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SACRUS

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  1. SACRUS
    Currently partly sunny sandwiched between the clouds from Sub Tropical storms and approaching clouds to the west.
  2. SACRUS
    The next period to watch for strong warmth to record highs (in the extreme) would be starting net weekend 10/20 - 10/23 period. Pending on how things progress we could be looking 75 - 80 range, perhaps above. We'll have to watch the center and positioning of the ridge and with clouds and any S / SE flow developing to limit the potential.
  3. SACRUS
  4. SACRUS
    That timeframe to watch for any shot at upper 70s to low 80s would be Oct 20th / 21s. It'll be interesting to track as guidance is suggesting heights build and 850s peak in the 10-15c range. Get enough sunshine and its very doable.
  5. SACRUS
    Northen California like feel today http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/SAT_NE/anim8vis.html
  6. SACRUS
    Id count on it - we're overdue for a deluge
  7. SACRUS
    Up to a balmy 60 today off of 95 on wed. First raw cloudy all day spritz day like this since July 23rd.
  8. SACRUS
    10/2 EWR: 96 ACY: 96 New Bnswk: 95 PHL: 95 JFK: 95 TEB: 95 LGA: 95 BLM: 94 NYC: 93 TTN: 93 ISP: 89
  9. SACRUS
    10/2 EWR: 96 ACY: 96 New Bnswk: 95 PHL: 95 JFK: 95 TEB: 95 LGA: 95 BLM: 94 NYC: 93 TTN: 93 ISP: 89
  10. SACRUS
    Wed is the day if the park can make it. Thu looks cloudy. Then next shot in April
  11. SACRUS
    9/28: Clouds in the way today TEB: 88 New Bnswk: 86 EWR: 86 TTN: 84 PHL: 84 NYC: 82 ACY: 82 LGA: 81 BLM: 80 JFK: 77 ISP: 76
  12. SACRUS
    0.09 rain yesterday. Another week of of warmth and temps should over perform (1 or r 90s) but again brunt and core of the late season heat a bit to our west and south. Oct 5 - 7 look to feature a sharp contrast to the prior weeks warmth especially in New England, then followed by more of a back and forth progression to some warm days and steady stream of cold front.s
  13. SACRUS
    Records October for reference LGA: 10/1: 87 (1950) 10/2: 87 (2002) 10/3: 85 (2000) 10/4: 86 (2013) 10/5: 93 (1941) 10/6: 92 (1941) EWR: 10/1: 85 (1986) 10/2: 86 (2013) 10/3: 85 (1950) 10/4: 89 (2013) 10/5: 93 (1941) 10/6: 91 (1959) NYC: 10/1: 88 (1927) 10/2: 90 (1927) 10/3: 87 (1919) 10/4: 88 (1941) 10/5: 94 (1941) 10/6: 90 (1941)
  14. SACRUS
    ECM surges 850 temps to 18C-20C Oct 2-3-4 (peak of the heat). With mostly sunny conditions, even in early Oct, temps should get to mid-upper 90s in the warmer spots. EWR 93 Sunday with 850 temps 16c.
  15. SACRUS
    Wait till wed/thu and see the point and clicks. 90s look very possible Sat-Sun and again Tue-wed next week Mon warmer spots. Cool-down around oct 5 may be temp with more warmth behind (not as warm-hot). Both this past Sat and Sun over perforemd. Even the park got to 89 yesterday 3-4 above guidance.
  16. SACRUS
    9/23 EWR: 93 TEB: 92 PHL: 92 BLM: 91 New Bnswk: 90 ACY: 90 LGA: 90 NYC: 89 TTN: 89 JFK: 82 ISP: 81
  17. SACRUS
    9/23 EWR: 93 TEB: 92 PHL: 92 BLM: 91 New Bnswk: 90 ACY: 90 LGA: 90 NYC: 89 TTN: 89 JFK: 82 ISP: 81
  18. SACRUS
    9/22 TEB: 92 EWR: 89 New Bnswk: 89 PHL: 89 TTN: 87 NYC: 86 LGA: 86 ACY: 85 BLM: 84 ISP: 81 JFK: 80
  19. SACRUS
    ECM surges 850’s to 16-19c next weekend and again by Tuesday oct 2nd. We’ll need to see if it is blunted west and south towards the DC area again as well as any tropical impacts on the flow. As bluewave noted, ridging looks glued to and along the east coast overall into October.
  20. SACRUS
    Late Sep heat records may be in trouble next weekend 28th, 29th and perhaps to open October. But first lets check out late Sep records LGA: 9/23 93 (1970) 9/24 91 (2017) 9/25 90 (2010*) 9/26 90 (2007) 9/27 90 (1988) 9/28 84 (2014*) 9/29 86 (1945) 9/30 88 (1986) EWR: 9/23 94 (1970) 9/24 92 (2017) 9/25 91 (1970) 9/26 90 (2007) 9/27 91 (1998) 9/28 87 (2014) 9/29 89 (1945) 9/30 89 (1986)
  21. SACRUS
    You wonder if Karen eventual becomes the dry breaker and next deluge towards Oct 5th. Way out there.
  22. SACRUS
    9-21 New Bnswk: 87 TEB: 86 EWR: 86 LGA: 86 ACY: 86 BLM: 85 TTN: 85 PHL: 85 NYC: 84 ISP: 82 JFK: 80
  23. SACRUS
    Another gorgeous weekend shaping up a wide majority going back to Memorial day. Looks like models hinting on seasonal theme with heat focuses a bit to our west and south but still very warm and a peak of 850s 1 r two days may deliver 90s. Especially next weekend 9/28-29.
  24. SACRUS
    Its probably a matter of days before guidance starts to hint at the next deluge and transition from dry, if i was a betting man it likely comes before oct 18th. I would be very surprised if we didnt have that transition. Ahead of there ridging dominates the east and above to much above normal temps. besides an outside 90 sun/mon, 26-28 looks like the next shot of late season heat.
  25. SACRUS
    Lowest was 53 Sep 2018 and overall a +3.2 for the month . Doesn't look to go below 50 after tomorrow till after oct 7 from this very early projections
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