Id say at this point its too early but perhaps the tendency is to lean on the cooler/wetter scenario. I think true sustained warmth and any heat may be towards Memorial day weekend or early June.
Last weekend's oasis of warmth seemed so long ago. Agreed on the 70s but Ill take the upper 50s/low 60s with sun tomorrow and enjoy it :-). I guess i brought the cooler weather when returning from a winter on the wc easter weekend.
Slowly transitioning out of the severely below normal cool regime this week and back into the 60s / 70s with sunshine. And longer range beyond next weekend its either cutoff city or fist shot at 90s as deep trough looks to push into the west coast on Guidance. Will be interesting to see how it evolves.
80 is toast. Mostly cloudy through noon and much of the afternoon. Still a nice day overall. The cool period looking dry but i woudlnt bet on it. Id expect things becoming wetter as we go through the next 10 days.
Beauty out there 68 so far. Back into the dinginess next 10 days. Looking like till later part of May for a possible transition into less troughing in the east. 2008 feel to me, ended the cool with a resounding heatwave.
Still think (Sunday 5/3) could yield the warmest temps of the spring so far which isnt much a feat. Beyond there by 5/5 back to the cool/wet. Perhaps as we get into the 5/13 range things may shift a bit. 2008 migrated into a very hot first week of June.
A week away but its currently looking that with enough sunshine next Sun (5/3) and/or Mon (5/4) could see the warmest temps of the season before a return to cooler weather into the 5th.
Not betting on it but models hinting brief warm up as transient ridging moves through ahead of the next trough.
Overall it does look like a slower transition away from the sustained troughing/cooler weather we've had since around Easter. Somewhat reminiscent of 2008 (so far).
Last nights runs showed more of the same overall trough into the east with a day or two of transient warmth towards or slightly above normal the next 10 days to 2 weeks.. Still thinking into the first week of May we return back to a warmer pattern, more a bit of sustained umph...
Brief reprieve from the recent cool Sun (upper 60s) and Tues (near 70) before more cool unsettled weather Wed - Fri. . Troughing looks to linger into late April. Think it may take till on/around May 4 to see more sustained warmth into the area.
Through Nov 8th departures
EWR: -3.6
NYC: -2.5
LGA: -2.9
JFK: -2.8
ISP: -2.8
TTN: -5.3
Look to add to these negatives through the 18th then moderation 11/18 - 11/23-24ish before next cold period to end the month. Looking like a lock for a -3 or colder month for many,
Add another great weekend to the overall (majority) streak going back to Memorial Day, July 4th, Labor day etc..
Today looks great! Made it down to 46 last night and likely make a run at the low 70s here.
I recall that and some readings (in Staten Island at the tme) in 1993. Will needs to check but thought it was later in the month too, making it really impressive before the change locked in.
Edit - saw you replied. Was 79 here as well that warm Nov 15th day in 1993. 80 at LGA/EWR
1950 saw the month (nov) start off hot 85/84 in Newark.