SACRUS

Lows this morning - see if these can hold through 1AM - storms would be the caveat. LGA: 84 NYC: 81 JFK: 77 EWR: 80 TEB: 80 ISP: 75 New Brnswck: 76 PHL: 81 BLM: 78 TTN: 77

86/76 low clouds , fog has burned away and off to the races temps vs any afternoon storms that form. Only clouds will hinder 100 at EWR, LGA, JFK, other inland sites, perhaps NYC 97 or 98. Recent dryness could aid those temps drier since Fay (7/10). Heat index values steamy today 102 - 109 range. Looking ahead Tuesday continues the heatwave but winds so Southerly by the evening bringing the truly high dewpoints and widespread storms. So if enough sun even in the early morning or later afternoon or early evening ould get more 90s to continue the heatwave for day 5 on Wed as the WAR builds south of the area and 850s surge again to >18c. Thu pending on leftover clouds and storms should get most areas to low 90s. Friday and Saturday will see a pause in the heat for most, especially Saturday with a stong onshore flow as strong trough moves through the New England. Sun (7/26) Next strong heat signal with models indicating strong WAR and SE ridge pushing heights and temps up through the end of Jul As always need to watch storms chances and any hung up fronts with such a strong Western Atlantic Ridge.

7/19 LGA: 97 TEB: 96 BLM: 96 EWR: 96 New Brnswck: 95 PHL: 95 NYC: 94 TTN: 94 ACY: 93 ISP: 88 JFK: 88

7/19 LGA: 97 TEB: 96 BLM: 96 EWR: 96 New Brnswck: 95 PHL: 95 NYC: 94 TTN: 94 ACY: 93 ISP: 88 JFK: 88

89/70 here. (hope this image isnt ached)

10AM LGA: 90 TEB: 88 ACY: 88 BLM: 87 EWR: 87 New Brnswck: 87 PHL: 86 ISP: 85 NYC: 85 TTN: 84 JFK: 83

88/68 off a low of 69 here. Queue Billy Stewart - Summertime. Hottest day(s) of the season Sun - Tue (so far) with chance of triple digits in EWR, LGA, JFK. Only clouds and storms could prevent upper 90s to low 100s. By Tue PM / Wed more SSW flow brings the dewpoints / widespread storms and may make it hard Wed to continue to the 90s but with enough sun and high launch pad could be day 5 for many of 90s as 850s surge again Tue and remain near >18c - 20c. Overall looking warm to hot as the WAR builds west periodically in the next 10 days. May get some onshore flow again next weekend but otherwise Sat (7/25 - 26) should see surge of stronger heat nearby. Longer range still a bit back and forth but guidance has WAR nearby and ridge bopping between the midwest / OV and SE between 7/25 - 7/29. Does look to be some trough and chance for NE'rly flow by the 27-28th. Beyond there we'll see where the ridge gets anchored but would lean continues warm and wet (stormier) into the end of July.

7/18 LGA: 95 EWR: 93 New Brnswck: 93* (nearby site/ site down since 7/17 PM) ACY: 93 PHL: 93 TEB: 92 TTN: 92 BLM: 91 NYC: 91 JFK: 89 ISP: 88

7/18 LGA: 95 EWR: 93 New Brnswck: 93* (nearby site/ site down since 7/17 PM) ACY: 93 PHL: 93 TEB: 92 TTN: 92 BLM: 91 NYC: 91 JFK: 89 ISP: 88

3PM Roundup EWR: 93 LGA: 93 PHL: 92 TEB: 91 TTN: 90 NYC: 89 ACY: 88 JFK: 87 ISP: 86 BLM: 86

The New Brunswick (Rutgers) site hasnt updated since 1900 last night. Not sure if anyone on this is affiliated with that site and has any update. It does happen time to time.

NYC and EWR hit 90 inter-hour EWR: 91 NYC: 90 JFK: 89 TEB: 90

We'll see but 90(+) readings are likely through Wed/Thu even in the park.

2PM Roundup PHL: 91 LGA: 90 EWR: 89 ACY: 88 TTN: 88 TEB: 88 NYC: 88 BLM: 87 ISP: 87 JFK: 86

1PM Roundup BWI: 95 DCA: 94 ACY: 92 PHL: 91 NYC: 89 BLM: 89 LGA: 89 EWR: 89 JFK: 88 TTN: 88 TEB: 87 ISP: 86

Noon roundup PHL: 89 BLM: 89 NYC: 87 TTN: 87 JFK: 87 TTN: 87 LGA: 87 EWR: 87 ISP: 85 TEB: 85 New Brnswck :--

10AM Roundup ACY: 86 PHL: 85 New Brnswck: -- JFK: 84 TTN: 83 EWR: 83 ISP: 82 LGA: 82 TEB: 80 NYC: 79

81/71 - Queue The Jaimes - Its Summertime, summer time. Hazy Hot and Humid the next week and beyond. First peak of heat Sun and Mon and pending on any debris clouds, storms both days could offer the first 100's outside LGA since 2013. Otherwise plenty of 95(+) with DT in the 70s and near 80 at times (Wed-Thu) producing heat index values into the triple digits. Storms again look to be fairly consistent as ridge axis is SW of the area and we skirt the rim. Wed 850's and Dewpoints look to surge on more S/SSW flow so we will need to see if clouds interrupt 90s that day. Monday reminds me of Jul 6th early strong heat then widespread storms but perhaps more north than that day. ECM continue tp pump heights into the east with bursts of strong heat hinting the next one would be 7/25-26 before more storms. These bursts of stronger heat somewhat coincide with the Western Atlantic ridge retrograding west hooking with the Plains Ridge but its core remains south towards the SE / southern Mid Atlantic so heat comes but storms a plenty. Need to watch South / onshore flow at the coasts as well highlighted by Bluewave.. For those who like the heat enjoy as it looks to persist (overall) but so do storm chances. Perhaps a cooler day or two around 7/27-28 before more heat and have to watch if ridge shifts towards the Rockies for a period in early Aug but still warm to hot overall.

11PM Roundup EWR: 83 / 72 NYC: 78 / 71 JFK: 78 / 75 TEB: 78 / 71 LGA: 78 / 70

Sat / Sun look like one of those evenings and nights where 11 or midnight obs show 90 in LGA and upper 80s EWR/NYC/JFK.

Could Monday 7/20 be similar to Mon 7/6 with early heat into the 2 /- 3 PM time then widespread storms. Tue / Wed winds a bit more southerly but 850 temps again look to surge Wed PM (7/22) into Thu (7/23).

Strong heat / then warm / perhaps stormier with blasts of strong heat as ridge axis remains west with occasional WAR linkage.

Have to see if we get any true cooler air from any front / trough in the 7/27 - 28 period before next heat blast ejects east from plains / OV

7/17 - clouds got in the way but nice rebound after 3pm PHL: 90 New Brnswck: 89 BLM: 89 TTN: 88 ACY: 87 TEB: 87 EWR: 87 LGA: 86 NYC: 84 JFK: 81 ISP: 79

Clearing working down from NW NJ. 83/71 here now.