SACRUS

6/30 EWR: 103 LGA: 100 NYC: 98 New Brnswck: 98 TEB: 98 BLM: 98 PHL: 97 TTN: 96 ACY: 94 JFK: 90 ISP: 90

6/30 EWR: 103 LGA: 100 NYC: 98 New Brnswck: 98 TEB: 98 BLM: 98 PHL: 97 TTN: 96 ACY: 94 JFK: 90 ISP: 90

Jul 17-18 2013: 97, 98 EDIT September , 8 2015: 97 96 in both 2015, 2016

95/73 here, outside chance of 98--99 or 100 CNJ

I haven't peaked at the 12z packages but last night trended towards more scattered showers / mainly dry for the fourth, even Sat didnt look that bad. Outside of clouds.

Hot Town Summer Sizzling in the city Noon roundup EWR: 98 LGA: 95 NYC: 94 BLM: 93 New Brnswck: 93 TEB: 93 ACY: 91 JFK: 90

Hot town summer in the city. Mid / upper 90s on tap today. High launch pad may get LGA 100 or > and EWR again. Western Atlantic ridge begins to move offshore today with one more day of high heat. Storms should be more prevalent today as heat dome is displaced where it peaked at 598DM ridge . Slow to move front and storms Thu (7/1) - Sun (7/4) - morning should bring heavy rains over the 60 - 72 hour period 2 - 4 inches of rain. Models kinder for the fourth of July as brunt of the rain and storms falls Thu - Sat morning, then unsettled showers Saturday and sunday morning. At this point models may be lining up to salvage the 4/5th. Not completely rain free / but looks more scattered and light. July 6 and beyond - heights and heat rise and resume with more 90s and humidity the work week as piece of the high heat out west bleeds east ahead of the Western Atlantic Ridge expansion. Need to watch some tropical system near FL early next week and if the re-expanding W . Atl Ridge steers it up the EC. Overall warm to hot summer continues.

6/30 records (LGA, EWR chances) PHL: 100 (1964) EWR: 99 (1964) JFK: 99 (1964) NYC: 99 (1964) TTN: 98 (1964) LGA: 97 (1964) New Brnswck: 97 (1964)

850 temps shooting to >20c tomorrow PM and Thu (pending on clouds) can make for more chances at EWR and LGA for the century mark.

12z ECM has brunt of rain Thu-Fri with storms and rain along the main front, then unstable as cut off ULL closes over PA and bring showers. May be able to salvage fireworks as the rain tapers off later in the moring / early afternoon, but a far cry from the true summer heat / beach weather we are currently experiencing. Monday the 5th looks much nicer then back to the heat by Tue

6/29 EWR: 102 LGA: 98 TEB: 98 PHL: 95 NYC: 95 BLM: 95 New Brnswck: 95 ACY: 93 TTN: 93 JFK: 90 ISP: 88

6/29 EWR: 102 LGA: 98 TEB: 98 PHL: 96 NYC: 95 BLM: 95 New Brnswck: 95 ACY: 93 TTN: 93 JFK: 90 ISP: 88

Dome (high pressure) Clockwise flow is very visible on the vis loop

Noon Round up EWR: 95 LGA: 94 New Brnswck: 93 NYC: 92 TEB: 91 BLM: 91 ACY: 90 TTN: 89 JFK: 89 PHL: 89 ISP: 86

overall warm to hot pattern break 7/1 - 7/4 then back to the heat next week once the front / ULL clear through.

Once passed the front/ ULL Jul 1 - 4th, heat rebounds by Jul 6th and it looks very warm - hot into the second week of Jul from this distance.

Heat is on and only looks like a break between next surge of ridging / heat. Mid / upper 90s today and tomorrow, perhaps 100 in EWR / LGA, may be close. Pop up storms possible later and more chances Wed. ECM and GFS now bring front through on Thu - Sat with cut off low staying west of the area and brining shower/ storms Sun (fourth). Still have to work out the timing but the RIdge is stubborn and that means extended unsettled weather 7/1 - 7/4. Not sure its a complete washout Sunday but looks very unstteled. Beyond there the heat returns next week as ridging and heat from the heat factory in the rockies and northwest traverses east. More 90s by Tuesday (7/6) with 850 temos >16 - 18C.

Hot in the city tonight 2200 LGA: 89 EWR: 88 NYC: 85 PHL: 85

6/29 Records EWR: 100 (1959) NYC: 101 (1934) LGA: 100 (1934) TTN: 100 (194) JFK: 99 (1959) New Brunswick: 98 (1959)

yes will do that over the weekend. If you can provide prior years that would be best.

12z ECM / GFS continue with brunt of storms/ rain coming throgh Fri - Sat. Fourth as of now looking potentially dry outside some morning storms. Fri - Sat not the best

6/28 EWR: 99 LGA: 96 TEB: 95 BLM: 94 New Brnswck: 94 PHL: 94 TTN: 92 NYC: 92 ACY: 90 JFK: 86 ISP: 85

6/28 EWR: 99 LGA: 96 TEB: 95 BLM: 94 New Brnswck: 94 PHL: 94 TTN: 92 NYC: 92 ACY: 90 JFK: 86 ISP: 85

Western Atlantic Ridge pumping heights and heat / humidity. So far much more clear than Saturday and it looks to be off to the races and full steam ahead the next days. Mid - upper 90s (in the warmer spots). 850 temps >18c through Thu pm. 81/72 here. Pop up showers (Florida style) the next few days could produce some scattered heavy rains between the high heat. Most area should tack on 3 or 4 more 90 degree days. GFS and ECM still not fully aligned on timing and extent / duration of the front but both bring the brunt of the storms into the area by Fri (7/2) and into Sat (7/3) as the Western Atlantic Ridge is pushed east and subsequent front and cold front come through. Jul 4th could be mainly storm or rain free but still a bit unstable. Some heavier rains and will all be dependent if the ridge is stubborn to move out and front gets hung up or if it can clear and stall in the south (GA/N-S C) Longer range heights look to balloon again towards the middle of next week. Looks to be warm to hot again with more 90s by Jul 8th.

12z ECM continues to show the front coming through Fri - Sat as the ridge is tugged east with rain Fri and Sat. GFS seems to be trending slower with the front and now has rain in two parts Sat and Sin night (late) and monday. Still plenty of time to track this front. Otherwise looking warm but stormy