SACRUS

You wonder if sometime in the next 2 weeks the Plains ridge and WAR could merge for some impressive ridging and maybe record heat somewhere. There is a tendency for ridging to go north and easterly flow, at some point that will bring the WAR west too.

6/14 NYC: 75/52(-6) EWR: 75/53 (-8) LGA: 75/55 (-7) JFK: 71/54 (-7) TTN: 75/52 (-6)

Up to 69 off a low of 50. High clouds moving in from the south. Overnight guidance continues overall onshore barrage through the week with Thu likely being the overcast day. Warm things starting on Friday but may take till Sat PM before flow fully goes SW. By Sunday we should see the heat (possibly strong heat) come in and continue into early the following week. Overall warm and possibly stormy from 6/25 on with more expansive very strong heat building into the PLains / GL perhaps cycling back into the East by months end and into the start of July. Ridge looks cnetered into the Plains so would imagine a stormier warm pattern..

Cool down; 6/13: NYC: 75/59 (-4) EWR: 77/58 (-4) LGA: 77/60 (-3) JFK: 73/59 (-3) TTN: 74/57 (-4)

Up to 65/42 off a low of 51. Just gorgeous weekend. Overnight runs - no major changes this week / next 6 days with persistent onshore flow but center of the ULL over the southeast and conditions generally dry and cooler than normal / very California like, could see a day with a morning marine layer burn off (June gloom). Beyond there we warm Friday with a blast of the heat thats been over the Plains comes and overspreads the east 6/20 - 6/22 with first heatwave potential for some. Looking warmer overall nationwide to close out June and start the push into July. Heat source settng up in the Plaing - GL could setup warm but stormy last week of June, not seeing more onshore rather Seeing signs expansive ridging .

yesterdays highs; 6/12: EWR: 88 LGA: 88 ACY: 87 PHL: 86 BLM: 86 New Brnswck: 86 NYC: 85 ISP: 84 TEB: 84 TTN: 84 JFK: 83

Palm Springs kind of morning 67/48 off a low of 58. Just a tremendous bright and cooler June weekend with mostly sunny skies and nice breeze / good sleeping weather. ULL will take a midnight train to Georgia ans setup down in the Southeast the first half of the week. Persistent onshore flow but mainly dry conditions will make it more May-like than mid June-like through Wed. Warming Thu and Fri and we'll see with a week of dryness and a warmer flow if we can see the seasons first heatwave for the warmer spots 6/20 - 6/22 ahead of next front. Beyond there looks warm for most of the nation on/around 6/25 - but thats almost 2 weeks from now. Will need to see if any variation with the ULL can muck up Wed or Thu, doesnt appear that way now. Onward and upward.

Stations thru the first 11 days LGA: +4.7 EWR: +4.5 NYC: +3.3 TTN: +2.9 JFK: +2.1

Queue the Rascals - It's A Beautiful Morning, 79 / 55 0.24 in the bucket yesterday as the heaviest amounts stayed south towards Ocean country in NJ> ULL looks to be going south similar to the May progression. Onshore flow on the go Sun - Thu next week. I do think with enough sun (despite the easterly flow) temps will over perform Mon Tue. But Wed and Thu may be cloudier and potential misty. Beyond there thing warm up by Friday (6/19) with Sat (6/20) - Tue (6/23) possible first heatwave potential as the big heat building in the plains and GL overspreads the Northeast. Way out there as we close June with an eye on Jul it looks overall warmer as WC ridging again pushes east into the Rockies / Plains...

Tropical morning with warm humid breeze and clouds 79/72. Should clear out by the early afternoon and see a few nice days to end the week and start the weekend. Sunday (6/14) - Fri / Sat (6/19-20) ULL meanders around the east coast. Will need to see if we can clear the cutoff out sooner and where the heaviest rain targets. ECM would be south and GFS would be west, still looks like Wed is the wetter day. Beyond there big heat continues to build into the Rockies-Plains and GL which seems to want to overspread east by 6/21. Does look like it could be a warm to hot but plenty of storms activity.

