SACRUS

Down to 62 last night and up to 75/63 with Partly sunny skies. 0.11 in the bucket yesterday. More southerly flow next few days, means steamy, warm and potentially wet, slow moving storms. Fri - Sun where the sun is out it'll shoot into the 80s and with Dewpoint temps in the upper 60s to low 70s be very uncomfortable. Beyond there Mon (6/22) to Fri (6/26) very warm and with enough the opportunity to rack up a few 90(+) days between storms/showers. Beyond there into the last few days of June and into early July suttle shift to more ridging showing up. Lets see how it evolves. Time to start the July 4th forecast. Overall looks warmer on latest guidance in the long run similar to Perhaps taking shape similar to Don's call in the long range (seasonal) warmer Jul-Aug..

Cool down; 6/13: NYC: 75/59 (-4) EWR: 77/58 (-4) LGA: 77/60 (-3) JFK: 73/59 (-3) TTN: 74/57 (-4) 6/14 NYC: 75/52(-6) EWR: 75/53 (-8) LGA: 75/55 (-7) JFK: 71/54 (-7) TTN: 75/52 (-6) 6/15: NYC: 75/59 (-5) EWR: 75/56 (-7) LGA: 77/62 (-2) JFK: 73/56 (-5) TTN: 75/52 (-7) 6/16: NYC: 78/60 (-3) EWR: 78/57 (-5) LGA: 80/63 (-1) JFK: 76/58 (-4) TTN: 76/53 (-6) 6/17: NYC: 78/60 (-3) EWR: 80/60 (-3) LGA: 79/63 (-2) JFK: 80/58 (-2) TTN: 76/55 (-5)

67/65 now with li rain. Clouds were widespread and never yielded yesterday. Here is that rainy day with clouds, mist and light rain. Moving from Southern California into a Southern Florida type feel by the weekend. Stuck up pattern revealing itself. Warm and wet next 7 - 10 days. Cut off / ULL meanders over the northeast Fri - Sun with a more S/ SE flow and enhanced clouds and showers. Steamy , perhaps stormy and warm when the sun comes out. By Mon (6/22) - Sat (6/28) could get hot where clouds /storms don't get in the way and if some areas can eek out 3 mostly dry days, it could be the seasons initial heatwave lots of mid / upper 80s and DT in the 60s. or more. Looks similar to first week/10 days of this month (6/3 - 6/13) but wetter. Beyond there (6/28) stuck up / more cut off ULL antics may invade the area to end June and the first few days of July. Need to watch if this is more north of previous two instances which would mean wetter. should the WAR move west and push the weakness north, itll also bring the sustained warmth and ridging that is building into the Plains and GL.

Cool down; 6/13: NYC: 75/59 (-4) EWR: 77/58 (-4) LGA: 77/60 (-3) JFK: 73/59 (-3) TTN: 74/57 (-4) 6/14 NYC: 75/52(-6) EWR: 75/53 (-8) LGA: 75/55 (-7) JFK: 71/54 (-7) TTN: 75/52 (-6) 6/15: NYC: 75/59 (-5) EWR: 75/56 (-7) LGA: 77/62 (-2) JFK: 73/56 (-5) TTN: 75/52 (-7) 6/16: NYC: 78/60 (-3) EWR: 78/57 (-5) LGA: 80/63 (-1) JFK: 76/58 (-4) TTN: 76/53 (-6)

Another California type day. Low of 53 up to 69 with onshore flow. Clouds just south of CNJ and burning off. Go from Southern California to a more Southern Florida type pattern by Saturday Overall theme continues with the cut off lingering over the northeast into Father day as the flow goes more southerly by Saturday with seemingly plenty of clouds and chances for storms. Steamier pattern until the ULL opens and shift east allowing a more SW flow by Mon - Thu and pending on storms and clouds, its plenty warm enough to rack up 90s (gotta see if clouds get in the way) Beyond there it looks like that active warm but stormy pattern continues into the end of June. Ridging looks aimed into the Rockies/Plains through the period. Way out there but the open of July could see the WAR pushing west and rockies/Plain ridge moving east finally allowing a more sustained warmup into the area. Season tendencies of course need to be considered.

Cool down; 6/13: NYC: 75/59 (-4) EWR: 77/58 (-4) LGA: 77/60 (-3) JFK: 73/59 (-3) TTN: 74/57 (-4) 6/14 NYC: 75/52(-6) EWR: 75/53 (-8) LGA: 75/55 (-7) JFK: 71/54 (-7) TTN: 75/52 (-6) 6/15: NYC: 75/59 (-5) EWR: 75/56 (-7) LGA: 77/62 (-2) JFK: 73/56 (-5) TTN: 75/52 (-7)

Down to 53 last night another good sleeping weather kinda evening. Up to 68. Clouds and showers about 80 - 100 miles south with strong NE flow keeping it dry and sunny. Overnight runs says the onshore flow doesnt want to go as they had been morphing to since monday ala - ate May. Overall onshore flow becoming more southerly this weekend as the cut off heads to PA rather than offshore. More steamy (perhaps stormy) than hot Fri - Sun . It does look to get closer to 90 by Mon - Wed with 850s expected to rise to 16-18.on a more sw flow. Stormier pattern looks to be taking shape by 6/25 as another strong ridge builds into the plains and moves into the GL, have to watch more ULL cutoff city 6/25 - 6/30 but month should end on a steamier note. Perhaps the WAR will build in by early July pushing the weakness in the northeast into Canda.

Another great day sun starting to win out over the clouds and a comfortable 72 / 51 here.

