. http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/imgs/vis_nj_anim.gif

A nice 0.51 in the bucket overnight. Clouds stuck all day and keeping it near 80. Perhaps the first sub 80 high for many since June. Once past today the heat is on Tue (8/2) through Fri (8/5) with 850 mb temps surging to >20c by wed, Thu and Fri. Look for many mid upper 90s and 100s in the warm spots similar to last go around. Friday will see more southerly flow and humidity and with it starts the more Florida style pattern as the Western Atlantic ridge expands west. A bit of a weakness between the W.AR and the Rockies / Plains ridge over the coming weekend Sat (8/6) and Sun (8/7) could mean best widespread rain chances in a while and potential for rainouts for the Mets. Beyond there continued overall warm into next week Mon (8/8) and humid.

7/31 PHL: 92 New Brnswck: 90 TTN: 88 TEB: 88 EWR: 87 LGA: 87 ACY: 86 NYC: 86 JFK: 85 ISP: 85 BLM: 84

Just notched 90 locally here , sunny the past 35 mins.

1PM Roundup New Brnswck: 89 PHL: 88 ACY: 86 TTN: 85 LGA: 85 TEB: 84 JFK: 84 EWR: 84 ISP: 83 BLM: 83 NYC: 82

Some larger breaks in the clouds not between EPA and NJ, Temp up to 86 here.

Monday (8/1)opens cloudy and potentially wet with storms and some rain ahead as warm front noses through. The Western Atlantic Ridge is expanding west by the middle of the week Tue (8/2) and Wed (8/3) which will merge with the Rockies / Plain ridge at tmes. A warm to hot to at times very hot pattern from 8/2 and onward. Strong heat this weed Wed (8/3) through Fri (8/6) with 850 mb temps >18c , peaking at >21C. A more southerly flow will pump the humidity next weekend Sat (8/6) and offer a more Florida style pattern with storms , warm and humid. Beyond there overalll continues warm as the Rockies / Plains Ridge rebuilds and more heat is ready to spread east by the The (8/11).

Down to 62 and now 81. Much more clouds than yesterday and only clouds will get in the way of more 90s in the warm spots today.

Check New Brunswick equipment its been warmer than Newark 4 times in the last 7 days.

7/30 New Brnswck: 92 JFK: 91 EWR: 91 BLM: 91 ACY: 90 PHL: 90 TTN: 89 ISP: 88 LGA: 88 NYC: 87 TEB: 87

7/30 New Brnswck: 92 JFK: 91 EWR: 91 BLM: 91 ACY: 90 PHL: 90 TTN: 89 ISP: 88 LGA: 88 NYC: 87 TEB: 87

2PM Roundup New Brnswck: 90 PHL: 90 BLM: 90 EWR: 89 JFK: 89 ACY: 88 ISP: 88 TTN: 87 NYC: 86 LGA: 85 TEB: 84

Up to a very comfortable 90 / 54 here , breeze and just golden out. Less than an inch here for the month for rainfall and that looks to stick through sunday night. Is there a fall flooding on the horizon - id bet yes.

Agree about the evolution of the ridge. It look Monday still looks to be the next chance for rain / storms as warm front begins moving through and setting the stage for the next roasting. By Tue (8/2) the Western Atlantic ridge is building way west and eventually joins the Rockies/Plains Ridge by the middle of the Week Wed (8/3) and Thu (8/4) with a blast of strong heat coming in by next Fri (8/5) and through next weekend as it looks now, with the euro bringning in >20c 850 temps at times. The ridge contracts and resurges into the week of Mon (8/8) with overall a hot pattern to at times strong heat. Still some details to be worked out that could foster storms around the rim of the ridge and Ridge could build over and force onshore or NE flow at times to keep it just warm to hot on days. But overall dog days of summer and some of the hottest Aug temps sustained since 2015 or more.

Noon on this gorgeous weekend July day New Brnswck: 88 JFK: 87 EWR: 86 ACY: 86 PHL: 85 BLM: 85 TEB: 84 ISP: 84 TTN: 84 NYC: 83 LGA: 83

Dew point temperatures down into the low/mid 50s. Whatta day https://www.njweather.org/maps/mapviewer?mapname=dewpoint

http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/imgs/vis_nj_anim.gif Mostly to partly sunny soon 11 AM Roundup JFK: 86 PHL: 85 EWR: 85 New Brnswck: 85 ACY: 84 BLM: 83 TTN: 82 TEB: 81 ACY: 83 ISP: 83 LGA: 81 NYC: 80

Sunshine wall to wall

Made it down to 69, Now up to 80 / 57 and gorgeous summer and beach weather. The warmer / drier spots have a shot at 90 today and tomorrow, otherwise sunny and just spectacular these next two days to close the month. Monday still looks to be the next chance for rain / storms as warm front begins moving through and setting the stage for the next roasting. By Tue (8/2) the Western Atlantic ridge is building way west and eventulally joins the Rockies/Plains Ridge by the middle of the Week Wed (8/3) and Thu (8/4) with a blast of strong heat coming in by next Fri (8/5) and through next weekend as it looks now, with the euro bringning in >20c 850 temps at times. The ridge contracts and resurges into the week of Mon (8/8) with overall a hot pattern to at times strong heat. Still some details to be worked out that could foster storms around the rim of the ridge and Ridge could build over and force onshore or NE flow at times to keep it just warm to hot on days. But overall dog days of summer and some of the hottest Aug temps sustained since 2015 or more.

7/29 BLM: 89 EWR: 89 New Brnswck: 87 LGA: 87 ACY: 87 TEB: 86 TTN: 86 ISP: 86 JFK: 85 NYC: 85

http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/imgs/vis_nj_anim.gif

2PM BLM: 87 ACY: 87 EWR: 86 PHL: 86 New Brnswck: 85 LGA: 85 NYC: 84 TEB: 84 JFK: 83 ISP: 82 TTN: 82

Some more breaks in the clouds and up to 86 here.

Clouds will likely hinder more 90s