6/10 New Brnswck: 91 PHL: 91 TTN: 90 ACY: 87 BLM: 86 EWR: 86 TEB: 86 NYC: 85 LGA: 85 ISP: 79 JFK: 79

6/10 New Brnswck: 91 PHL: 91 TTN: 90 ACY: 87 BLM: 86 EWR: 86 TEB: 86 NYC: 85 LGA: 85 ISP: 79 JFK: 79

78/69 here as the tropical airmass ensues. Winds NE here. Should warm up to the mid 80s but 90s may be tough north of Philly today. Overnight runs continue with a wacky cutoff / ULL period from Sunday 6/14 - 6/20. Pending on where the ULL centers will determine the heaviest rains. 06 GFS pushes the ULL offshore by Wed (go figure) while Euro suite has it similar to the May brigade near KY, AR, TN. Either way unsettled period. beyond there plenty of heat building in the plans and GL.

6/9 LGA: 91 EWR: 91 TEB: 89 BLM: 89 New Brnswck: 88 PHL: 88 NYC: 87 TTN: 86 ACY: 85 ISP: 83 JFK: 81

6/9 LGA: 91 EWR: 91 TEB: 89 BLM: 89 New Brnswck: 88 PHL: 88 NYC: 87 TTN: 86 ACY: 85 ISP: 83 JFK: 81

2PM Roundup; LGA: 89 EWR: 87 New Brnswck: 87 TEB: 87 NYC: 86 BLM: 86 PHL: 85 TTN: 83 ACY: 83 ISP: 80 JFK: 79

Noon roundup; LGA: 84 EWR: 84 ACY: 84 NYC: 83 New Brnswck: 83 TEB: 83 BLM: 82 PHL: 81 TTN: 81 ISP: 81 JFK: 80

Will be interesting to see how it evolves. Could be for someone

82 / 57 Summer breeze blowin

75 / 52 here at 9:30. Off a low of 53. Looks like bit of a difficult to pin down type of pattern shaping up in the 6/14 - 6/20 period with ULL undercutting ridging. Wont be rain everyday but pending on where the ULL(s) setup may bring some much cooler /wetter weather for part of that period. Beyond there Rockies ridge should push east again to close out June, but center of ridge may favor warm but stormy.

7/3

Made it down to 49 last night. Up to 66 already with California style weather again. Should see temps get close to or exceed 90 Tue and Wed. 850MB temps pushing 18-20c Wed before storms then again on Friday. Overnight models still indicting a switch to a somewhat cooler period arriving this coming Saturday (6/q13) with a trough into the EC and ULL over Maine. There is a split in the speed in which the gfs, ECM clear out the trough between 6/17 and 6/21 (06 gfs rebuilds trough). Take the split with a push to warmer and more ridging 6/18 or 19th . We shall see. Very hot temp/airmass build into the Rockies and push into the plains and GL later in the run...

Another great beach day. 71/52 here now Overnight models continue to have higher heights in the east Mon - Fri overall and earlier risk of onshore flow seem muted with more heat tue -wed ahead of the front and again on Friday. The front and trough arrive by next weekend 6/13 and that's where it looks about 7 days of trouging and ULL north so cooler and need to watch how wet 6/13 - 6/19. Big heat in the rockies and plains should spill onto the GL and NE beyond there s we flatten out the trough and start to build heights

After Thu 6/11, looking like 7 - 10 days of persistent trough into the E coast/Northeast and possible rather wet. There will be some tremendous heat building into the Rockies/Plains that could be poised to offer a very hot finish to June, on/around 6/21 and beyond. Perhaps the flip back to the warmer regime. Its way out there.

6/6 EWR: 91 PHL: 90 LGA: 90 New Nrnswck: 89 ACY: 89 BLM: 88 TEB: 88 TTN: 87 NYC: 86 JFK: 86 ISP: 82