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SACRUS

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  1. SACRUS
    Late Sep heat records may be in trouble next weekend 28th, 29th and perhaps to open October. But first lets check out late Sep records LGA: 9/23 93 (1970) 9/24 91 (2017) 9/25 90 (2010*) 9/26 90 (2007) 9/27 90 (1988) 9/28 84 (2014*) 9/29 86 (1945) 9/30 88 (1986) EWR: 9/23 94 (1970) 9/24 92 (2017) 9/25 91 (1970) 9/26 90 (2007) 9/27 91 (1998) 9/28 87 (2014) 9/29 89 (1945) 9/30 89 (1986)
  2. SACRUS
    You wonder if Karen eventual becomes the dry breaker and next deluge towards Oct 5th. Way out there.
  3. SACRUS
    9-21 New Bnswk: 87 TEB: 86 EWR: 86 LGA: 86 ACY: 86 BLM: 85 TTN: 85 PHL: 85 NYC: 84 ISP: 82 JFK: 80
  4. SACRUS
    Another gorgeous weekend shaping up a wide majority going back to Memorial day. Looks like models hinting on seasonal theme with heat focuses a bit to our west and south but still very warm and a peak of 850s 1 r two days may deliver 90s. Especially next weekend 9/28-29.
  5. SACRUS
    Its probably a matter of days before guidance starts to hint at the next deluge and transition from dry, if i was a betting man it likely comes before oct 18th. I would be very surprised if we didnt have that transition. Ahead of there ridging dominates the east and above to much above normal temps. besides an outside 90 sun/mon, 26-28 looks like the next shot of late season heat.
  6. SACRUS
    Lowest was 53 Sep 2018 and overall a +3.2 for the month . Doesn't look to go below 50 after tomorrow till after oct 7 from this very early projections
  7. SACRUS
    Last few runs of the latest guidance (EPS especially) really building the ridge along the east coast once Humberto heads out. Still not fully clear the extent and focus of the late seaosn / early fall heat but Sep 21 - Oct 1 looking very warm.
  8. SACRUS
    Thanks Don - the inter-hour maxes handnt updated for a few sites.
  9. SACRUS
    9/16 ACY: 85 PHL: 84 BLM: 82 New Bnswk: 82 TTN: 81 EWR: 80 TEB: 80 JFK: 78 NYC: 77 LGA: 77 ISP: 75
  10. SACRUS
    Looks like EPS could be signaling a front caught between trough and the Atlantic Ridge righ along, perhaps just inland from the EC later in the end of next week of 9/26ish. Either way 9/21 - 9/28 looks quite warm and steamy epecially towards the middle of next week.
  11. SACRUS
    Onshore (easterly/NE'rly) flow looks to subside and reverse by Fri/Say (9/20-21) with 850 temos in the 15-18C range, peaking at 18-19C next Sunday (9/22) / Monday (9/23) Looks like 2-4 days maybe 5 of 80s to potentially a few 90s in the warmer spots.
  12. SACRUS
    9/15 LGA: 85 New Bnswk: 85 TEB: 85 PHL: 85 EWR: 84 ACY: 84 TTN: 83 NYC: 82 BLM: 82 JFK: 81 ISP: 80
  13. SACRUS
    Dews slowly dropping as it starts drying out
  14. SACRUS
    Clearing after quite a humid late summer evening
  15. SACRUS
    Guidance hinting at perhaps the next and last shot at any heat 9/21 - into the final work week of September 9/23. Will be interesting to see if this is muted and foccussed more south towards the DC/MD/DE area.
  16. SACRUS
    9/11 TEB: 93 EWR: 91 LGA: 91 New Bnswk: 90 PHL: 90 BLM: 90 TTN: 89 NYC: 88 ACY: 88 JFK: 84 ISP: 81
  17. SACRUS
    9/11 TEB: 93 EWR: 91 LGA: 91 New Bnswk: 90 PHL: 90 BLM: 90 TTN: 89 NYC: 88 ACY: 88 JFK: 84 ISP: 81
  18. SACRUS
    Clouds burning off and mostly sunny here now.
  19. SACRUS
    Down to 54 last night, another great weekend continuing the theme. Next shot at 90 for the warmer (southern spots) Wed but gotta watch 'clouds getting in the way' then more ridging into the mid and sexond half of Sep. Although it could be dirty ridgng with potential of tropical influences so while ridging and upper pattern signal very warm finish it may be way of warmer lows. I think the following is possible 90 degree days from here on out NYC: 1 (maybe 2) EWR/ LGA: 2-3 PHL: 3- 5
  20. SACRUS
  21. SACRUS
    Just a bit outside
  22. SACRUS
    Has been nice fore sure and mainly dry. This year was a similar progression as 2013 albeit less extreme both heat (Jul) and cool (Aug). That Sep was slighlty below avg for the area. Although its looking warmer towards mid Sep and the second half.
  23. SACRUS
    9/10-11 looks warm on the guidance and may be similar to (9/4) especially for the warmer spots. Beyond there, then way out there 9/15 - 9/17 may offer the next brief warm up where 850s look to rise to 16-18c. Seems a back and forth type pattern still.
  24. SACRUS
    Or next week Sep 11 - 17 period.
  25. SACRUS
    9/4: TEB: 94 ACY: 92 PHL: 92 New Bnswk: 90 EWR: 90 TTN: 89 LGA: 89 BLM: 88 NYC: 87 JFK: 81 ISP: 80
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