SACRUS

It'll be interesting to track the ULL next week with the TS off the coast. Mid Atlantic is a good bet for the heaviest but we'e not far off. Wouldnt surprise me to sneak in a nice day (maybe Wed). Looks like the ridging finally establishes itself on/around 5/23 in time for a warm Memorial Day as it looks now.

Should get the rest of the spotty rain to pass through before noon and clear things up for the warmest day of the year so far for many along with the first 80s for some places who missed it on My 3rd. 5/17 - 5/22 very unsettled with cutoff meandering along in the east. Perhaps sneaking in a nice day. Summer looks to arrive in time for Memorial day weekend with perhaps some consecutive warm to hot days and the seasons first 90s.

Another beauty out there today building on Wednesday's great weather. Brief taste of summer Fri and some of Saturday before ocean flow and cutoff spoil an otherwise strong ridging pattern through Fri 5/22. Do think first shot of 90s isnt fa behind the ULL lifting out of the area in the 5/24-5/27 timeframe.

Dont think we are too far from our first 90s of the season / near memorial day weekend. 2020 projections Hotter / wetter version of 2008. Bookend hottest temps of summer fist half of June and early/mid August, Jul longest stretch of heat.. Possible century mark heat in Aug. Thinking near normal to wetter overall. If things go to one way would argue more chance of warmth underscoring temps 90 degree (+) days PHL: 30 - 33 EWR: 31 - 34 NYC: 17 - 20 LGA: 27 - 30 New Bnswk: 26 - 29

Mostly sunny and looking like one of those nuttin but blue skies days. The cut off scenario looking more likely for next week so one past Saturday cooler and unsettled 5/17 - 5/21 before any chance of sustained warmth and the season's first 90s. That looks more possible towards the last week of May (Memorial Day).

Lows of 31 and 30 Fri night/Sat night (Sun am). Currently mostly sunny and 51 here. It does look like a good area of clouds pushing in from PA, hope we can clear that up a it as it moves through. May 14th tipping point to a more normal / warmer pattern. Will need to see how stormy it gets Thu - Sun. Sun out should yield second or first 80s for most. Still looks potentially cut-off-ish towards early the following week 5/19. Does look more active and with numerous troughs goig into the west coast. So dont see a prolonged cool down or warmup staying dry... More normal overall.

Id say at this point its too early but perhaps the tendency is to lean on the cooler/wetter scenario. I think true sustained warmth and any heat may be towards Memorial day weekend or early June.

Last weekend's oasis of warmth seemed so long ago. Agreed on the 70s but Ill take the upper 50s/low 60s with sun tomorrow and enjoy it :-). I guess i brought the cooler weather when returning from a winter on the wc easter weekend.

Slowly transitioning out of the severely below normal cool regime this week and back into the 60s / 70s with sunshine. And longer range beyond next weekend its either cutoff city or fist shot at 90s as deep trough looks to push into the west coast on Guidance. Will be interesting to see how it evolves.

Down to 31 last night. Brisk and windy early March day outside.

72 here clouds approaching now into NW -NJ Looks like a solid 10 days of below to much below normal ahead of the next warmup on/around 5/14.

80 is toast. Mostly cloudy through noon and much of the afternoon. Still a nice day overall. The cool period looking dry but i woudlnt bet on it. Id expect things becoming wetter as we go through the next 10 days.

See how things progress but potentially looking like the next multiple day warmup to and above normal on/around 5/14.

Not sure we will hit the high end of projected highs but should things clear a bit 80 not out of reach. Cant add the loop (cached on may 1)

Beauty out there 68 so far. Back into the dinginess next 10 days. Looking like till later part of May for a possible transition into less troughing in the east. 2008 feel to me, ended the cool with a resounding heatwave.

Still think (Sunday 5/3) could yield the warmest temps of the spring so far which isnt much a feat. Beyond there by 5/5 back to the cool/wet. Perhaps as we get into the 5/13 range things may shift a bit. 2008 migrated into a very hot first week of June.

A week away but its currently looking that with enough sunshine next Sun (5/3) and/or Mon (5/4) could see the warmest temps of the season before a return to cooler weather into the 5th. Not betting on it but models hinting brief warm up as transient ridging moves through ahead of the next trough. Overall it does look like a slower transition away from the sustained troughing/cooler weather we've had since around Easter. Somewhat reminiscent of 2008 (so far).

Last nights runs showed more of the same overall trough into the east with a day or two of transient warmth towards or slightly above normal the next 10 days to 2 weeks.. Still thinking into the first week of May we return back to a warmer pattern, more a bit of sustained umph...

Brief reprieve from the recent cool Sun (upper 60s) and Tues (near 70) before more cool unsettled weather Wed - Fri. . Troughing looks to linger into late April. Think it may take till on/around May 4 to see more sustained warmth into the area.

9:41 60 here.

About an inch on the grass 0.41 in the bucket.

Cool looking sat loop (real-time)

33/32 here mod snow .5 on the ground

Through Nov 8th departures EWR: -3.6 NYC: -2.5 LGA: -2.9 JFK: -2.8 ISP: -2.8 TTN: -5.3 Look to add to these negatives through the 18th then moderation 11/18 - 11/23-24ish before next cold period to end the month. Looking like a lock for a -3 or colder month for many,

Down to 19 - coldest temp since March 7th here. .