SACRUS

82 / 57 Summer breeze blowin

75 / 52 here at 9:30. Off a low of 53. Looks like bit of a difficult to pin down type of pattern shaping up in the 6/14 - 6/20 period with ULL undercutting ridging. Wont be rain everyday but pending on where the ULL(s) setup may bring some much cooler /wetter weather for part of that period. Beyond there Rockies ridge should push east again to close out June, but center of ridge may favor warm but stormy.

7/3

Made it down to 49 last night. Up to 66 already with California style weather again. Should see temps get close to or exceed 90 Tue and Wed. 850MB temps pushing 18-20c Wed before storms then again on Friday. Overnight models still indicting a switch to a somewhat cooler period arriving this coming Saturday (6/q13) with a trough into the EC and ULL over Maine. There is a split in the speed in which the gfs, ECM clear out the trough between 6/17 and 6/21 (06 gfs rebuilds trough). Take the split with a push to warmer and more ridging 6/18 or 19th . We shall see. Very hot temp/airmass build into the Rockies and push into the plains and GL later in the run...

Another great beach day. 71/52 here now Overnight models continue to have higher heights in the east Mon - Fri overall and earlier risk of onshore flow seem muted with more heat tue -wed ahead of the front and again on Friday. The front and trough arrive by next weekend 6/13 and that's where it looks about 7 days of trouging and ULL north so cooler and need to watch how wet 6/13 - 6/19. Big heat in the rockies and plains should spill onto the GL and NE beyond there s we flatten out the trough and start to build heights

After Thu 6/11, looking like 7 - 10 days of persistent trough into the E coast/Northeast and possible rather wet. There will be some tremendous heat building into the Rockies/Plains that could be poised to offer a very hot finish to June, on/around 6/21 and beyond. Perhaps the flip back to the warmer regime. Its way out there.

6/6 EWR: 91 PHL: 90 LGA: 90 New Nrnswck: 89 ACY: 89 BLM: 88 TEB: 88 TTN: 87 NYC: 86 JFK: 86 ISP: 82

first 90's of the season. 6/6 EWR: 91 PHL: 90 LGA: 90 New Nrnswck: 89 ACY: 89 BLM: 88 TEB: 88 TTN: 87 NYC: 86 JFK: 86 ISP: 82

Already up to 79 here 79/71. Perhaps first 90s with enough sun. Even before this weeks rains the park was running 3 - 4 degrees below other sites so the park will have to wait till late June or some pruning. Do think Tue or Wed inland and warmer spots could yield some 90s before the northeast looks to get locked in a wetter period with potential ULL(s) around and influencing the period 6/13 - 6/18. Sat through Wed does look to dry things out then we'll have to how things evolve beyond that. Recent rains Wed - Sat AM: BLM: 3.51 New Bsnwk: 2.52 TTN: 1.87 JFK: 144 EWR: 1.26 NYC: 0.93 ISP: 0.67 LGA: 0.61

Not sure if but likely due to the warmer winter there is a tremendous amount of birds and squirrels this season.

Remnants of Cristobal look to go right up the Mississippi next 5 days. Once past today's storms and showers it looks dry again till mid next week. Ridge builds Mon - Wed a bit too north with flow going more northerly and onshore. Monday could be a sneaky shot at 90 in the warmer inland spots but more onshore by Tue/Wed ahead of the front. Agree with CIK that heights look to flatten then rise on/around 6/16. Interesting pattern right on near normal slightly warmer and will see if wetter overall can continue.

weighted on the cooler side for overall summer averages. 67, 82, 97, 52, 72. Exceptions 54, 83, 58. More normal 2014, 35

6/4 New Brnswck: 89 PHL: 89 LGA; 88 BLM: 88 TTN: 88 EWR: 88 ACY: 87 TEB: 86 ISP: 84 NYC: 84 JFK: 83

11AM Rounup EWR: 83 BLM: 83 New Brnswk: 82 LGA: 82 ACY: 82 PHL: 82 JFK: 01 TEB: 81 TTN: 81 ISP: 80 NYC: 79

Transitioned into a warmer/wetter pattern overall. First shot at 90s today and tomorrow depending on clouds. next shot Tue - Thu (6/9 - 6/11) ahead of the remnants of Cristobal. Could be sharp cut off near city/coast for onshore flow. Beyond there , 6/12 - 6/15 ULL north of the region looks to keep things potentially wet and near normal by way of higher mins with heights poised to rise mid month. Dont believe there is any likelihood of locking in any sustained cool or warm. Overall appears to be near or above normal and much wetter than the last 7 weeks.

Pending on what your timing of this week but there is a possible window 6/9 - 6/11 ahead of the remnant tropical low/subsequent cold front. We'll see if EWR can get enough sun and heating Fri.

Been a rough few days, heres hoping for some rains tomorrow for allergies and plants/veggies sake.

Cloudy and cool morning off a low of 47 Mon night, did drop to 40 Sunday night. We'll see if clouds cap first shot at 90s Wed / Fri for the warmer spots. Believe we are transitioning to an overall warmer and wetter phase which should be the summer theme. Should we miss 90s this week - the period 6/9 - 6/11 should yield more widespread heat ahead of the remnants of the Gulf storm followed by trough 6/11 - 6/13 with the ridge looking to be building back behind it. Doubt any prolonged heat or cool as plenty of troughs moving along between rising heights. Active June may be en route.

Heights look to come up 6/3 - 6/6 before the next cold front then ridging looks to expand out of the Plains/ Great Lakes towards 6/10. Need to watch if more troughing over Canadian Maritimes blunts the ridge. Still think first 90s 6/7 - 6/11 period even in the park.

Park: 6/11 EWR: 6/10

Made it to 86 yesterday after back to back 80s Wed/Thu. Today looks spectacular (wish we could have had this last memorial day weekend) but none the less low 80s and lowering humidity with partly to mainly sunny skies. Beach weather. Warmer overall temps appear to be coming closer to fruition on guidance in the 6/7 and beyond period. Ridging moves from the Plains and GL into the east in the period but appears to be potentially active storm wise. Would seem likely for the first 90s of the season between 6/7 and 6/12. Could be heading into the warmer but wetter theme for the summer. Will see how it goes and if any strong heat can overspread the area a kin to 2008.

Pushing 85 here now but some storms popping in E_PA and WNJ now

A few breaks in the clouds and just hit 80/71 here with a S-SW breeze.

ULL and persistent onshore flow last 10 days + with ridge axis too far north and cloud cover the past 2 days curbing the heat here. Beyond the very anomalous cool coming Sunday - Tue it looks to be more normal overall with next ridge looking to build around June 7th or 8th on the latest guidance. Persistent troughs going into the west coast.