You wonder if sometime in the next 2 weeks the Plains ridge and WAR could merge for some impressive ridging and maybe record heat somewhere. There is a tendency for ridging to go north and easterly flow, at some point that will bring the WAR west too.

6/14 NYC: 75/52(-6) EWR: 75/53 (-8) LGA: 75/55 (-7) JFK: 71/54 (-7) TTN: 75/52 (-6)

Up to 69 off a low of 50. High clouds moving in from the south. Overnight guidance continues overall onshore barrage through the week with Thu likely being the overcast day. Warm things starting on Friday but may take till Sat PM before flow fully goes SW. By Sunday we should see the heat (possibly strong heat) come in and continue into early the following week. Overall warm and possibly stormy from 6/25 on with more expansive very strong heat building into the PLains / GL perhaps cycling back into the East by months end and into the start of July. Ridge looks cnetered into the Plains so would imagine a stormier warm pattern..

Cool down; 6/13: NYC: 75/59 (-4) EWR: 77/58 (-4) LGA: 77/60 (-3) JFK: 73/59 (-3) TTN: 74/57 (-4)

Up to 65/42 off a low of 51. Just gorgeous weekend. Overnight runs - no major changes this week / next 6 days with persistent onshore flow but center of the ULL over the southeast and conditions generally dry and cooler than normal / very California like, could see a day with a morning marine layer burn off (June gloom). Beyond there we warm Friday with a blast of the heat thats been over the Plains comes and overspreads the east 6/20 - 6/22 with first heatwave potential for some. Looking warmer overall nationwide to close out June and start the push into July. Heat source settng up in the Plaing - GL could setup warm but stormy last week of June, not seeing more onshore rather Seeing signs expansive ridging .

yesterdays highs; 6/12: EWR: 88 LGA: 88 ACY: 87 PHL: 86 BLM: 86 New Brnswck: 86 NYC: 85 ISP: 84 TEB: 84 TTN: 84 JFK: 83

Palm Springs kind of morning 67/48 off a low of 58. Just a tremendous bright and cooler June weekend with mostly sunny skies and nice breeze / good sleeping weather. ULL will take a midnight train to Georgia ans setup down in the Southeast the first half of the week. Persistent onshore flow but mainly dry conditions will make it more May-like than mid June-like through Wed. Warming Thu and Fri and we'll see with a week of dryness and a warmer flow if we can see the seasons first heatwave for the warmer spots 6/20 - 6/22 ahead of next front. Beyond there looks warm for most of the nation on/around 6/25 - but thats almost 2 weeks from now. Will need to see if any variation with the ULL can muck up Wed or Thu, doesnt appear that way now. Onward and upward.

Stations thru the first 11 days LGA: +4.7 EWR: +4.5 NYC: +3.3 TTN: +2.9 JFK: +2.1

Queue the Rascals - It's A Beautiful Morning, 79 / 55 0.24 in the bucket yesterday as the heaviest amounts stayed south towards Ocean country in NJ> ULL looks to be going south similar to the May progression. Onshore flow on the go Sun - Thu next week. I do think with enough sun (despite the easterly flow) temps will over perform Mon Tue. But Wed and Thu may be cloudier and potential misty. Beyond there thing warm up by Friday (6/19) with Sat (6/20) - Tue (6/23) possible first heatwave potential as the big heat building in the plains and GL overspreads the Northeast. Way out there as we close June with an eye on Jul it looks overall warmer as WC ridging again pushes east into the Rockies / Plains...

Tropical morning with warm humid breeze and clouds 79/72. Should clear out by the early afternoon and see a few nice days to end the week and start the weekend. Sunday (6/14) - Fri / Sat (6/19-20) ULL meanders around the east coast. Will need to see if we can clear the cutoff out sooner and where the heaviest rain targets. ECM would be south and GFS would be west, still looks like Wed is the wetter day. Beyond there big heat continues to build into the Rockies-Plains and GL which seems to want to overspread east by 6/21. Does look like it could be a warm to hot but plenty of storms activity.

6/10 New Brnswck: 91 PHL: 91 TTN: 90 ACY: 87 BLM: 86 EWR: 86 TEB: 86 NYC: 85 LGA: 85 ISP: 79 JFK: 79

6/10 New Brnswck: 91 PHL: 91 TTN: 90 ACY: 87 BLM: 86 EWR: 86 TEB: 86 NYC: 85 LGA: 85 ISP: 79 JFK: 79

78/69 here as the tropical airmass ensues. Winds NE here. Should warm up to the mid 80s but 90s may be tough north of Philly today. Overnight runs continue with a wacky cutoff / ULL period from Sunday 6/14 - 6/20. Pending on where the ULL centers will determine the heaviest rains. 06 GFS pushes the ULL offshore by Wed (go figure) while Euro suite has it similar to the May brigade near KY, AR, TN. Either way unsettled period. beyond there plenty of heat building in the plans and GL.

6/9 LGA: 91 EWR: 91 TEB: 89 BLM: 89 New Brnswck: 88 PHL: 88 NYC: 87 TTN: 86 ACY: 85 ISP: 83 JFK: 81

6/9 LGA: 91 EWR: 91 TEB: 89 BLM: 89 New Brnswck: 88 PHL: 88 NYC: 87 TTN: 86 ACY: 85 ISP: 83 JFK: 81

2PM Roundup; LGA: 89 EWR: 87 New Brnswck: 87 TEB: 87 NYC: 86 BLM: 86 PHL: 85 TTN: 83 ACY: 83 ISP: 80 JFK: 79

Noon roundup; LGA: 84 EWR: 84 ACY: 84 NYC: 83 New Brnswck: 83 TEB: 83 BLM: 82 PHL: 81 TTN: 81 ISP: 81 JFK: 80